Table ES2.  Projected Lower 48 Average Natural Gas Wellhead 
Prices in Twelve Cases, 2005-2020

Analysis Case

2005

2010

2015

2020

(1998 Dollars per Thousand Cubic Feet)

Reference

2.40

2.48

2.68

2.79

Accelerated Depletion

2.48

2.62

3.13

4.12

Accelerated Depletion with High Natural Gas Imports

2.45

2.56

2.98

3.69

Accelerated Depletion with High World Oil Price

2.53

2.66

3.24

4.40

Accelerated Depletion with Low World Oil Price

2.30

2.47

2.95

3.60

Accelerated Depletion with Rapid Technology

2.31

2.30

2.32

2.37

Accelerated Depletion with Slow Technology

2.57

2.83

3.59

4.56

Accelerated Depletion with Improved Productivity Technology

2.37

2.39

2.65

2.99

Accelerated Depletion with Reduced Productivity Technology

2.49

2.66

3.33

4.24

Accelerated Depletion with High Rocky Mountain Access

2.46

2.57

3.01

3.90

Accelerated Depletion with High Rocky Mountain Access and Improved Productivity Technology

2.35

2.37

2.57

2.81

Accelerated Depletion with High Rocky Mountain Access and Rapid Technology

2.30

2.26

2.24

2.22

Source: Energy Information Administration, Office of Integrated Analysis and Forecasting, National Energy Modeling System runs OGBASE. D051200A, OGDEPL.D051200A, DEPL2.D071700A, OGHWOP.D051200A, OGLWOP.D051200A, OGRTECH.D051200A, OGSLOW.D051200A, OGFRHTEC.D051200A, OGFRLTEC.D051200A, OGACCESS.D051200A, OGACCFR.D051200A, and OGRAPID.D051200A.

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File last modified: August 18, 2000

URL: http://www.eia.doe.gov/oiaf/servicerpt/depletion/table_es2.html

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