Analysis of Strategies for Reducing Multiple Emissions from Electric Power Plants: Sulfur Dioxide, Nitrogen Oxides, Carbon Dioxide, and Mercury and a Renewable Portfolio Standard - Table 17. Coal Market Projections in Selected Integrated Cases With No RPS, 2010 and 2020

Table 17. Coal Market Projections in Selected Integrated Cases With No RPS, 2010 and 2020

Projection	1999	2010				2020
		Reference Case	Integrated Cases			Reference Case	Integrated Cases
		Reference Case	NO_x, SO₂, CO₂ 1990	NO_x, SO₂, CO₂ 1990-7%	NO_x, SO₂, CO₂ 1990-7%, Hg	Reference Case	NO_x, SO₂, CO₂ 1990	NO_x, SO₂, CO₂ 1990-7%	NO_x, SO₂, CO₂ 1990-7%, Hg
Electricity Sector Coal Consumption (Million Tons)	923	1,145	694	567	518	1,196	554	485	478
Total Coal Production (Million Tons)	1,110	1,295	853	724	674	1,340	721	641	640
Minemouth Coal Price (1999 Dollars per Ton)	16.98	14.08	13.42	13.43	14.38	12.87	11.90	12.16	13.41
Delivered Coal Price to Generators (1999 Dollars per Million Btu)	1.22	1.06	0.95	0.91	0.93	0.98	0.85	0.82	0.85
Effective Delivered Coal Price to Generators^a (1999 Dollars per Million Btu)	1.22	1.06	3.83	4.54	3.99	0.98	4.52	4.77	4.68
Scrubber Retrofits (Cumulative Gigawatts of Generating Capability with Scrubbers Added)^b	0	7	14	19	21	15	14	19	21
Average Hg Content of Coal (Pounds per Trillion Btu)^c	7.7	7.2	6.8	7.2	6.4	7.0	6.8	7.1	6.4
^aEffective delivered price reflects the cost impact of CO₂ emission allowances in cases that include a CO₂ cap. ^bAn additional 2.7 gigawatts of retrofits are planned during 2000-2002. ^cModel estimate, calculated by weighting Hg content for each coal supply curve (see Table 6 in Chapter 2) by model estimates of shipments. Source: National Energy Modeling System, runs M2BASE.D060801A, M2NM9008.D060801A, M2NM7B08.D060901A, and M2P7B08. D060801A.