Table 14.  Coal Market Projections in Mercury Emission Reduction Cases, 2010 and 2020

Projection

1999

2010

2020

Reference Case

Hg
20-Ton Case

Hg
5-Ton Case

Hg
MACT 90% Case

Reference Case

Hg
20-Ton Case

Hg
5-Ton Case

Hg
MACT 90% Case

Electricity Sector Coal Consumption (Million Tons)

   923

1,145

1,091

1,051

1,132

1,196

1,144

1,080

1,176

Total Coal Production
(Million Tons)

1,110

1,295

1,238

1,201

1,282

1,340

1,289

1,229

1,320

Minemouth Coal Price
(1999 Dollars per Ton)

16.98

14.08

15.37

14.83

14.25

12.87

14.10

14.52

13.32

Delivered Coal Price to Generators (1999 Dollars per Million Btu)

1.22

1.06

1.06

1.09

1.04

0.98

0.98

1.01

0.97

Scrubber Retrofits
(Cumulative Gigawatts of Generating Capability with Scrubbers Added)a

0

7

43

18

27

15

43

52

27

Average Hg Content of Coal (Pounds per Trillion Btu)b

7.7

7.2

6.7

6.1

7.1

7.0

6.5

6.3

7.0

aAn additional 2.7 gigawatts of retrofits are planned during 2000-2002.

bModel estimate, calculated by weighting Hg content for each coal supply curve (see Table 6 in Chapter 2) by model estimates of shipments.

Source: National Energy Modeling System, runs M2BASE.D060801A, M2M6008.D060801A, M2M9008.D060801A, and M2M9008M.D060801A.

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