Energy Information Administration Macroeconomic Analyses

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Macroeconomics Fuels Analyses Analysis Reports and Papers related to macroeconomics (most current first)
Annual Energy Outlook - Macroeconomics Section, Forecast Comparison Forecast Analysis - US annual projections of macroeconomics to 2030 by US region. Annual Energy Outlook Supporting Reports- Assumptions for Macroeconomics Activity Module NEMS: An Overview 2009 (Macroeconomics Acivity Module) (also available in printer-friendly version), National Energy Modeling System: Model Documentation Macroeconomics Activity Module , Integrating Module pages: 224, AEO released: June 2008 (supporting reports released thereafter), periodicity: Yearly, contact: Kay Smith (202)586-1132 International Energy Outlook - World Energy and Economic Outlook Section Forecast Analysis - International projections of world energy economic outlook to 2030 by region. pages: 10, released: May 2009, periodicity: Yearly, contact: Linda Doman (202)586-1041 Energy Market and Economic Impacts of S. 2191, the Lieberman-Warner Climate Security Act of 2007 - (also available printer-friendly version) Forecast Analysis - This report responds to a request from Senators Lieberman and Warner for an analysis of S.2191, the Lieberman-Warner Climate Security Act of 2007. S.2191 is a complex bill regulating emissions of greenhouse gases through market-based mechanisms, energy efficiency programs, and economic incentives. This analysis focuses on the impacts of the greenhouse gas cap-and-trade program established under Title I of S. 2191. Excel Spreadsheets: Reference S.2191 Core S.2191 Limited Alternatives S.2191 No International S.2191 Limited/No International S.2191 High Cost S.1766 Update pages: 74, released: April 2008, periodicity: One-time, contact Alan Beamon (202)586-2025 Energy Market and Economic Impacts of S. 1766, the Low Carbon Economy Act of 2007 - (also available printer-friendly version) Forecast Analysis - This report responds to a request from Senators Bingaman and Specter for an analysis of the impacts of S. 1766, the Low Carbon Economy Act of 2007. S. 1766 establishes a mandatory greenhouse Gas (GHG) allowance program to maintain covered emissions at approximately 2006 levels in 2020, 1990 levels in 2030, and at least 60 percent below 1990 levels by 2050. Excel Spreadsheets: Reference Reference Case with High Technology S.1766 Core S.1766 Half CCS Bonus S.1766 High Technology S.1766 High Technology Plus Policies S.1766 Limited Alternatives S.1766 Plus Policies pages: 59, released: January 2008, periodicity: One-time, contact Alan Beamon (202)586-2025 Energy Market and Economic Impacts of a Proposal to Reduce Greenhouse Gas Intensity with a Cap and Trade System Forecast Analysis: This report was prepared by the Energy Information Administration (EIA), in response to a September 27, 2006, request from Senators Bingaman, Landrieu, Murkowski, Specter, Salazar, and Lugar. The Senators requested that EIA assess the impacts of a proposal that would regulate emissions of greenhouse gases (GHGs) through an allowance cap-and-trade system. The program would set the cap to achieve a reduction in emissions relative to economic output, or greenhouse gas intensity. Excel Spreadsheets: Reference Phased Auction Full Auction No Offsets $5 Phased Auction $9 Phased Auction pages: 90, released: January 2007, periodicity: One-time, contact Alan Beamon (202)586-2025 Energy and Economic Impacts of H.R.5049, the Keep America Competitive Global Warming Policy Act - (also available in printer-friendly version) Forecast Analysis - This report responds to a May 2, 2006 request from Congressmen Tom Udall and Tom Petri asking EIA to analyze the impacts of their legislation implementing a market-based allowance program to cap greenhouse gas emissions at 2009 levels. The legislation, introduced March 29, 2006, limits the potential economic impact through the sale of additional allowances at a safety-valve price, an allowance allocation program, and allowance credits for carbon sequestration projects. Excel Spreadsheets: Reference H.R.5049 A H.R.5049 B H.R.5049 C H.R.5049 No Safety pages: 41, released: September 2006, periodicity: One-time, contact Ronald Earley (202)586-1398 Impacts of Modeled Recommendations of the National Commission on Energy Policy - (also available in printer-friendly version) Forecast Analysis - Impacts of Modeled Recommendations of the National Commission on Energy Policy This report responds to a December 17, 2004 request by Senator Jeff Bingaman asking that the Energy Information Administration (EIA) assess the impacts of the recommendations made by the National Commission on Energy Policy (NCEP) in its December 2004 report entitled Ending the Energy Stalemate: A Bipartisan Strategy to Meet America’s Energy Challenges. This report provides EIA’s analysis of those NCEP recommendations on energy supply, demand, and imports that could be simulated using the National Energy Modeling System (NEMS). pages: 93, released: April 2005, periodicity: One-time, contact: Andy Kydes (202)586-2222 Analysis of Corporate Average Fuel Economy (CAFE) Standards for Light Trucks and Increased Alternative Fuel Use - (also available in printer-friendly version Forecast Analysis - This report was prepared with a series of analyses showing the impacts of each of the selected provisions of the bills on energy supply, demand, and prices, macroeconomic variables where feasible, import dependence, and emissions. The analysis provided is based on the Annual Energy Outlook 2002 (AEO2002) midterm forecasts of energy supply, demand and prices through 2020. pages: 65, released: March 2002, periodicity: One-time, contact: John Maples (202)586-1757 Addendum: Methodology for the Assessment of the Macroeconomic Impacts of Stricter CAFE Standards - (also