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Analysis of Strategies for Reducing Multiple Emissions from Power Plants:
Sulfur Dioxide, Nitrogen Oxides, and Carbon Dioxide

Table 15.  Projected Delivered Coal Prices to Electricity Generators, 2005-2020
(1999 Dollars per Million Btu)

Analysis Case

2005

2008

2010

2015

2020

Reference

1.13

1.07

1.05

1.01

0.98

NOx Cap Cases

         

NOx 2005

1.13

1.08

1.06

1.03

0.99

NOx 2008

1.13

1.08

1.06

1.02

0.99

SO2 Cap Cases

         

SO2 2005

1.05

1.01

0.99

0.96

0.93

SO2 2008

1.05

1.01

1.00

0.97

0.93

SO2 Sensitivity

1.10

1.05

1.02

0.99

0.96

CO2 Cap Cases

         

CO2 1990-7% 2005

0.99

0.94

0.92

0.86

0.82

CO2 1990-7% 2008

1.02

0.96

0.91

0.85

0.81

CO2 Sensitivity

1.04

1.01

0.97

0.91

0.85

Integrated Cases

         

Integrated 2005

0.97

0.95

0.92

0.85

0.80

Integrated 1990-7% 2005

0.96

0.92

0.90

0.84

0.78

Integrated 2008

1.00

0.93

0.91

0.84

0.80

Integrated 1990-7% 2008

1.00

0.92

0.87

0.84

0.77

Integrated Sensitivity

1.04

0.99

0.96

0.90

0.85

CO2 Cap Cases (Adjusted)a

         

CO2 1990-7% 2005

4.06

4.73

4.57

4.26

4.41

CO2 1990-7% 2008

3.04

3.73

4.46

4.31

4.37

CO2 Sensitivity

3.47

3.44

3.58

3.52

3.71

Integrated Cases (Adjusted)a

         

Integrated 2005

3.91

3.83

3.85

3.39

3.71

Integrated 1990-7% 2005

3.87

4.45

4.35

4.10

4.13

Integrated 2008

2.83

3.55

3.68

3.48

3.79

Integrated 1990-7% 2008

2.83

3.15

4.11

4.13

4.07

Integrated Sensitivity

3.46

3.48

3.56

3.42

3.80

aAdjusted prices reflect the addition of carbon allowance fees to the delivered coal prices shown in the upper section of the table.

Source: National Energy Modeling System, runs MCBASE.D121300A, MCNOX05.D121300A, MCNOX08.D121300A, MCSO205.D121300A, MCSO208.D121300A, MCSO205H.D121300A, FDC7B05.D121300A, FDC7B08.D121300A, FDC7B05H.D121300A, FDPOL05.D121300A, FDP7B05.D121300B, FDPOL08.D121500A, FDP7B08.D121500A, and FDP7B05H.D121300A.

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