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Table
11. Transportation Efficiency and Travel in the Reference and
Advanced Technology Cases, 2010 and 2020
|
Projections |
1999 |
Reference |
Advanced Technology |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Without Emissions Limits |
With |
Without Emissions Limits |
With |
||
|
2010 |
|||||
|
Energy Efficiency Indicators |
|||||
|
New Light-Duty Vehicle (Miles per Gallon) |
24.2 |
27.2 |
27.3 |
31.9 |
31.8 |
|
New Car (Miles per Gallon) |
27.9 |
32.5 |
32.5 |
36.3 |
36.2 |
|
New Light Truck (Miles per Gallon) |
20.8 |
23.3 |
23.4 |
28.3 |
28.3 |
|
Light-Duty Fleet (Miles per Gallon) |
20.5 |
21.0 |
21.0 |
22.3 |
22.3 |
|
Aircraft Efficiency (Seat Miles per Gallon) |
51.7 |
56.1 |
56.1 |
56.1 |
56.1 |
|
Freight Truck Efficiency (Miles per Gallon) |
6.0 |
6.4 |
6.4 |
6.7 |
6.7 |
|
Rail Efficiency (Ton Miles per Thousand Btu) |
2.8 |
3.1 |
3.1 |
3.3 |
3.3 |
|
Domestic Shipping (Ton Miles per Thousand Btu) |
2.3 |
2.7 |
2.7 |
2.7 |
2.7 |
|
Travel |
|||||
|
Light-Duty Vehicle (Billion Miles) |
2,394 |
3,059 |
3,053 |
3,072 |
3,073 |
|
Heavy-Duty Vehicle (Billion Miles) |
204 |
279 |
278 |
278 |
278 |
|
Air (Billion Seat Miles) |
1,099 |
1,586 |
1,582 |
1,586 |
1,587 |
|
Rail (Billion Ton Miles) |
1,353 |
1,708 |
1,450 |
1,701 |
1,462 |
|
Domestic Shipping (Billion Ton Miles) |
661 |
778 |
756 |
771 |
765 |
|
2020 |
|||||
|
Energy Efficiency Indicators |
|||||
|
New Light-Duty Vehicle (Miles per Gallon) |
24.2 |
28.1 |
28.1 |
34.9 |
34.8 |
|
New Car (Miles per Gallon) |
27.9 |
32.5 |
32.5 |
39.1 |
39.0 |
|
New Light Truck (Miles per Gallon) |
20.8 |
24.7 |
24.7 |
31.4 |
31.4 |
|
Light-Duty Fleet (Miles per Gallon) |
20.5 |
21.5 |
21.6 |
25.1 |
25.1 |
|
Aircraft Efficiency (Seat Miles per Gallon) |
51.7 |
60.3 |
60.3 |
61.8 |
61.8 |
|
Freight Truck Efficiency (Miles per Gallon) |
6.0 |
6.9 |
6.9 |
7.5 |
7.5 |
|
Rail Efficiency (Ton Miles per Thousand Btu) |
2.8 |
3.4 |
3.4 |
3.8 |
3.8 |
|
Domestic Shipping (Ton Miles per Thousand Btu) |
2.3 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
3.2 |
3.2 |
|
Travel |
|||||
|
Light-Duty Vehicle (Billion Miles) |
2,394 |
3,575 |
3,573 |
3,597 |
3,599 |
|
Heavy-Duty Vehicle (Billion Miles) |
204 |
352 |
352 |
352 |
351 |
|
Air (Billion Seat Miles) |
1,099 |
2,316 |
2,316 |
2,318 |
2,318 |
|
Rail (Billion Ton Miles) |
1,353 |
1,967 |
1,611 |
1,932 |
1,633 |
|
Domestic Shipping (Billion Ton Miles) |
661 |
890 |
861 |
873 |
869 |
| Source: National Energy Modeling System, runs SCENABS.D080301A, SCENAEM.D081601A, SCENBBS.D080301A, and SCENBEM. D081701A. | |||||
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