available in printer-friendly version Summary: Analysis of Selected Transportation Fuel Issues Associated with Proposed Energy Legislation - (also available in printer-friendly version Analysis of Strategies for Reducing Multiple Emissions from Electric Power Plants With Advanced Technology Scenarios - (also available in printer-friendly version , Errata Forecast Analysis - This report responds to a request received from Senators James Jeffords and Joseph Lieberman on May 17, 2001 to analyze the impacts of technology improvements and other market-based opportunities on the cost of emissions reductions from electricity generators, including nitrogen oxides, sulfur dioxide, mercury, and carbon dioxide. pages: 89, released: October 2001, periodicity: One-time, contact: Paul Holtberg (202)586-1284 Chapter 4: Fuel Market and Macroeconomic Impacts - Analysis of Strategies for Reducing Multiple Emissions from Electric Power Plants: Sulfur Dioxide, Nitrogen Oxides, Carbon Dioxide, and Mercury and a Renewable Portfolio Standard - (also available in printer-friendly version , Errata Forecast Analysis - This report responds to a request received from Senator David McIntosh on June 29, 2000 to analyze the impacts of imposing caps on power sector emissions of nitrogen oxides, sulfur dioxide, mercury, and carbon dioxide with and without a renewable portfolio standard. pages: 26, released: July 2001, periodicity: One-time, contact: Paul Holtberg (202)586-1284 Energy Price Impacts on the U.S. Economy Forecast Analysis - This paper uses a Q&A format to address selected issues regarding the impact of energy prices on the U.S. economy. For example, how the share of energy in the economy has changed since the 1970s; a historical perspective on the relationship between energy prices and economic growth; the impact of recent events on near term economic growth; the economy's reaction to volatile energy prices; and the impact of oil price movements on other countries. released: April 2001, periodicity: One-time, contact: Ronald Earley (202)586-1398 Chapter 4: Fuel Market and Macroeconomic Impacts - Analysis of Strategies for Reducing Multiple Emissions from Power Plants: Sulfur Dioxide, Nitrogen Oxides, and Carbon Dioxide - (also available in printer-friendly version Forecast Analysis - This report responds to a request received from Senator David McIntosh on June 29, 2000 to analyze the impacts on energy consumers and producers of coordinated strategies to reduce emissions of sulfur dioxide, nitrogen oxides, and carbon dioxide at U.S. power plants. pages: 26, released: December 2000, periodicity: One-time, contact: Paul Holtberg (202)586-1284 The Northeast Heating Fuel Market: Assessment and Options - (also available in printer-friendly version Forecast Analysis - This report responds to a request received from Secretary of Energy, Bill Richardson on March 21, 2000 to analyze the feasibility and impact of converting factories and other major users of heating oil to different fuels and discusses other options that may mitigate future heating oil supply problems in the Northeast. pages: 92, released: May 2000, periodicity: One-time, contact: John Conti (202)586-2222 The Comprehensive Electricity Competition Act: A Comparison of Model Results - (also available in printer-friendly version Forecast Analysis - This report responds to a request received from Secretary of Energy, Bill Richardson on June 24, 1999 to use the National Energy Modeling System to evaluate the effects of the Administration's restructuring proposal using the parameter settings and assumptions from the Policy Office Electricity Modeling System analysis as described in the May 1999 publication, Supporting Analysis for the Comprehensive Electricity Act. pages: 78, released: September 1999, periodicity: One-time, contact: Paul Holtberg (202)586-1284 Issues in Midterm Analysis and Forecasting 1999 - Employment Trends in Oil and Gas Extraction - (also available in printer-friendly version Forecast Analysis - This paper summarizes the approaches used to represent and treat technological progress and learning-by-doing in the National Energy Modeling System (NEMS). Because technologies and their adoption are represented somewhat differently in the various NEMS modules, based on the markets they represent, the treatment of technological learning in NEMS also differs by sector. pages: 109, released: August 1999, periodicity: N/A, contact: James Kendell (202)586-9646 Executive Summary - Analysis of the Impacts of an Early Start for Compliance with the Kyoto Protocol - (also available in printer-friendly version Forecast Analysis - This report responds to a request received from Senators F. James Sensenbrenner, Jr., and George Brown, Jr., on March 2, 1999 to describe the Energy Information Administration’s analysis of the impacts of an early start on Greenhouse Gas Control using the same methodology as in Impacts of the Kyoto Protocol on U.S. Energy Markets and Economic Activity, with only those changes in assumptions caused by an early start date. pages: 88, released: July 1999, periodicity: N/A, contact: Paul Holtberg (202)586-1284 Executive Summary - Impacts of the Kyoto Protocol on U.S. Energy Markets & Economic Activity, Chapter 6: Forecast Analysis - Economic Impact - (also available in printer-friendly version This report responds to a request received from Senators F. James Sensenbrenner, Jr., and George Brown, Jr., on March 3, 1998 to analyze the impacts of the Kyoto Protocol on the U.S. energy markets and the economy in the 2008-2012 time frame with several alternative cases evaluating key uncertainties, including U.S. economic growth, the cost and performance of energy-using technologies, and the possible construction of new nuclear power plants. pages: 246, released: October 1998, periodicity: One-time, contact: Paul Holtberg (202)586-1284

