Table ES1. Projected Lower 48 Crude Oil and Natural Gas
Production in
Twelve Cases, 2005-2020
|
Analysis Case |
2005 |
2010 |
2015 |
2020 |
|
Lower 48 Natural Gas Production (Trillion Cubic Feet per Year) |
||||
|
Reference |
18.9 |
22.2 |
24.7 |
26.0 |
|
Accelerated Depletion |
18.7 |
21.8 |
23.4 |
22.5 |
|
Accelerated Depletion with High Natural Gas Imports |
18.6 |
21.6 |
23.0 |
22.1 |
|
Accelerated Depletion with High World Oil Price |
18.9 |
22.2 |
23.8 |
23.0 |
|
Accelerated Depletion with Low World Oil Price |
18.6 |
21.7 |
22.9 |
21.9 |
|
Accelerated Depletion with Rapid Technology |
19.2 |
23.2 |
26.3 |
28.4 |
|
Accelerated Depletion with Slow Technology |
18.4 |
21.0 |
21.9 |
20.3 |
|
Accelerated Depletion with Improved Productivity Technology |
19.0 |
22.8 |
25.2 |
25.8 |
|
Accelerated Depletion with Reduced Productivity Technology |
18.6 |
21.6 |
22.8 |
21.9 |
|
Accelerated Depletion with High Rocky Mountain Access |
18.7 |
22.0 |
23.8 |
23.2 |
|
Accelerated Depletion with High Rocky Mountain Access and Improved Productivity Technology |
19.0 |
22.9 |
25.5 |
26.4 |
|
Accelerated Depletion with High Rocky Mountain Access and Rapid Technology |
19.2 |
23.2 |
26.7 |
29.2 |
|
Lower 48 Crude Oil Production (Million Barrels per Day) |
||||
|
Reference |
4.3 |
4.5 |
4.8 |
5.0 |
|
Accelerated Depletion |
4.3 |
4.2 |
4.5 |
4.7 |
|
Accelerated Depletion with High Natural Gas Imports |
4.3 |
4.2 |
4.5 |
4.7 |
|
Accelerated Depletion with High World Oil Price |
4.5 |
4.5 |
4.9 |
5.3 |
|
Accelerated Depletion with Low World Oil Price |
4.0 |
3.9 |
3.9 |
4.1 |
|
Accelerated Depletion with Rapid Technology |
4.4 |
4.6 |
5.0 |
5.3 |
|
Accelerated Depletion with Slow Technology |
4.1 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
|
Accelerated Depletion with Improved Productivity Technology |
4.4 |
4.6 |
5.0 |
5.3 |
|
Accelerated Depletion with Reduced Productivity Technology |
4.1 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
4.1 |
|
Accelerated Depletion with High Rocky Mountain Access |
4.3 |
4.2 |
4.5 |
4.7 |
|
Accelerated Depletion with High Rocky Mountain Access and Improved Productivity Technology |
4.4 |
4.6 |
5.0 |
5.3 |
|
Accelerated Depletion with High Rocky Mountain Access and Rapid Technology |
4.4 |
4.6 |
5.0 |
5.3 |
| Source: Energy Information Administration, Office of Integrated Analysis and Forecasting, National Energy Modeling System runs OGBASE. D051200A, OGDEPL.D051200A, DEPL2.D071700A, OGHWOP.D051200A, OGLWOP.D051200A, OGRTECH.D051200A, OGSLOW.D051200A, OGFRHTEC.D051200A, OGFRLTEC.D051200A, OGACCESS.D051200A, OGACCFR.D051200A, and OGRAPID.D051200A. | ||||
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File last modified: August 18, 2000
URL: http://www.eia.doe.gov/oiaf/servicerpt/depletion/table_es1.html
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