|
Table
4. Electricity Projections in the Reference and
Advanced Technology Cases, 2010 and 2020
|
Projections |
1999 |
Reference |
Advanced Technology |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Without Emissions Limits |
With |
Without Emissions Limits |
With |
||
|
2010 |
|||||
|
Average Delivered Electricity Prices (1999 Cents per Kilowatthour) |
6.7 |
6.1 |
8.0 |
5.9 |
7.4 |
|
Electricity Sales (Billion Kilowatthours) |
3,294
|
4,133 |
3,872 |
4,049 |
3,835 |
|
Generation, Excluding Cogenerators (Billion Kilowatthours) |
3,369 |
4,204 |
3,914 |
4,125 |
3,885 |
|
Coal |
1,830 |
2,238 |
1,276 |
2,240 |
1,324 |
|
Natural Gas |
370 |
826 |
1,395 |
719 |
1,292 |
|
Nuclear Power |
730 |
720 |
741 |
744 |
744 |
|
Renewables, Excluding Hydropower |
46 |
95 |
189 |
101 |
213 |
|
Hydropower |
310 |
301 |
303 |
301 |
302 |
|
Emissions, Excluding Cogenerators |
|||||
|
SO2 (Million Tons) |
13.5 |
9.7 |
3.0 |
9.7 |
3.0 |
|
NOx (Million Tons) |
5.4 |
4.3 |
1.6 |
4.2 |
1.8 |
|
Hg (Tons) |
43.4 |
45.5 |
4.3 |
46.2 |
4.3 |
|
CO2 (Million Metric Tons Carbon Equivalent) |
556 |
691 |
476 |
667 |
475 |
|
Allowance Prices |
|||||
|
SO2 (1999 Dollars per Ton) |
0 |
180 |
46 |
168 |
152 |
|
NOx (1999 Dollars per Ton)a |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
|
Hg (Million 1999 Dollars per Ton) |
0 |
0 |
482 |
0 |
510 |
|
CO2 (1999 Dollars per Metric Ton Carbon Equivalent) |
0 |
0 |
93 |
0 |
69 |
|
Annual Household Electricity Bill (1999 Dollars) |
892 |
936 |
1,094 |
901 |
1,013 |
|
Total Electricity Revenue (Billion 1999 Dollars) |
222 |
252 |
310 |
239 |
284 |
|
2020 |
|||||
|
Average Delivered Electricity Prices (1999 Cents per Kilowatthour) |
6.7 |
6.1 |
8.1 |
5.5 |
6.7 |
|
Electricity Sales (Billion Kilowatthours) |
3,294 |
4,763 |
4,320 |
4,610 |
4,294 |
|
Generation, Excluding Cogenerators (Billion Kilowatthours) |
3,369 |
4,821 |
4,311 |
4,674 |
4,309 |
|
Coal |
1,830 |
2,302 |
1,041 |
2,246 |
1,146 |
|
Natural Gas |
370 |
1,488 |
2,072 |
1,331 |
1,911 |
|
Nuclear Power |
730 |
610 |
669 |
672 |
720 |
|
Renewables, Excluding Hydropower |
46 |
99 |
217 |
109 |
223 |
|
Hydropower |
301 |
300 |
302 |
300 |
301 |
|
Emissions, Excluding Cogenerators |
|||||
|
SO2 (Million Tons) |
13.5 |
9.0 |
2.2 |
9.0 |
2.2 |
|
NOx (Million Tons) |
5.4 |
4.5 |
1.4 |
4.3 |
1.6 |
|
Hg (Tons) |
43.4 |
45.2 |
4.3 |
45.1 |
4.3 |
|
CO2 (Million Metric Tons Carbon Equivalent) |
556 |
773 |
475 |
716 |
474 |
|
Allowance Prices |
|||||
|
SO2 (1999 Dollars per Ton) |
0 |
200 |
221 |
145 |
703 |
|
NOx (1999 Dollars per Ton)a |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
|
Hg (Million 1999 Dollars per Ton) |
0 |
0 |
306 |
0 |
374 |
|
CO2 (1999 Dollars per Metric Ton Carbon Equivalent) |
0 |
0 |
122 |
0 |
58 |
|
Annual Household Electricity Bill (1999 Dollars) |
892 |
980 |
1,134 |
886 |
974 |
|
Total Electricity Revenue (Billion 1999 Dollars) |
222 |
291 |
350 |
254 |
288 |
|
Cumulative Additions of Emissions Control Equipment, 1999-2020 (Gigawatts) |
|||||
|
SO2 Scrubbers |
— |
17.5 |
37.0 |
9.8 |
40.5 |
|
Selective Catalytic Reduction (SCRs) |
— |
91.1 |
101.9 |
91.0 |
98.2 |
|
Selective Noncatalytic Reduction (SNCRs) |
— |
46.0 |
37.1 |
27.2 |
39.1 |
|
Hg Fabric Filters |
— |
0.0 |
88.3 |
0.0 |
95.7 |
|
Hg Spray Coolers |
— |
0.0 |
49.2 |
0.0 |
63.5 |
|
Cumulative Resource Cost, 2001-2020 (Billion 1999 Dollars) |
— |
2,031 |
2,208 |
1,837 |
1,979 |
| aRegional
NOx limits are included in the reference case, but the corresponding
allowance costs are not included in the table because they are not comparable
to a national NOx limit. Source: National Energy Modeling System, runs SCENABS.D080301A, SCENAEM.D081601A, SCENBBS.D080301A, and SCENBEM. D081701A. |
|||||
If
you would like to receive any information relating to our reports via e-mail,
click here,
select "forecasts"
and the specific list(s) you would like to join, and subscribe by entering
your e-mail address.
URL: http://www.eia.doe.gov/oiaf/servicerpt/eppats/table4.html