Table 8. Projected Transportation Efficiency and Travel by Mode, 2004 and 2010
|
Travel Mode |
Reference |
1990+24% |
1990+9% |
1990-7% |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2005 Start |
Early Start |
2005 Start |
Early Start |
2005 Start |
Early Start |
||
|
2004 |
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|
Light-Duty Vehicle |
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|
Annual Travel (Billion Vehicle-Miles Traveled) |
2,621 |
2,621 |
2,612 |
2,621 |
2,556 |
2,621 |
2,448 |
|
New Car Efficiency (Miles per Gallon) |
29.7 |
29.7 |
30.3 |
29.7 |
31.7 |
29.7 |
33.3 |
|
Average Vehicle Stock Efficiency (Miles per Gallon) |
20.3 |
20.3 |
20.4 |
20.3 |
20.6 |
20.3 |
20.8 |
|
Air |
|||||||
|
Annual Travel (Billion Seat-Miles) |
1,418 |
1,418 |
1,399 |
1,418 |
1,363 |
1,418 |
1,249 |
|
New Aircraft Efficiency (Seat-Miles per Gallon) |
53.8 |
53.8 |
53.8 |
53.8 |
53.8 |
53.8 |
54.9 |
|
Average Aircraft Efficiency (Seat-Miles per Gallon) |
53.5 |
53.5 |
53.5 |
53.5 |
53.4 |
53.5 |
53.3 |
|
Freight Truck |
|||||||
|
Annual Travel (Billion Vehicles-Miles Traveled) |
207 |
207 |
204 |
207 |
204 |
207 |
200 |
|
New Vehicle Efficiency (Miles per Gallon) |
6.4 |
6.4 |
6.4 |
6.4 |
6.4 |
6.4 |
6.5 |
|
Average Vehicle Efficiency (Miles per Gallon) |
5.8 |
5.9 |
5.9 |
5.9 |
5.9 |
5.9 |
5.9 |
|
2010 |
|||||||
|
Light-Duty Vehicle |
|||||||
|
Annual Travel (Billion Vehicle-Miles Traveled) |
2,895 |
2,857 |
2,877 |
2,752 |
2,789 |
2,505 |
2,597 |
|
New Car Efficiency (Miles per Gallon) |
30.6 |
32.0 |
32.1 |
33.6 |
33.2 |
36.4 |
35.3 |
|
Average Vehicle Stock Efficiency (Miles per Gallon) |
20.5 |
20.7 |
20.9 |
21.2 |
21.5 |
21.7 |
22.4 |
|
Air |
|||||||
|
Annual Travel (Billion Seat-Miles) |
1,753 |
1,729 |
1,738 |
1,638 |
1,685 |
1,434 |
1,530 |
|
New Aircraft Efficiency (Seat-Miles per Gallon) |
56.0 |
56.6 |
57.6 |
57.4 |
57.9 |
62.2 |
57.8 |
|
Average Aircraft Efficiency (Seat-Miles per Gallon) |
55.6 |
55.6 |
55.8 |
55.6 |
55.8 |
55.4 |
55.7 |
|
Freight Truck |
|||||||
|
Annual Travel (Billion Vehicles-Miles Traveled) |
232 |
229 |
230 |
226 |
230 |
220 |
227 |
|
New Vehicle Efficiency (Miles per Gallon) |
6.5 |
6.5 |
6.5 |
6.6 |
6.6 |
6.4 |
6.5 |
|
Average Vehicle Efficiency (Miles per Gallon) |
6.1 |
6.1 |
6.1 |
6.1 |
6.1 |
6.1 |
6.2 |
|
Source: Office of Integrated Analysis and Forecasting, National Energy Modeling System runs KYBASE.D080398A, FD24ABV.D080398B, EARLY24.D052099A, FD09ABV.D080398B, EARLY09.D053199A, FD07BLW.D080398B, and EARLY07.D052199A. |
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