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Table
9. Industrial Sector Projections in the Reference and
Advanced Technology Cases, 2010 and 2020
|
Projections |
1999 |
Reference |
Advanced Technology |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Without Emissions Limits |
With |
Without Emissions Limits |
With |
||
|
2010 |
|||||
|
Industrial Output (Billion 1992 Dollars) |
4,722 |
6,223 |
6,212 |
6,217 |
6,217 |
|
Industrial Output Growth (Annual Percent, 1999-2010) |
|
2.54 |
2.52 |
2.53 |
2.53 |
|
Delivered Energy Consumption (Quadrillion Btu) |
27.6 |
31.1 |
31.0 |
30.7 |
30.7 |
|
Petroleum |
9.5 |
10.5 |
10.6 |
10.2 |
10.4 |
|
Natural Gas |
9.8 |
11.3 |
11.3 |
11.2 |
11.2 |
|
Coal |
2.5 |
2.6 |
2.5 |
2.5 |
2.4 |
|
Renewables |
2.2 |
2.6 |
2.6 |
2.8 |
2.8 |
|
Purchased Electricity |
3.6 |
4.2 |
3.9 |
4.0 |
3.8 |
|
Delivered Energy Intensity |
5.84 |
5.00 |
4.99 |
4.94 |
4.93 |
|
Change in Delivered Energy Intensity |
|
-1.39 |
-1.42 |
-1.51 |
-1.51 |
|
Average Delivered Prices (1999 Dollars per Million Btu) |
5.29 |
5.62 |
6.50 |
5.27 |
5.98 |
|
Electricity |
13.12 |
12.04 |
16.84 |
11.29 |
15.13 |
|
Natural Gas |
2.79 |
3.46 |
4.02 |
3.07 |
3.60 |
|
Petroleum |
5.54 |
6.07 |
6.16 |
5.91 |
5.92 |
|
CO2 Emissions (Million Metric Tons Carbon Equivalent) |
480 |
533 |
471 |
515 |
462 |
|
2020 |
|||||
|
Industrial Output (Billion 1992 Dollars) |
4,722 |
8,083 |
8,098 |
8,069 |
8,068 |
|
Industrial Output Growth (Annual Percent, 1999-2020) |
|
2.59 |
2.60 |
2.58 |
2.58 |
|
Delivered Energy Consumption (Quadrillion Btu) |
27.6 |
34.7 |
34.8 |
33.8 |
33.9 |
|
Petroleum |
9.5 |
11.6 |
11.7 |
11.0 |
11.2 |
|
Natural Gas |
9.8 |
12.7 |
13.2 |
12.4 |
12.8 |
|
Coal |
2.5 |
2.6 |
2.6 |
2.3 |
2.3 |
|
Renewables |
2.2 |
3.1 |
3.1 |
3.6 |
3.6 |
|
Purchased Electricity |
3.6 |
4.8 |
4.1 |
4.5 |
4.0 |
|
Delivered Energy Intensity |
5.84 |
4.30 |
4.29 |
4.18 |
4.20 |
|
Change in Delivered Energy Intensity |
|
-1.45 |
-1.45 |
-1.57 |
-1.56 |
|
Average Delivered Prices (1999 Dollars per Million Btu) |
5.29 |
5.82 |
6.60 |
5.08 |
5.55 |
|
Electricity |
13.12 |
12.07 |
17.30 |
10.36 |
13.39 |
|
Natural Gas |
2.79 |
3.73 |
4.32 |
2.88 |
3.30 |
|
Petroleum |
5.54 |
6.12 |
6.13 |
5.85 |
5.80 |
|
CO2 Emissions (Million Metric Tons Carbon Equivalent) |
480 |
585 |
502 |
543 |
478 |
| Source: National Energy Modeling System, runs SCENABS.D080301A, SCENAEM.D081601A, SCENBBS.D080301A, and SCENBEM. D081701A. | |||||
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