Table 34.  Comparison of EPA and EIA Projections for Coal Supply by Region 
and Mercury Emissions Reduction Scenario, 2010
(Million Short Tons)

Coal Supply Region

EIA

EPA

Reference

Hg 20-Ton (60% Hg Reduction by 2008)

Integrated NOX, SO2, CO2 1990-7%, Hg (90% Hg Reduction  by 2008)

Hg MACT 90%

Reference

65% Hg Reduction, Cap and Trade

65% Hg Cap and 50% SO2 by 2010

65% Hg Cap, 50% SO2, 515 Carbon with High Efficiency

65% MACT

Northern Appalachia

   165

   158

  82

   170

   109

   105

   130

   113

   111

Central and Southern Appalachia

   255

   264

163

   248

   213

   203

   156

   143

   216

Midwest

   136

   172

106

   150

   109

   131

   162

   149

   127

West

   694

   621

317

   669

   540

   504

   470

   357

   499

Central West and Gulfa

     44

     24

    6

     46

     63

     50

     47

     14

     58

  Total

1,295

1,239

674

1,282

1,034

   992

   964

   776

1,011

aCentral West and Gulf corresponds to the Western Interior and Gulf supply regions in EIA’s NEMS Coal Market Module.

Sources: EIA: National Energy Modeling System runs M2BASE.D060801A, M2M6008.D060801A, M2P7B08.D060801A, and M2M9008M. D060801A. EPA: 1999 Integrated Planning Model runs HgIPM9c, Hgtrading1d, Hgtrading2d, Hgtrading3d, and HgMact1d.

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