Table 24. Renewable Fuels Market Projections in Two RPS Cases, 2010 and
2020
(Billion Kilowatthours)
|
Projection |
1999 |
2010 |
2020 |
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Reference Case |
RPS 20% Case |
RPS 10% Case |
Reference Case |
RPS 20% Case |
RPS 10% Case |
||
|
Total Electricity Generation |
3,706 |
4,597 |
4,573 |
4,591 |
5,294 |
5,252 |
5,285 |
|
Total Electricity Sales |
3,312 |
4,147 |
4,117 |
4,141 |
4,788 |
4,707 |
4,771 |
|
Electricity Generation Using Renewables |
|||||||
|
Conventional Hydroelectric Power |
319 |
306 |
306 |
306 |
304 |
304 |
305 |
|
Geothermal |
17 |
31 |
104 |
63 |
31 |
114 |
76 |
|
Municipal Solid Waste and Landfill Gas |
27 |
28 |
35 |
32 |
32 |
40 |
37 |
|
Wood and Other Biomass |
38 |
56 |
190 |
96 |
63 |
527 |
251 |
|
Dedicated Biomass |
36 |
46 |
149 |
47 |
57 |
447 |
160 |
|
Biomass Co-firing |
1 |
10 |
40 |
49 |
6 |
79 |
92 |
|
Solar (Thermal and Photovoltaic) |
1 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
|
Wind |
5 |
18 |
96 |
22 |
19 |
264 |
116 |
|
Total Renewables |
406 |
441 |
732 |
521 |
453 |
1,253 |
788 |
|
Total Nonhydroelectric Renewables |
87 |
136 |
426 |
215 |
149 |
948 |
483 |
|
Average End-Use Electricity Price |
6.7 |
6.1 |
6.3 |
6.2 |
6.2 |
6.5 |
6.2 |
| Source: National Energy Modeling System, runs M2BASE.D060801A, M2RPS20_X.D070601A, and M2RPS20H_X.D070601A. | |||||||