|
Table 3. Energy Consumption and CO2 Emissions in AEO2001 and the CEF Cases, 2010 and 2020
|
Year |
Projection |
Primary Energy Consumption |
CO2 Emissionsa |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Quadrillion Btu |
Percent Change From CEF Business-As-Usual |
Million Metric Tons Carbon Equivalent |
Percent Change From CEF Business-As-Usual |
||
|
1997 |
— |
94.3 |
— |
1,493 |
— |
|
2000 |
— |
98.5 |
— |
1,558 |
— |
|
2010 |
AEO2001b |
114.1 |
— |
1,809 |
— |
|
CEF Business-As-Usual |
110.4 |
— |
1,769 |
— |
|
|
CEF Moderate |
106.5 |
-4 |
1,684 |
-5 |
|
|
CEF Advanced |
99.3 |
-10 |
1,463 |
-17 |
|
|
2020 |
AEO2001b |
127.0 |
— |
2,041 |
— |
|
CEF Business-As-Usual |
119.8 |
— |
1,922 |
— |
|
|
CEF Moderate |
110.1 |
-8 |
1,740 |
-9 |
|
|
CEF Advanced |
96.8 |
-19 |
1,347 |
-30 |
|
| aCO2
emissions are from energy combustion only and do not include emissions
from energy production or industrial processes. bAs noted in the letter of request in Appendix A, the AEO2001 reference case is the starting point for this analysis. Note: AEO2001 = Annual Energy Outlook 2001; Btu = British thermal unit; CEF = Clean Energy Future; CO2 = carbon dioxide. Sources: Energy Information Administration (EIA), Annual Energy Review 2000, DOE/EIA-0384(2000) (Washington, DC, August 2001); EIA, Annual Energy Outlook 2001, DOE/EIA-0383(2001)(Washington, DC, December 2000); EIA, U.S. Carbon Dioxide Emissions from Energy Sources: 2000 Flash Estimate (Washington, DC, June 2001), web site www.eia.doe.gov/oiaf/1605/flash/sld001.htm; Interlaboratory Working Group, Scenarios for a Clean Energy Future, ORNL/CON-476 and LBNL-44029 (Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN, and Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, CA, November 2000), p. ES.5. |
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