Table 15.  Coal Market Projections in Two RPS Cases, 2010 and 2020

Projection

1999

2010

2020

Reference Case

RPS 10% Case

RPS 20% Case

Reference Case

RPS 10% Case

RPS 20% Case

Electricity Sector Coal Consumption
(Million Tons)

   923

1,145

1,122

1,074

1,196

1,131

1,043

Total Coal Production
(Million Tons)

1,110

1,295

1,273

1,225

1,340

1,275

1,188

Minemouth Coal Price
(1999 Dollars per Ton)

16.98

14.08

14.05

14.19

12.87

12.99

13.28

Delivered Coal Price to Generators
(1999 Dollars per Million Btu)

1.22

1.06

1.06

1.07

0.98

0.98

0.97

Electricity Generation with Biomass Co-firing
(Billion Kilowatthours)

0.9

10

49

40

6

92

79

Scrubber Retrofits
(Cumulative Gigawatts of Generating Capability with Scrubbers Added)a

0

7

6

6

15

10

10

aAn additional 2.7 gigawatts of retrofits are planned during 2000-2002.

Source: National Energy Modeling System, runs M2BASE.D060801A, M2RPS20H_X.D070601A, and M2RPS20_X.D070601A.

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