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Table 5.  Natural Gas Market Projections in the Reference and
Advanced Technology Cases, 2010 and 2020

Projections

1999

Reference

Advanced Technology

Without Emissions Limits

With
Emissions Limits

Without Emissions Limits

With
Emissions Limits

   

2010

Average Wellhead Price
(1999 Dollars per Thousand Cubic Feet)

2.08

2.82

3.41

2.39

2.95

Delivered Price to Electricity Generators
(1999 Dollars per Thousand Cubic Feet)

2.62

3.30

4.18

2.87

3.70

Effective Delivered Price to Electricity Generatorsa
(1999 Dollars per Thousand Cubic Feet)

2.62

3.30

5.55

2.87

4.71

Consumption by Electricity Generators, Excluding Cogenerators (Trillion Cubic Feet)

3.8

6.8

9.7

5.9

8.8

Total Consumption (Trillion Cubic Feet)

21.8

28.2

31.1

27.0

29.9

Domestic Production (Trillion Cubic Feet)

18.7

23.4

24.6

22.4

24.9

   

2020

Average Wellhead Price
(1999 Dollars per Thousand Cubic Feet)

2.08

3.10

3.72

2.20

2.60

Delivered Price to Electricity Generators
(1999 Dollars per Thousand Cubic Feet)

2.62

3.68

4.52

2.75

3.44

Effective Delivered Price to Electricity Generatorsa
(1999 Dollars per Thousand Cubic Feet)

2.62

3.68

6.31

2.75

4.29

Consumption by Electricity Generators, Excluding Cogenerators (Trillion Cubic Feet)

3.8

11.2

13.9

9.1

11.9

Total Consumption (Trillion Cubic Feet)

21.8

35.0

38.4

32.4

35.6

Domestic Production (Trillion Cubic Feet)

18.7

29.3

30.7

27.3

30.1

aEffective delivered price reflects the cost impact of CO2 emission allowances in cases that include a CO2 limit.
Source: National Energy Modeling System, runs SCENABS.D080301A, SCENAEM.D081601A, SCENBBS.D080301A, and SCENBEM. D081701A.

 

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