Table 16. Coal Market Projections in the CO2 1990-7% 2008 Case, 2010 and 2020
|
Projection |
1999 |
2010 |
2020 |
||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Reference |
CO2 1990-7% 2008 Case |
Reference |
CO2 1990-7% 2008 Case |
||
|
Electricity Sector Coal Consumption |
923 |
1,145 |
559 |
1,196 |
491 |
|
Total Coal Production |
1,110 |
1,295 |
715 |
1,340 |
641 |
|
Minemouth Coal Price |
16.98 |
14.08 |
14.22 |
12.87 |
12.77 |
|
Delivered Coal Price to Generators |
1.22 |
1.06 |
0.93 |
0.98 |
0.84 |
|
Effective Delivered Coal Price to Generatorsa |
1.22 |
1.06 |
4.93 |
0.98 |
4.71 |
|
Scrubber Retrofits |
0 |
7 |
0 |
15 |
0 |
|
aEffective delivered price reflects the cost impact of CO2 emission allowances in cases that include a CO2 cap. bAn additional 2.7 gigawatts of retrofits are planned during 2000-2002. Source: National Energy Modeling System, runs M2BASE.D060801A and M2C7B08.D060801A. |
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