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Analysis of Strategies for Reducing Multiple Emissions from Power Plants:
Sulfur Dioxide, Nitrogen Oxides, and Carbon Dioxide

Table 23.  Key Projections for Integrated Emission Reduction Cases in 
Four Multi-Emission Reduction Studies, 2005 and 2010 (Continued)

Projection

EPRI

ELI

Business As Usual

Current Policy Direction

Carbon Glide


Business As Usual

50% Coal Reduction

2005 Projections

CO2 Emissions
(Million Metric Tons Carbon Equivalent)

620

588

581

652

558

Carbon Allowance Fee
(1999 Dollars per Metric Ton Carbon Equivalent)

0

12

25

NA

NA

NOx Retrofits (Gigawatts)

179

133

149

NA

NA

SO2 Retrofits (Gigawatts)

12

0

0

NA

NA

Coal-Fired Capacity (Gigawatts)

303

286

290

319

308

Electricity Generation by Fuel (Billion Kilowatthours)

         

  Coal

2,052

1,874

1,854

1,770

1,327

  Natural Gas

838

985

971

1,056

1,288

  Nuclear

627

661

661

670

673

  Renewablesb

61

64

63

35

63

Natural Gas Wellhead Price (1999 Dollars per Million Btu)

2.41

2.51

2.48

NA

NA

Coal Minemouth Price (1999 Dollars per Ton)

15.39

15.12

15.24

NA

NA

Electricity Demand (Billion Kilowatthours)

3,578

3,577

3,541

3,863

3,690

Electricity Price (1999 Cents per Kilowatthour)

6.5

6.6

6.9

6.5

6.8

SO2 Emissions (Million Tons)

10.5

10.4

10.2

10.1

7.7

NOx Emissions (Million Tons)

3.99

3.92

3.85

5.52

4.43

2010 Projections

CO2 Emissions
(Million Metric Tons Carbon Equivalent)

657

399

482

671

499

Carbon Allowance Fee
(1999 Dollars per Metric Ton Carbon Equivalent)

0

116

56

NA

NA

NOx Retrofits (Gigawatts)

185

133

149

NA

NA

SO2 Retrofits (Gigawatts)

18

0

0

NA

NA

Coal-Fired Capacity (Gigawatts)

305

269

276

321

293

Electricity Generation by Fuel (Billion Kilowatthours)

         

  Coal

2,096

854

1,251

1,805

889

  Natural Gas

1,175

1,943

1,690

1,267

2,061

  Nuclear

551

623

623

683

685

  Renewablesb

66

157

208

39

92

Natural Gas Wellhead Price (1999 Dollars per Million Btu)

2.61

3.30

2.93

3.37

4.09

Coal Minemouth Price (1999 Dollars per Ton)

14.47

16.13

15.43

NA

NA

Electricity Demand (Billion Kilowatthours)

3,859

3,587

3,732

4,121

4,051

Electricity Price (1999 Cents per Kilowatthour)

6.1

8.4

7.2

6.1

6.8

SO2 Emissions (Million Tons)

9.2

4.5

4.4

9.0

4.4

NOx Emissions (Million Tons)

9.23

2.26

2.86

5.52

3.30

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