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Analysis of Strategies for Reducing Multiple Emissions from Power Plants:
Sulfur Dioxide, Nitrogen Oxides, and Carbon Dioxide

Table 21.  Integrated NSR Case Projections, 2000, 2010, and 2020

Analysis Case

Coal-Fired Generation (Billion Kilowatthours)

Gas-Fired Generation (Billion Kilowatthours)

NOx Emissions (Million Tons)

SO2 Emissions (Million Tons)

CO2 Emissions (Million Metric Tons Carbon Equivalent)

Electricity Price (1999 Cents per Kilowatthour)

2000

Integrated 1990-7% 2005

1,943

    599

4.6

11.4

570

6.7

2010

Integrated 1990-7% 2005

1,135

1,839

1.3

  3.9

443

8.4

Integrated NSR 32

1,086

1,903

1.3

  3.9

438

8.4

Integrated NSR All

1,031

1,988

0.8

  1.0

442

8.1

2020

Integrated 1990-7% 2005

    852

2,774

1.1

  3.3

440

7.8

Integrated NSR 32

    869

2,755

1.1

  3.3

439

7.7

Integrated NSR All

    802

2,856

0.8

  0.7

442

7.8

Analysis Case

Coal-Fired Capacity Retired

SO2 Scrubbers Added (Gigawatts)

SNCR Added (Gigawatts)

SCR Added (Gigawatts)

SO2 Allowance Price (1999 Dollars per Ton)

CO2 Allowance Price (1999 Dollars per Metric Ton Carbon Equivalent)

2000

Integrated 1990-7% 2005

    0

    0

  0

    0

150

    0

2010

Integrated 1990-7% 2005

  47

  10

49

147

226

134

Integrated NSR 32

  74

  21

39

134

119

132

Integrated NSR All

133

103

34

232

    0

  92

2020

Integrated 1990-7% 2005

  79

  17

49

147

  99

130

Integrated NSR 32

  94

  21

39

134

  86

122

Integrated NSR All

134

103

34

232

    0

112

SNCR - selective noncatalytic reduction. SCR - selective catalytic reduction.

Source: National Energy Modeling System, runs FDP7B05.D121300B, FDP_N32.D121900A, and FDP_ALL.D121900A.

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