Table 9.  Key Results for the Electricity Generation Sector in Hg Emission Cap Technology Cases, 2010 and 2020

Projection

1999

2010

2020

Reference

Hg 5-Ton Recycle

Hg MACT 90%

Reference

Hg 5-Ton Recycle

Hg MACT 90%

Emissions (Tons)

             

  Hg

  43

  46

    5

    8

  45

    5

    8

  SO2 (Millions)

12.7

9.7

9.7

9.7

8.9

8.9

8.9

  NOx (Millions)

  5.7

4.3

3.4

3.4

4.5

3.5

3.6

  CO2a

556

693

675

690

777

757

773

Allowance Prices (1999 Dollars)

  Hg (per Pound)

NA

NA

40,211

NA

NA

45,785

NA

  SO2 (per Ton)

207

   187

     118

   114

   241

     109

   145

  NOx (per Ton)

NA

4,391

  3,140

4,162

5,037

  4,682

4,798

  CO2 (per Ton)b

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

NA

Electricity Price
(1999 Cents per Kilowatthour)

6.66

6.14

6.22

6.19

6.21

6.30

6.21

Generation by Fuel (Billion Kilowatthours)

  Coal

1,893

2,297

2,188

2,266

2,366

2,249

2,336

  Oil and Other

   106

   50

     47

     48

     49

     49

     48

  Natural Gas

   593

1,085

1,174

1,115

1,813

1,907

1,842

  Nuclear

   734

   725

    725

   725

   613

   613

   617

  Renewable

   401

   440

   451

   436

   452

   464

   451

    Total

3,728

4,597

4,585

4,590

5,294

5,281

5,294

Emissions Controls (Cumulative Gigawatts of Generating Capability with Controls Added)

  Scrubbersc

0

  7

  12

  27

15

  25

  27

  SCR

0

93

  96

  94

93

  98

  95

  SNCR

0

26

   22

  25

43

  27

  36

  Hg Emission Controls

             

    Spray Cooling

0

  0

148

169

  0

156

174

    Fabric Filter

0

  0

238

187

  0

245

192

aMillion metric tons carbon equivalent.

b1999 dollars per metric ton carbon equivalent.

cAn additional 2.7 gigawatts of retrofits are planned during 2000-2002.

NA = not applicable.

Source: National Energy Modeling System, runs M2BASE.D060801A, M2M9008A.D060801A, and M2M9008M.D060801A.

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