Home > Forecasts & Analysis > Macroeconomics Analysis Reports

Macroeconomics Fuels Analyses Analysis Reports and Papers related to macroeconomics (most current first)

Annual Energy Outlook - Macroeconomics Section, Forecast Comparison
Forecast Analysis - US annual projections of macroeconomics to 2030 by US region.
Annual Energy Outlook Supporting Reports-
Assumptions for Macroeconomics Activity Module
NEMS: An Overview 2009 (Macroeconomics Acivity Module) (also available in printer-friendly version),
National Energy Modeling System: Model Documentation Macroeconomics Activity Module , Integrating Module
pages: 224, AEO released: June 2008 (supporting reports released thereafter), periodicity: Yearly, contact: Kay Smith (202)586-1132

International Energy Outlook - World Energy and Economic Outlook Section
Forecast Analysis - International projections of world energy economic outlook to 2030 by region.
pages: 10, released: May 2009, periodicity: Yearly, contact: Linda Doman (202)586-1041

Energy Market and Economic Impacts of S. 2191, the Lieberman-Warner Climate Security Act of 2007 - (also available printer-friendly version)
Forecast Analysis - This report responds to a request from Senators Lieberman and Warner for an analysis of S.2191, the Lieberman-Warner Climate Security Act of 2007. S.2191 is a complex bill regulating emissions of greenhouse gases through market-based mechanisms, energy efficiency programs, and economic incentives. This analysis focuses on the impacts of the greenhouse gas cap-and-trade program established under Title I of S. 2191.
Excel Spreadsheets:
   Reference
   S.2191 Core
   S.2191 Limited Alternatives
   S.2191 No International
   S.2191 Limited/No International
   S.2191 High Cost
   S.1766 Update
pages: 74, released: April 2008, periodicity: One-time, contact Alan Beamon (202)586-2025

Energy Market and Economic Impacts of S. 1766, the Low Carbon Economy Act of 2007 - (also available printer-friendly version)
Forecast Analysis - This report responds to a request from Senators Bingaman and Specter for an analysis of the impacts of S. 1766, the Low Carbon Economy Act of 2007. S. 1766 establishes a mandatory greenhouse Gas (GHG) allowance program to maintain covered emissions at approximately 2006 levels in 2020, 1990 levels in 2030, and at least 60 percent below 1990 levels by 2050.
Excel Spreadsheets:
   Reference
   Reference Case with High Technology
   S.1766 Core
   S.1766 Half CCS Bonus
   S.1766 High Technology
   S.1766 High Technology Plus Policies
   S.1766 Limited Alternatives
   S.1766 Plus Policies
pages: 59, released: January 2008, periodicity: One-time, contact Alan Beamon (202)586-2025

