Table 9. Projected Generator Retirements, Capacity Additions, and Generation Efficiency, 2005 and 2010
|
Projection |
Reference |
1990+24% |
1990+9% |
1990-7% |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2005 Start |
Early Start |
2005 Start |
Early Start |
2005 Start |
Early Start |
||
|
2005 |
|||||||
|
Cumulative Retirements (Thousand Megawatts) |
|||||||
|
Coal Steam |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
0.3 |
11.5 |
0.5 |
14.8 |
|
Other Fossil Steam |
7.3 |
9.4 |
15.0 |
10.1 |
31.7 |
11.1 |
15.6 |
|
Combined Cycle |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
Combustion Turbine/Diesel |
1.6 |
1.1 |
0.9 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
1.3 |
1.2 |
|
Nuclear |
5.7 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
1.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
Renewable/Other |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.7 |
0.0 |
0.3 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
Total |
14.8 |
12.9 |
19.3 |
13.9 |
46.2 |
12.9 |
31.7 |
|
Cumulative Capacity Additions (Thousand Megawatts) |
|||||||
|
Coal Steama |
6.0 |
2.9 |
2.9 |
2.9 |
2.9 |
2.9 |
2.9 |
|
Other Fossil Steam |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
Combined Cycle |
36.9 |
47.8 |
47.6 |
60.9 |
81.0 |
64.7 |
111.5 |
|
Combustion Turbine/Diesel |
73.6 |
64.8 |
56.7 |
48.5 |
35.1 |
45.6 |
28.4 |
|
Nuclear |
1.2 |
1.2 |
1.2 |
1.2 |
1.2 |
1.2 |
1.2 |
|
Renewable/Other |
5.6 |
5.8 |
5.8 |
7.6 |
8.2 |
11.5 |
21.1 |
|
Total |
123.4 |
122.5 |
114.3 |
121.2 |
128.5 |
126.0 |
165.2 |
|
Efficiency (Thousand Btu per Kilowatthour)b |
9.21 |
9.14 |
9.07 |
8.88 |
8.65 |
8.75 |
8.16 |
|
2010 |
|||||||
|
Cumulative Retirements (Thousand Megawatts) |
|||||||
|
Coal Steam |
0.4 |
2.5 |
6.1 |
26.6 |
47.8 |
43.5 |
138.0 |
|
Other Fossil Steam |
12.3 |
31.2 |
31.4 |
42.8 |
53.9 |
27.5 |
24.8 |
|
Combined Cycle |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
Combustion Turbine/Diesel |
2.9 |
2.7 |
2.2 |
2.7 |
2.2 |
2.6 |
1.6 |
|
Nuclear |
19.4 |
12.9 |
12.9 |
7.3 |
6.9 |
0.8 |
2.0 |
|
Renewable/Other |
0.4 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
Total |
35.5 |
50.1 |
53.3 |
79.9 |
111.3 |
74.5 |
166.5 |
|
Cumulative Capacity Additions (Thousand Megawatts) |
|||||||
|
Coal Steama |
8.7 |
2.9 |
2.9 |
2.9 |
2.9 |
2.9 |
2.9 |
|
Other Fossil Steam |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
Combined Cycle |
76.3 |
103.3 |
106.7 |
172.9 |
185.7 |
177.5 |
203.3 |
|
Combustion Turbine/Diesel |
103.1 |
72.6 |
68.6 |
50.8 |
37.4 |
48.6 |
34.3 |
|
Nuclear |
1.2 |
1.2 |
1.2 |
1.2 |
1.2 |
1.2 |
1.2 |
|
Renewable/Other |
6.4 |
8.4 |
8.1 |
14.7 |
15.6 |
29.5 |
52.5 |
|
Total |
195.8 |
188.4 |
187.7 |
242.7 |
242.9 |
259.8 |
294.3 |
|
Efficiency (Thousand Btu per Kilowatthour)b |
8.98 |
8.64 |
8.63 |
7.92 |
7.87 |
7.57 |
7.30 |
|
aThe
coal capacity additions are planned units brought on line by 2000. |
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