Table 24.  Renewable Fuels Market Projections in Two RPS Cases, 2010 and 2020
(Billion Kilowatthours)

Projection

1999

2010

2020

Reference Case

RPS 20% Case

RPS 10% Case

Reference Case

RPS 20% Case

RPS 10% Case

Total Electricity Generation

3,706

4,597

4,573

4,591

5,294

5,252

5,285

Total Electricity Sales

3,312

4,147

4,117

4,141

4,788

4,707

4,771

Electricity Generation Using Renewables

             

   Conventional Hydroelectric Power

   319

   306

   306

   306

   304

   304

   305

   Geothermal

     17

     31

   104

     63

     31

   114

     76

   Municipal Solid Waste and Landfill Gas

     27

     28

     35

     32

     32

     40

     37

   Wood and Other Biomass

     38

     56

   190

     96

     63

   527

   251

      Dedicated Biomass

     36

     46

   149

     47

     57

   447

   160

      Biomass Co-firing

       1

     10

     40

     49

       6

     79

     92

   Solar (Thermal and Photovoltaic)

       1

       2

       2

       2

       3

       3

       3

   Wind

       5

     18

     96

     22

     19

   264

   116

      Total Renewables

   406

   441

   732

   521

   453

1,253

   788

      Total Nonhydroelectric Renewables

     87

   136

   426

   215

   149

   948

   483

Average End-Use Electricity Price
(1999 Cents per Kilowatthour)

6.7

6.1

6.3

6.2

6.2

6.5

6.2

Source: National Energy Modeling System, runs M2BASE.D060801A, M2RPS20_X.D070601A, and M2RPS20H_X.D070601A.

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