Energy Market and Economic Impacts of a Proposal to Reduce Greenhouse Gas Intensity with a Cap and Trade System
Forecast Analysis: This report was prepared by the Energy Information Administration (EIA), in response to a September 27, 2006, request from Senators Bingaman, Landrieu, Murkowski, Specter, Salazar, and Lugar. The Senators requested that EIA assess the impacts of a proposal that would regulate emissions of greenhouse gases (GHGs) through an allowance cap-and-trade system. The program would set the cap to achieve a reduction in emissions relative to economic output, or greenhouse gas intensity.
Excel Spreadsheets:
   Reference
   Phased Auction
   Full Auction
   No Offsets
   $5 Phased Auction
   $9 Phased Auction
pages: 90, released: January 2007, periodicity: One-time, contact Alan Beamon (202)586-2025

Energy and Economic Impacts of H.R.5049, the Keep America Competitive Global Warming Policy Act - (also available in printer-friendly version)
Forecast Analysis - This report responds to a May 2, 2006 request from Congressmen Tom Udall and Tom Petri asking EIA to analyze the impacts of their legislation implementing a market-based allowance program to cap greenhouse gas emissions at 2009 levels. The legislation, introduced March 29, 2006, limits the potential economic impact through the sale of additional allowances at a safety-valve price, an allowance allocation program, and allowance credits for carbon sequestration projects.
Excel Spreadsheets:
   Reference
   H.R.5049 A
   H.R.5049 B
   H.R.5049 C
   H.R.5049 No Safety
pages: 41, released: September 2006, periodicity: One-time, contact Ronald Earley (202)586-1398

Impacts of Modeled Recommendations of the National Commission on Energy Policy - (also available in printer-friendly version)
Forecast Analysis - Impacts of Modeled Recommendations of the National Commission on Energy Policy
This report responds to a December 17, 2004 request by Senator Jeff Bingaman asking that the Energy Information Administration (EIA) assess the impacts of the recommendations made by the National Commission on Energy Policy (NCEP) in its December 2004 report entitled Ending the Energy Stalemate: A Bipartisan Strategy to Meet America’s Energy Challenges. This report provides EIA’s analysis of those NCEP recommendations on energy supply, demand, and imports that could be simulated using the National Energy Modeling System (NEMS).
pages: 93, released: April 2005, periodicity: One-time, contact: Andy Kydes (202)586-2222

Analysis of Corporate Average Fuel Economy (CAFE) Standards for Light Trucks and Increased Alternative Fuel Use - (also available in printer-friendly version
Forecast Analysis - This report was prepared with a series of analyses showing the impacts of each of the selected provisions of the bills on energy supply, demand, and prices, macroeconomic variables where feasible, import dependence, and emissions. The analysis provided is based on the Annual Energy Outlook 2002 (AEO2002) midterm forecasts of energy supply, demand and prices through 2020.
pages: 65, released: March 2002, periodicity: One-time, contact: John Maples (202)586-1757
Addendum: Methodology for the Assessment of the Macroeconomic Impacts of Stricter CAFE Standards - (also available in printer-friendly version
Summary: Analysis of Selected Transportation Fuel Issues Associated with Proposed Energy Legislation - (also available in printer-friendly version

Analysis of Strategies for Reducing Multiple Emissions from Electric Power Plants With Advanced Technology Scenarios - (also available in printer-friendly version , Errata
Forecast Analysis - This report responds to a request received from Senators James Jeffords and Joseph Lieberman on May 17, 2001 to analyze the impacts of technology improvements and other market-based opportunities on the cost of emissions reductions from electricity generators, including nitrogen oxides, sulfur dioxide, mercury, and carbon dioxide.
pages: 89, released: October 2001, periodicity: One-time, contact: Paul Holtberg (202)586-1284

