Table 12.  Key Results for the Electricity Generation Sector in Integrated Cases, 2010 and 2020

Analysis Case

Generation by Fuel
(Billion Kilowatthours)

Natural Gas Wellhead Price
(1999 Dollars per Thousand Cubic Feet)

Allowance Prices (1999 Dollars)

Electricity Price
(1999 Cents per Kilowatt- hour)

Electricity Sales (Billion Kilowatt- hours)

Annual Household Electricity Bill
(1999 Dollars)

Total Electricity Revenue
(Billion 1999 Dollars)

Coal

Natural Gas

Renewable Fuels

CO2a
(per Ton)

NOx
(per Ton)

SO2
(per Ton)

Hg
(per Pound)

2010

Reference

2,297

1,085

   436

2.87

NA

4,391

187

NA

6.14

4,147

   944

255

Cases with CO2 Emissions Capped at 1990 Level

Integrated NOX, SO2, CO2 1990

1,432

1,585

   551

3.24

112

       0

431

NA

8.13

3,873

1,108

315

Integrated NOX, SO2, CO21990, Hg

1,333

1,734

   523

3.40

  84

       0

    1

221,624

7.92

3,896

1,090

308

Integrated All CO2 1990

1,471

1,344

   762

2.97

  84

       0

    3

216,210

8.01

3,882

1,097

311

Cases with CO2 Emissions Capped at 1990-7% Level

Integrated NOX, SO2, CO2 1990-7%

1,189

1,780

   551

3.50

142

       0

246

NA

8.62

3,830

1,152

330

Integrated NOX, SO2, CO21990-7%, Hg

1,113

1,889

   542

3.66

120

       0

    0

147,925

8.42

3,851

1,136

324

Integrated All CO2 1990-7%

1,268

1,512

   745

3.13

124

       0

    2

171,250

8.59

3,830

1,147

329

Integrated Sensitivity Cases

Integrated Moderate Targets

1,539

1,456

   572

3.09

111

       0

  43

  55,507

8.18

3,870

1,109

316

Integrated Cost of Service

1,046

2,025

   554

3.96

117

       0

    0

154,014

7.68

3,956

1,069

304

Integrated High Gas Price

1,124

1,838

   553

4.08

125

       0

    0

152,337

8.60

3,838

1,152

330

2020

Reference

2,366

1,813

   448

3.22

NA

5,037

241

NA

6.21

4,788

1,005

297

Cases with CO2 Emissions Capped at 1990 Level

Integrated NOX, SO2, CO2 1990

1,136

2,571

   572

3.69

143

       0

436

NA

8.41

4,291

1,177

361

Integrated NOX, SO2, CO21990, Hg

1,124

2,584

   561

3.72

135

       0

    2

148,278

8.36

4,309

1,172

360

Integrated All CO2 1990

1,390

1,784

1,178

3.09

  71

1,304

150

203,663

7.82

4,354

1,127

340

Cases with CO2 Emissions Capped at 1990-7% Level

Integrated NOX, SO2, CO2 1990-7%

1,013

2,605

   611

3.80

154

       0

259

NA

8.63

4,218

1,185

364

Integrated NOX, SO2, CO21990-7%, Hg

1,032

2,608

   602

3.74

150

       0

    1

109,636

8.55

4,257

1,182

364

Integrated All CO2 1990-7%

1,235

1,909

1,176

3.31

  90

1,118

    0

168,463

7.98

4,313

1,142

344

Integrated Sensitivity Cases

Integrated Moderate Targets

1,413

2,138

   755

3.74

119

       0

  30

  45,114

8.19

4,318

1,158

354

Integrated Cost of Service

894

2,719

   705

4.15

162

       0

    0

121,781

7.86

4,453

1,126

350

Integrated High Gas Price

1,082

2,098

   735

5.05

169

       0

    2

171,790

9.27

4,188

1,237

388

a1999 dollars per metric ton carbon equivalent.

NA = not applicable.

Source: National Energy Modeling System, runs M2BASE.D060801A, M2NM9008.D060801A, M2P9008.D060801A, M2P9008R_X.D070601A, M2NM7B08.D060901A, M2P7B08.D060801A, M2P7B08R_X.D070601A, M2PHF08R_X.D070901A, M2P7B08C.D060901A, and M2P7B08L.D060901A.

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