|
Table
28. Transportation Efficiency and Travel in the CEF-JL
Moderate
and Advanced Cases, 2010 and 2020
|
Projections |
1999 |
Reference |
CEF-JL Moderate |
CEF-JL Advanced |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Without Emissions Limits |
With |
Without Emissions Limits |
With |
|||
|
2010 |
||||||
|
Energy Efficiency Indicators |
||||||
|
New Light-Duty Vehicle (Miles per Gallon) |
24.2 |
27.2 |
28.0 |
28.1 |
31.6 |
31.6 |
|
New Car (Miles per Gallon) |
27.9 |
32.5 |
34.5 |
34.5 |
38.0 |
38.0 |
|
New Light Truck (Miles per Gallon) |
20.8 |
23.3 |
23.5 |
23.5 |
26.9 |
26.9 |
|
Light-Duty Fleet (Miles per Gallon) |
20.5 |
21.0 |
21.2 |
21.3 |
22.8 |
22.8 |
|
Aircraft Efficiency (Seat Miles per Gallon) |
51.7 |
56.1 |
56.2 |
56.2 |
57.5 |
57.5 |
|
Freight Truck Efficiency (Miles per Gallon) |
6.0 |
6.4 |
6.8 |
6.8 |
6.8 |
6.8 |
|
Rail Efficiency (Ton Miles per Thousand Btu) |
2.8 |
3.1 |
3.1 |
3.1 |
3.3 |
3.3 |
|
Domestic Shipping (Ton Miles per Thousand Btu) |
2.3 |
2.7 |
2.7 |
2.7 |
2.7 |
2.7 |
|
Travel |
||||||
|
Light-Duty Vehicle (Billion Miles) |
2,394 |
3,059 |
3,061 |
3,060 |
2,816 |
2,816 |
|
Heavy-Duty Vehicle (Billion Miles) |
204 |
279 |
275 |
275 |
275 |
275 |
|
Air (Billion Seat Miles) |
1,099 |
1,586 |
1,594 |
1,594 |
1,588 |
1,586 |
|
Rail (Billion Ton Miles) |
1,353 |
1,708 |
1,680 |
1,453 |
1,545 |
1,462 |
|
Domestic Shipping (Billion Ton Miles) |
661 |
778 |
754 |
748 |
739 |
738 |
|
2020 |
||||||
|
Energy Efficiency Indicators |
||||||
|
New Light-Duty Vehicle (Miles per Gallon) |
24.2 |
28.1 |
29.0 |
29.0 |
34.4 |
34.4 |
|
New Car (Miles per Gallon) |
27.9 |
32.5 |
34.5 |
34.5 |
40.1 |
40.1 |
|
New Light Truck (Miles per Gallon) |
20.8 |
24.7 |
25.0 |
25.0 |
30.0 |
30.0 |
|
Light-Duty Fleet (Miles per Gallon) |
20.5 |
21.5 |
22.1 |
22.1 |
25.8 |
25.8 |
|
Aircraft Efficiency (Seat Miles per Gallon) |
51.7 |
60.3 |
62.5 |
62.3 |
65.4 |
65.4 |
|
Freight Truck Efficiency (Miles per Gallon) |
6.0 |
6.9 |
7.4 |
7.4 |
7.6 |
7.6 |
|
Rail Efficiency (Ton Miles per Thousand Btu) |
2.8 |
3.4 |
3.5 |
3.5 |
3.9 |
3.9 |
|
Domestic Shipping (Ton Miles per Thousand Btu) |
2.3 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
|
Travel |
||||||
|
Light-Duty Vehicle (Billion Miles) |
2,394 |
3,575 |
3,579 |
3,579 |
3,315 |
3,316 |
|
Heavy-Duty Vehicle (Billion Miles) |
204 |
352 |
339 |
338 |
337 |
337 |
|
Air (Billion Seat Miles) |
1,099 |
2,316 |
2,340 |
2,340 |
2,332 |
2,332 |
|
Rail (Billion Ton Miles) |
1,353 |
1,967 |
1,881 |
1,609 |
1,693 |
1,594 |
|
Domestic Shipping (Billion Ton Miles) |
661 |
890 |
826 |
812 |
795 |
796 |
| Source: National Energy Modeling System, runs SCENABS.D080301A, SCENCBS.D080301A, SCENCEM.D081601A, SCENDBS.D092601B, and SCENDEMR.D092701A. | ||||||
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