Table 18.  Coal Market Projections in the Integrated Moderate Targets 
and Integrated All CO
2 1990-7% Cases, 2010 and 2020

Projection

1999

2010

2020

Reference Case

Integrated Moderate Targets
Case

Integrated All CO2 1990-7% Case

Reference Case

Integrated Moderate Targets
Case

Integrated All CO2 1990-7% Case

Electricity Sector Coal Consumption
(Million Tons)

   923

1,145

738

587

1,196

680

574

Total Coal Production
(Million Tons)

1,110

1,295

895

749

1,340

836

731

Minemouth Coal Price
(1999 Dollars per Ton)

16.98

14.08

14.14

15.43

12.87

12.68

14.08

Delivered Coal Price to Generators
(1999 Dollars per Million Btu)

1.22

1.06

0.98

0.98

0.98

0.88

0.91

Effective Delivered Coal Price to Generators (1999 Dollars per Million Btu)a

1.22

1.06

3.83

4.15

0.98

3.94

3.19

Scrubber Retrofits
(Cumulative Gigawatts of Generating Capability with Scrubbers Added)b

0

7

4

28

15

4

32

Average Hg Content of Coal
(Pounds per Trillion Btu)a

7.7

7.2

6.6

6.4

7.0

6.6

6.4

aEffective delivered price reflects the cost impact of CO2 emission allowances in cases that include a CO2 cap.

bAn additional 2.7 gigawatts of retrofits are planned during 2000-2002.

cModel estimate, calculated by weighting Hg content for each coal supply curve (see Table 6 in Chapter 2) by model estimates of shipments.

Source: National Energy Modeling System, runs M2BASE.D060801A, M2PHF08R_X.D070901A, and M2P7B08R_X.D070601A.

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