Table 30. Electricity Projections in the CEF-JL Moderate and Advanced Cases, 2010 and 2020

Table 30. Electricity Projections in the CEF-JL Moderate
and Advanced Cases, 2010 and 2020

Projections	1999	Reference	CEF-JL Moderate		CEF-JL Advanced
Projections	1999	Reference	Without Emissions Limits	With Emissions Limits	Without Emissions Limits	With Emissions Limits
		2010
Average Delivered Electricity Prices (1999 Cents per Kilowatthour)	6.7	6.1	5.8	7.1	6.5	6.7
Electricity Sales (Billion Kilowatthours)	3,294	4,133	3,920	3,747	3,777	3,745
Generation, Excluding Cogenerators (Billion Kilowatthours)	3,369	4,204	3,983	3,788	3,838	3,807
Coal	1,830	2,238	2,221	1,357	1,737	1,395
Natural Gas	370	826	616	1,138	800	1,090
Nuclear Power	730	720	720	741	735	735
Renewables, Excluding Hydropower	46	95	105	240	253	277
Hydropower	310	301	301	302	302	302
Emissions, Excluding Cogenerators
SO₂ (Million Tons)	13.5	9.7	9.7	3.0	9.7	3.0
NO_x (Million Tons)	5.4	4.3	4.2	1.7	3.5	1.8
Hg (Tons)	43.4	45.5	45.7	4.3	38.6	4.3
CO₂ (Million Metric Tons Carbon Equivalent)	556	691	658	474	538	475
Allowance Prices
SO₂ (1999 Dollars per Ton)	0	180	169	316	102	130
NO_x (1999 Dollars per Ton)^a	0	0	0	0	0	0
Hg (Million 1999 Dollars per Ton)	0	0	0	549	0	481
CO₂ (1999 Dollars per Metric Ton Carbon Equivalent)	0	0	0	64	50	55
Annual Household Electricity Bill (1999 Dollars)	892	936	850	940	882	894
Total Electricity Revenue (Billion 1999 Dollars)	222	252	227	266	246	251
		2020
Average Delivered Electricity Prices (1999 Cents per Kilowatthour)	6.7	6.1	6.0	7.2	6.6	6.6
Electricity Sales (Billion Kilowatthours)	3,294	4,763	4,197	3,910	3,862	3,855
Generation, Excluding Cogenerators (Billion Kilowatthours)	3,369	4,821	4,231	3,893	3,883	3,878
Coal	1,830	2,302	2,296	1,284	1,567	1,276
Natural Gas	370	1,488	908	1,330	1,181	1,416
Nuclear Power	730	610	595	646	575	617
Renewables, Excluding Hydropower	46	99	113	323	250	260
Hydropower	310	300	300	301	301	301
Emissions, Excluding Cogenerators
SO₂ (Million Tons)	13.5	9.0	9.0	2.2	4.5	2.2
NO_x (Million Tons)	5.4	4.5	4.3	1.7	3.2	1.6
Hg (Tons)	43.4	45.2	46.2	4.3	29.4	4.3
CO₂ (Million Metric Tons Carbon Equivalent)	556	773	706	474	524	469
Allowance Prices
SO₂ (1999 Dollars per Ton)	0	200	184	905	707	670
NO_x (1999 Dollars per Ton)^a	0	0	0	81	0	0
Hg (Million 1999 Dollars per Ton)	0	0	0	468	0	391
CO₂ (1999 Dollars per Metric Ton Carbon Equivalent)	0	0	0	68	50	50
Annual Household Electricity Bill (1999 Dollars)	892	980	825	884	779	777
Total Electricity Revenue (Billion 1999 Dollars)	222	291	252	282	255	254
Cumulative Additions of Emissions Control Equipment, 1999-2020 (Gigawatts)
SO₂ Scrubbers	—	17.5	9.5	54.9	12.1	52.7
Selective Catalytic Reduction (SCRs)	—	91.1	89.9	112.3	78.6	101.6
Selective Noncatalytic Reduction (SNCRs)	—	46.0	31.9	33.6	33.9	43.4
Hg Fabric Filters	—	0.0	0.0	100.4	0.0	115.5
Hg Spray Coolers	—	0.0	0.0	57.5	0.0	98.3
Cumulative Resource Cost, 2001-2020 (Billion 1999 Dollars)	—	2,031	1,751	1,913	1,682	1,811
^aRegional NO_x limits are included in the reference case, but the corresponding allowance costs are not included in the table because they are not comparable to a national NO_x limit. Source: National Energy Modeling System, runs SCENABS.D080301A, SCENCBS.D080301A, SCENCEM.D081601A, SCENDBS.D092601B, and SCENDEMR.D092701A.

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