Table 14. Coal Market Projections in Mercury Emission Reduction Cases, 2010 and 2020
|
Projection |
1999 |
2010 |
2020 |
||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Reference Case |
Hg |
Hg |
Hg |
Reference Case |
Hg |
Hg |
Hg |
||
|
Electricity Sector Coal Consumption (Million Tons) |
923 |
1,145 |
1,091 |
1,051 |
1,132 |
1,196 |
1,144 |
1,080 |
1,176 |
|
Total Coal Production |
1,110 |
1,295 |
1,238 |
1,201 |
1,282 |
1,340 |
1,289 |
1,229 |
1,320 |
|
Minemouth Coal Price |
16.98 |
14.08 |
15.37 |
14.83 |
14.25 |
12.87 |
14.10 |
14.52 |
13.32 |
|
Delivered Coal Price to Generators (1999 Dollars per Million Btu) |
1.22 |
1.06 |
1.06 |
1.09 |
1.04 |
0.98 |
0.98 |
1.01 |
0.97 |
|
Scrubber Retrofits |
0 |
7 |
43 |
18 |
27 |
15 |
43 |
52 |
27 |
|
Average Hg Content of Coal (Pounds per Trillion Btu)b |
7.7 |
7.2 |
6.7 |
6.1 |
7.1 |
7.0 |
6.5 |
6.3 |
7.0 |
|
aAn additional 2.7 gigawatts of retrofits are planned during 2000-2002. bModel estimate, calculated by weighting Hg content for each coal supply curve (see Table 6 in Chapter 2) by model estimates of shipments. Source: National Energy Modeling System, runs M2BASE.D060801A, M2M6008.D060801A, M2M9008.D060801A, and M2M9008M.D060801A. |
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