|
Table
29. Transportation Energy Consumption in the CEF-JL
Moderate
and Advanced Cases, 2010 and 2020
|
Projections |
1999 |
Reference |
CEF-JL Moderate |
CEF-JL Advanced |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Without Emissions Limits |
With |
Without Emissions Limits |
With |
|||
|
2010 |
||||||
|
Energy Use by Mode (Quadrillion Btu) |
||||||
|
Light-Duty Vehicle |
15.5 |
19.2 |
18.9 |
18.9 |
16.2 |
16.2 |
|
Heavy-Duty Vehicle |
4.6 |
5.8 |
5.4 |
5.4 |
5.4 |
5.4 |
|
Air |
3.5 |
4.6 |
4.6 |
4.6 |
4.5 |
4.5 |
|
Rail |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
|
Marine |
1.3 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
|
Pipeline Fuel |
0.7 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
|
Lubricants |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
|
Total |
26.3 |
32.8 |
32.0 |
32.1 |
29.2 |
29.2 |
|
Energy Use by Fuel Type (Quadrillion Btu) |
||||||
|
Motor Gasoline |
15.9 |
18.9 |
18.5 |
18.5 |
16.1 |
16.1 |
|
Distillate |
5.1 |
7.0 |
6.7 |
6.6 |
6.4 |
6.4 |
|
Jet Fuel |
3.5 |
4.5 |
4.5 |
4.5 |
4.4 |
4.4 |
|
Residual Fuel |
0.7 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
|
Other Petroleum |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
|
Petroleum Subtotal |
25.5 |
31.6 |
31.0 |
30.9 |
28.1 |
28.1 |
|
Methanol (M85) |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
|
Ethanol (E85) |
0.01 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
|
Electricity |
0.06 |
0.12 |
0.10 |
0.10 |
0.10 |
0.10 |
|
Compressed Natural Gas |
0.02 |
0.09 |
0.09 |
0.09 |
0.08 |
0.08 |
|
Liquid Hydrogen |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
|
Pipeline Fuel |
0.7 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
|
Total |
26.3 |
32.8 |
32.0 |
32.1 |
29.2 |
29.2 |
|
CO2 Emissions (Million Metric Tons Carbon Equivalent) |
498 |
626 |
612 |
610 |
557 |
557 |
|
2020 |
||||||
|
Energy Use by Mode (Quadrillion Btu) |
||||||
|
Light-Duty Vehicle |
15.5 |
21.8 |
21.0 |
21.0 |
16.7 |
16.7 |
|
Heavy-Duty Vehicle |
4.6 |
6.7 |
6.1 |
6.1 |
5.9 |
5.9 |
|
Air |
3.5 |
6.0 |
5.9 |
5.9 |
5.7 |
5.7 |
|
Rail |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
|
Marine |
1.3 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
|
Pipeline Fuel |
0.7 |
1.1 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
|
Lubricants |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
|
Total |
26.3 |
38.2 |
36.3 |
36.3 |
31.5 |
31.5 |
|
Energy Use by Fuel Type (Quadrillion Btu) |
||||||
|
Motor Gasoline |
15.9 |
21.3 |
20.3 |
20.3 |
16.2 |
16.2 |
|
Distillate |
5.1 |
8.2 |
7.6 |
7.5 |
7.1 |
7.0 |
|
Jet Fuel |
3.5 |
6.0 |
5.9 |
5.9 |
5.7 |
5.7 |
|
Residual Fuel |
0.7 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
|
Other Petroleum |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
|
Petroleum Subtotal |
25.5 |
36.7 |
35.0 |
34.9 |
30.2 |
30.2 |
|
Methanol (M85) |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
0.01 |
|
Ethanol (E85) |
0.01 |
0.04 |
0.06 |
0.06 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
|
Electricity |
0.06 |
0.17 |
0.14 |
0.14 |
0.14 |
0.14 |
|
Compressed Natural Gas |
0.02 |
0.16 |
0.15 |
0.15 |
0.13 |
0.13 |
|
Liquid Hydrogen |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
|
Pipeline Fuel |
0.7 |
1.1 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
|
Total |
26.3 |
38.2 |
36.3 |
36.3 |
31.5 |
31.5 |
|
CO2 Emissions (Million Metric Tons Carbon Equivalent) |
498 |
730 |
684 |
682 |
593 |
593 |
| Source: National Energy Modeling System, runs SCENABS.D080301A, SCENCBS.D080301A, SCENCEM.D081601A, SCENDBS.D092601B, and SCENDEMR.D092701A. | ||||||
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