|
Table
10. Transportation Energy Consumption in the Reference and
Advanced Technology Cases, 2010 and 2020
|
Projections |
1999 |
Reference |
Advanced Technology |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Without Emissions Limits |
With |
Without Emissions Limits |
With |
||
|
2010 |
|||||
|
Energy Use by Mode (Quadrillion Btu) |
|||||
|
Light-Duty Vehicle |
15.5 |
19.2 |
19.1 |
18.0 |
18.0 |
|
Heavy-Duty Vehicle |
4.5 |
5.8 |
5.8 |
5.6 |
5.6 |
|
Air |
3.5 |
4.6 |
4.5 |
4.5 |
4.6 |
|
Rail |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
|
Marine |
1.3 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
|
Pipeline Fuel |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
|
Lubricants |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
|
Total |
26.3 |
32.8 |
32.7 |
31.3 |
31.3 |
|
Energy Use by Fuel Type (Quadrillion Btu) |
|||||
|
Motor Gasoline |
15.9 |
18.9 |
18.9 |
17.9 |
17.9 |
|
Distillate |
5.1 |
7.0 |
6.9 |
6.6 |
6.5 |
|
Jet Fuel |
3.5 |
4.5 |
4.5 |
4.5 |
4.5 |
|
Residual Fuel |
0.7 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
|
Other Petroleum |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
|
Petroleum Subtotal |
25.5 |
31.6 |
31.5 |
30.2 |
30.1 |
|
Methanol (M85) |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.01 |
0.00 |
0.01 |
|
Ethanol (E85) |
0.01 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
|
Electricity |
0.06 |
0.12 |
0.12 |
0.09 |
0.09 |
|
Compressed Natural Gas |
0.02 |
0.09 |
0.09 |
0.13 |
0.13 |
|
Liquid Hydrogen |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
|
Pipeline Fuel |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
|
Total |
26.3 |
32.8 |
32.7 |
31.3 |
31.3 |
|
CO2 Emissions (Million Metric Tons Carbon Equivalent) |
498 |
626 |
623 |
597 |
596 |
|
2020
|
|||||
|
Energy Use by Mode (Quadrillion Btu) |
|||||
|
Light-Duty Vehicle |
15.5 |
21.7 |
21.7 |
18.8 |
18.8 |
|
Heavy-Duty Vehicle |
4.5 |
6.7 |
6.7 |
6.2 |
6.2 |
|
Air |
3.5 |
6.0 |
6.0 |
5.9 |
5.9 |
|
Rail |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
|
Marine |
1.3 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
|
Pipeline Fuel |
0.7 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
|
Lubricants |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
|
Total |
26.3 |
38.2 |
38.1 |
34.3 |
34.4 |
|
Energy Use by Fuel Type (Quadrillion Btu) |
|||||
|
Motor Gasoline |
15.9 |
21.3 |
21.2 |
18.4 |
18.4 |
|
Distillate |
5.1 |
8.2 |
8.1 |
7.3 |
7.3 |
|
Jet Fuel |
3.5 |
6.0 |
6.0 |
5.8 |
5.8 |
|
Residual Fuel |
0.7 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
|
Other Petroleum |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
|
Petroleum Subtotal |
25.5 |
36.7 |
36.6 |
32.9 |
32.9 |
|
Methanol (M85) |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.01 |
0.00 |
|
Ethanol (E85) |
0.01 |
0.04 |
0.04 |
0.07 |
0.07 |
|
Electricity |
0.06 |
0.17 |
0.17 |
0.12 |
0.12 |
|
Compressed Natural Gas |
0.02 |
0.16 |
0.15 |
0.22 |
0.21 |
|
Liquid Hydrogen |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
|
Pipeline Fuel |
0.7 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
|
Total |
26.3 |
38.2 |
38.1 |
34.3 |
34.4 |
|
CO2 Emissions (Million Metric Tons Carbon Equivalent) |
498 |
730 |
725 |
653 |
652 |
| Source: National Energy Modeling System, runs SCENABS.D080301A, SCENAEM.D081601A, SCENBBS.D080301A, and SCENBEM. D081701A. | |||||
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