Chapter 4: Fuel Market and Macroeconomic Impacts - Analysis of Strategies for Reducing Multiple Emissions from Electric Power Plants: Sulfur Dioxide, Nitrogen Oxides, Carbon Dioxide, and Mercury and a Renewable Portfolio Standard - (also available in printer-friendly version , Errata
Forecast Analysis - This report responds to a request received from Senator David McIntosh on June 29, 2000 to analyze the impacts of imposing caps on power sector emissions of nitrogen oxides, sulfur dioxide, mercury, and carbon dioxide with and without a renewable portfolio standard.
pages: 26, released: July 2001, periodicity: One-time, contact: Paul Holtberg (202)586-1284

Energy Price Impacts on the U.S. Economy
Forecast Analysis - This paper uses a Q&A format to address selected issues regarding the impact of energy prices on the U.S. economy. For example, how the share of energy in the economy has changed since the 1970s; a historical perspective on the relationship between energy prices and economic growth; the impact of recent events on near term economic growth; the economy's reaction to volatile energy prices; and the impact of oil price movements on other countries.
released: April 2001, periodicity: One-time, contact: Ronald Earley (202)586-1398

Chapter 4: Fuel Market and Macroeconomic Impacts - Analysis of Strategies for Reducing Multiple Emissions from Power Plants: Sulfur Dioxide, Nitrogen Oxides, and Carbon Dioxide - (also available in printer-friendly version
Forecast Analysis - This report responds to a request received from Senator David McIntosh on June 29, 2000 to analyze the impacts on energy consumers and producers of coordinated strategies to reduce emissions of sulfur dioxide, nitrogen oxides, and carbon dioxide at U.S. power plants.
pages: 26, released: December 2000, periodicity: One-time, contact: Paul Holtberg (202)586-1284

The Northeast Heating Fuel Market: Assessment and Options - (also available in printer-friendly version
Forecast Analysis - This report responds to a request received from Secretary of Energy, Bill Richardson on March 21, 2000 to analyze the feasibility and impact of converting factories and other major users of heating oil to different fuels and discusses other options that may mitigate future heating oil supply problems in the Northeast.
pages: 92, released: May 2000, periodicity: One-time, contact: John Conti (202)586-2222

The Comprehensive Electricity Competition Act: A Comparison of Model Results - (also available in printer-friendly version
Forecast Analysis - This report responds to a request received from Secretary of Energy, Bill Richardson on June 24, 1999 to use the National Energy Modeling System to evaluate the effects of the Administration's restructuring proposal using the parameter settings and assumptions from the Policy Office Electricity Modeling System analysis as described in the May 1999 publication, Supporting Analysis for the Comprehensive Electricity Act.
pages: 78, released: September 1999, periodicity: One-time, contact: Paul Holtberg (202)586-1284

Issues in Midterm Analysis and Forecasting 1999 - Employment Trends in Oil and Gas Extraction - (also available in printer-friendly version
Forecast Analysis - This paper summarizes the approaches used to represent and treat technological progress and learning-by-doing in the National Energy Modeling System (NEMS). Because technologies and their adoption are represented somewhat differently in the various NEMS modules, based on the markets they represent, the treatment of technological learning in NEMS also differs by sector.
pages: 109, released: August 1999, periodicity: N/A, contact: James Kendell (202)586-9646

Executive Summary - Analysis of the Impacts of an Early Start for Compliance with the Kyoto Protocol - (also available in printer-friendly version
Forecast Analysis - This report responds to a request received from Senators F. James Sensenbrenner, Jr., and George Brown, Jr., on March 2, 1999 to describe the Energy Information Administration’s analysis of the impacts of an early start on Greenhouse Gas Control using the same methodology as in Impacts of the Kyoto Protocol on U.S. Energy Markets and Economic Activity, with only those changes in assumptions caused by an early start date.
pages: 88, released: July 1999, periodicity: N/A, contact: Paul Holtberg (202)586-1284

Executive Summary - Impacts of the Kyoto Protocol on U.S. Energy Markets & Economic Activity, Chapter 6: Forecast Analysis - Economic Impact - (also available in printer-friendly version
This report responds to a request received from Senators F. James Sensenbrenner, Jr., and George Brown, Jr., on March 3, 1998 to analyze the impacts of the Kyoto Protocol on the U.S. energy markets and the economy in the 2008-2012 time frame with several alternative cases evaluating key uncertainties, including U.S. economic growth, the cost and performance of energy-using technologies, and the possible construction of new nuclear power plants.
pages: 246, released: October 1998, periodicity: One-time, contact: Paul Holtberg (202)586-1284