|
Table
8. Commercial Sector Projections in the Reference and
Advanced Technology Cases, 2010 and 2020
|
Projections |
1999 |
Reference |
Advanced Technology |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Without Emissions Limits |
With |
Without Emissions Limits |
With |
||
|
2010 |
|||||
|
Delivered Energy Consumption (Quadrillion Btu) |
7.5 |
9.9 |
9.5 |
9.8 |
9.5 |
|
Electricity |
3.7 |
4.9 |
4.6 |
4.8 |
4.6 |
|
Natural Gas |
3.1 |
4.2 |
4.1 |
4.2 |
4.1 |
|
Petroleum |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
|
Average Delivered Prices (1999 Dollars per Million Btu) |
13.28 |
12.23 |
15.33 |
11.50 |
14.02 |
|
Electricity |
21.64 |
18.76 |
24.94 |
17.76 |
22.67 |
|
Natural Gas |
5.34 |
5.63 |
6.15 |
5.26 |
5.77 |
|
Petroleum |
4.99 |
6.27 |
6.27 |
6.14 |
6.11 |
|
CO2 Emissions (Million Metric Tons Carbon Equivalent) |
242 |
315 |
240 |
309 |
241 |
|
2020 |
|||||
|
Delivered Energy Consumption (Quadrillion Btu) |
7.5 |
10.9 |
10.6 |
10.9 |
10.7 |
|
Electricity |
3.7 |
5.6 |
5.2 |
5.5 |
5.2 |
|
Natural Gas |
3.1 |
4.5 |
4.7 |
4.6 |
4.7 |
|
Petroleum |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
|
Average Delivered Prices (1999 Dollars per Million Btu) |
13.28 |
12.55 |
15.54 |
10.89 |
12.61 |
|
Electricity |
21.64 |
18.83 |
25.32 |
16.56 |
20.14 |
|
Natural Gas |
5.34 |
5.67 |
6.21 |
4.84 |
5.26 |
|
Petroleum |
4.99 |
6.37 |
6.32 |
6.17 |
6.14 |
|
CO2 Emissions (Million Metric Tons Carbon Equivalent) |
242 |
347 |
248 |
331 |
250 |
| Source: National Energy Modeling System, runs SCENABS.D080301A, SCENAEM.D081601A, SCENBBS.D080301A, and SCENBEM. D081701A. | |||||
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