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Table 11.  Transportation Efficiency and Travel in the Reference and
Advanced Technology Cases, 2010 and 2020

Projections

1999

Reference

Advanced Technology

Without Emissions Limits

With
Emissions Limits

Without Emissions Limits

With
Emissions Limits

   

2010

Energy Efficiency Indicators

         

  New Light-Duty Vehicle (Miles per Gallon)

24.2

27.2

27.3

31.9

31.8

  New Car (Miles per Gallon)

27.9

32.5

32.5

36.3

36.2

  New Light Truck (Miles per Gallon)

20.8

23.3

23.4

28.3

28.3

  Light-Duty Fleet (Miles per Gallon)

20.5

21.0

21.0

22.3

22.3

  Aircraft Efficiency (Seat Miles per Gallon)

51.7

56.1

56.1

56.1

56.1

  Freight Truck Efficiency (Miles per Gallon)

  6.0

  6.4

  6.4

  6.7

  6.7

  Rail Efficiency (Ton Miles per Thousand Btu)

  2.8

  3.1

  3.1

  3.3

  3.3

  Domestic Shipping (Ton Miles per Thousand Btu)

  2.3

  2.7

  2.7

  2.7

  2.7

Travel

         

  Light-Duty Vehicle (Billion Miles)

2,394

3,059

3,053

3,072

3,073

  Heavy-Duty Vehicle (Billion Miles)

   204

   279

   278

   278

   278

  Air (Billion Seat Miles)

1,099

1,586

1,582

1,586

1,587

  Rail (Billion Ton Miles)

1,353

1,708

1,450

1,701

1,462

  Domestic Shipping (Billion Ton Miles)

   661

   778

   756

   771

   765

   

2020

Energy Efficiency Indicators

         

  New Light-Duty Vehicle (Miles per Gallon)

24.2

28.1

28.1

34.9

34.8

  New Car (Miles per Gallon)

27.9

32.5

32.5

39.1

39.0

  New Light Truck (Miles per Gallon)

20.8

24.7

24.7

31.4

31.4

  Light-Duty Fleet (Miles per Gallon)

20.5

21.5

21.6

25.1

25.1

  Aircraft Efficiency (Seat Miles per Gallon)

51.7

60.3

60.3

61.8

61.8

  Freight Truck Efficiency (Miles per Gallon)

  6.0

  6.9

  6.9

  7.5

  7.5

  Rail Efficiency (Ton Miles per Thousand Btu)

  2.8

  3.4

  3.4

  3.8

  3.8

  Domestic Shipping (Ton Miles per Thousand Btu)

  2.3

  3.0

  3.0

  3.2

  3.2

Travel

         

  Light-Duty Vehicle (Billion Miles)

2,394

3,575

3,573

3,597

3,599

  Heavy-Duty Vehicle (Billion Miles)

   204

   352

   352

   352

   351

  Air (Billion Seat Miles)

1,099

2,316

2,316

2,318

2,318

  Rail (Billion Ton Miles)

1,353

1,967

1,611

1,932

1,633

  Domestic Shipping (Billion Ton Miles)

   661

   890

   861

   873

   869

Source: National Energy Modeling System, runs SCENABS.D080301A, SCENAEM.D081601A, SCENBBS.D080301A, and SCENBEM. D081701A.

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