Analysis of Strategies for Reducing Multiple Emissions from Power Plants: Sulfur Dioxide, Nitrogen Oxides, and Carbon Dioxide - Table 22. Key Reference Case Projections for Electricity Generation in Four Multi-Emission Studies, 2005, 2007, and 2010

Analysis of Strategies for Reducing Multiple Emissions from Power Plants:
Sulfur Dioxide, Nitrogen Oxides, and Carbon Dioxide

Table 22. Key Reference Case Projections for Electricity Generation
in Four Multi-Emission Studies, 2005, 2007, and 2010

Projection	EIA Reference Case			EPA 1999 Reference Case			EPRI E-EPIC Business As Usual Case			ELI Business As Usual Case
Projection	2005	2007	2010	2005	2007	2010	2005	2007	2010	2005	2010
Coal-Fired Capacity (Gigawatts)	302	312	317	305	304	301	303	303	305	319	321
Electricity Generation by Fuel (Billion Kilowatthours)
Coal	2,156	2,235	2,284	2,084	2,091	2,114	2,052	2,065	2,096	1,770	1,805
Natural Gas	813	907	1,123	561	626	759	838	1,006	1,175	1,056	1,267
Nuclear	740	738	720	609	613	580	627	587	551	670	683
Renewables^a	97	108	125	61	61	61	61	62	66	35	39
Electricity Demand (Billion Kilowatthours)	3,762	3,919	4,146	3,612	3,690	3,809	3,578	3,702	3,859	3,863	4,121
Electricity Price (1999 Cents per Kilowatthour)	6.2	6.0	5.9	NA	NA	NA	6.3	6.1	6.0	6.5	6.1
Natural Gas Wellhead Price (1999 Dollars per Thousand Cubic Feet)	2.49	2.60	2.68	2.05	2.05	2.05	2.41	2.52	2.61	NA	3.37
Coal Minemouth Price (1999 Dollars per Short Ton)	14.76	14.23	13.69	NA	NA	NA	15.39	15.01	14.47	NA	NA
Carbon Dioxide Emissions (Million Metric Tons Carbon Equivalent)	637	658	686	605	615	621	620	634	657	652	671
Sulfur Dioxide Emissions (Million Tons)	10.4	10.1	9.7	11.0	10.9	9.7	10.5	9.8	9.2	10.1	9.0
Nitrogen Oxide Emissions (Million Tons)	4.22	4.19	4.20	4.22	4.25	4.15	3.99	4.03	4.10	5.52	5.52
^aExcludes hydroelectric generation. NA = not available. Sources: EIA: National Energy Modeling System, run MCBASE.D121300A. EPA: U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Analysis of Emissions Reduction Options for the Electric Power Industry (Washington, DC, March 1999), run HGIPM9C. EPRI: Electric Power Research Institute, Energy-Environment Policy Integration and Coordination Study: Executive Report (Washington, DC, April 2000), run Business As Usual. ELI: Environmental Law Institute, Cleaner Power: The Benefits and Costs of Moving from Coal to Natural Gas Power Generation (Washington, DC, November 2000), run Business As Usual.