Table 25.  Renewable Fuels Market Projections in the CO2 1990-7% 2008 Case, 2010 and 2020
(Billion Kilowatthours)

Projection

1999

2010

2020

Reference Case

CO2 1990-7% 2008 Case

Reference Case

CO2 1990-7% 2008 Case

Total Electricity Generation

3,706

4,597

4,280

5,294

4,963

Total Electricity Sales

3,312

4,147

3,803

4,788

4,204

Electricity Generation Using Renewables

         

   Conventional Hydroelectric Power

   319

   306

   311

   304

   309

   Geothermal

     17

     31

     78

     31

     82

   Municipal Solid Waste and Landfill Gas

     27

     28

     36

     32

     40

   Wood and Other Biomass

     38

     56

   108

     63

   118

      Dedicated Biomass

     36

     46

     51

     57

     68

      Biomass Co-firing

       1

     10

     57

       6

     50

   Solar (Thermal and Photovoltaic)

       1

       2

       2

       3

       4

   Wind

       5

     18

     24

     19

      44

      Total Renewables

   406

   441

   559

   453

   596

      Total Nonhydroelectric Renewables

     87

   136

   248

   149

   287

Average End-Use Electricity Price
(1999 Cents per Kilowatthour)

6.7

6.1

8.8

6.2

8.6

Source: National Energy Modeling System, runs M2BASE.D060801A and M2C7B08.D060801A.

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