Status and Impact of State MTBE Bans

Table 3.   Projections for 2004

 

Ethanol Supply
(million barrels/day)

RFG Consumption
(million barrels/day)

RFG Price Increase
(in 2000 dollars)

PADD I

0.019

1.295

$0.025/gallona

PADDs II-IV

0.094

0.807

$0.001/gallon

PADD V

0.065

0.818

$0.090/gallon

U.S.

0.178

2.920/b

$0.036/gallon

a.  The average RFG price increase in PADD I is projected to be less than the national average because New York and Connecticut only account for approximately 27 percent of the MTBE use in PADD I.   Other primary PADD I States, such as New Jersey, Massachusetts, Pennsylvania, Maryland, Virginia (jointly accounting for approximately 56 percent of the MTBE use in PADD I), have not passed legislation to formally phase out MTBE.Thus, projections for PADD I (in lieu of individual States) may not represent the possible gasoline price impact on the New York and Connecticut consumers.
Source:  National Energy Modeling System date codes ENsXmXoX.d082302a, ENs1mXoX.d082302b.