Table 16.  Coal Market Projections in the CO2 1990-7% 2008 Case, 2010 and 2020

Projection

1999

2010

2020

Reference
Case

CO2 1990-7% 2008 Case

Reference
Case

 CO2 1990-7% 2008 Case

Electricity Sector Coal Consumption
(Million Tons)

    923

1,145

559

1,196

491

Total Coal Production
(Million Tons)

1,110

1,295

715

1,340

641

Minemouth Coal Price
(1999 Dollars per Ton)

16.98

14.08

14.22

12.87

12.77

Delivered Coal Price to Generators
(1999 Dollars per Million Btu)

1.22

1.06

0.93

0.98

0.84

Effective Delivered Coal Price to Generatorsa
(1999 Dollars per Million Btu)

1.22

1.06

4.93

0.98

4.71

Scrubber Retrofits
(Cumulative Gigawatts of Generating Capability with Scrubbers Added)b

0

7

0

15

0

aEffective delivered price reflects the cost impact of CO2 emission allowances in cases that include a CO2 cap.

bAn additional 2.7 gigawatts of retrofits are planned during 2000-2002.

Source: National Energy Modeling System, runs M2BASE.D060801A and M2C7B08.D060801A.

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