Table 18. Coal Market Projections in the Integrated Moderate Targets
and
Integrated All CO2 1990-7% Cases, 2010 and 2020
|
Projection |
1999 |
2010 |
2020 |
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Reference Case |
Integrated Moderate Targets |
Integrated All CO2 1990-7% Case |
Reference Case |
Integrated Moderate Targets |
Integrated All CO2 1990-7% Case |
||
|
Electricity Sector Coal Consumption |
923 |
1,145 |
738 |
587 |
1,196 |
680 |
574 |
|
Total Coal Production |
1,110 |
1,295 |
895 |
749 |
1,340 |
836 |
731 |
|
Minemouth Coal Price |
16.98 |
14.08 |
14.14 |
15.43 |
12.87 |
12.68 |
14.08 |
|
Delivered Coal Price to Generators |
1.22 |
1.06 |
0.98 |
0.98 |
0.98 |
0.88 |
0.91 |
|
Effective Delivered Coal Price to Generators (1999 Dollars per Million Btu)a |
1.22 |
1.06 |
3.83 |
4.15 |
0.98 |
3.94 |
3.19 |
|
Scrubber Retrofits |
0 |
7 |
4 |
28 |
15 |
4 |
32 |
|
Average Hg Content of Coal |
7.7 |
7.2 |
6.6 |
6.4 |
7.0 |
6.6 |
6.4 |
|
aEffective delivered price reflects the cost impact of CO2 emission allowances in cases that include a CO2 cap. bAn additional 2.7 gigawatts of retrofits are planned during 2000-2002. cModel estimate, calculated by weighting Hg content for each coal supply curve (see Table 6 in Chapter 2) by model estimates of shipments. Source: National Energy Modeling System, runs M2BASE.D060801A, M2PHF08R_X.D070901A, and M2P7B08R_X.D070601A. |
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