Table 8. Key Results for the Electricity Generation Sector in Hg Emission Cap Cases, 2010 and 2020
|
Projection |
1999 |
2010 |
2020 |
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Reference |
Hg 5-Ton |
Hg 20-Ton |
Reference |
Hg 5-Ton |
Hg 20-Ton |
||
|
Emissions (Tons) |
|||||||
|
Hg |
43 |
46 |
5 |
20 |
45 |
5 |
20 |
|
SO2 (Millions) |
12.7 |
9.7 |
8.8 |
9.7 |
8.9 |
7.2 |
9.0 |
|
NOx (Millions) |
5.7 |
4.3 |
3.3 |
3.4 |
4.5 |
3.5 |
3.5 |
|
CO2a |
556 |
693 |
664 |
684 |
777 |
748 |
769 |
|
Allowance Prices (1999 Dollars) |
|||||||
|
Hg (per Pound) |
NA |
NA |
178,959 |
72,519 |
NA |
193,973 |
68,918 |
|
SO2 (per Ton) |
207 |
187 |
0 |
0 |
241 |
0 |
12 |
|
NOx (per Ton) |
NA |
4,391 |
2,651 |
3,669 |
5,037 |
4,545 |
4,645 |
|
CO2 (per Ton)b |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
|
Electricity Price |
6.66 |
6.14 |
6.38 |
6.23 |
6.21 |
6.37 |
6.28 |
|
Generation by Fuel (Billion Kilowatthours) |
|||||||
|
Coal |
1,893 |
2,297 |
2,134 |
2,237 |
2,366 |
2,200 |
2,318 |
|
Oil and Other |
106 |
50 |
49 |
48 |
49 |
51 |
52 |
|
Natural Gas |
593 |
1,085 |
1,218 |
1,133 |
1,813 |
1,951 |
1,847 |
|
Nuclear |
734 |
725 |
725 |
725 |
613 |
613 |
617 |
|
Renewable |
401 |
440 |
444 |
439 |
452 |
459 |
452 |
|
Total |
3,728 |
4,597 |
4,570 |
4,583 |
5,294 |
5,273 |
5,285 |
|
Emissions Controls (Cumulative Gigawatts of Generating Capability with Controls Added) |
|||||||
|
Scrubbersc |
0 |
7 |
18 |
43 |
15 |
52 |
43 |
|
SCR |
0 |
93 |
95 |
92 |
93 |
99 |
100 |
|
SNCR |
0 |
26 |
23 |
26 |
43 |
25 |
30 |
|
Hg Emission Controls |
|||||||
|
Spray Cooling |
0 |
0 |
241 |
34 |
0 |
254 |
40 |
|
Fabric Filter |
0 |
0 |
261 |
38 |
0 |
263 |
43 |
|
aMillion metric tons carbon equivalent. b1999 dollars per metric ton carbon equivalent. cAn additional 2.7 gigawatts of retrofits are planned during 2000-2002. NA = not applicable. Source: National Energy Modeling System, runs M2BASE.D060801A, M2M9008.D060801A, and M2M6008.D060801A. |
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