Table 7. Change
in Projected Penetration Levels for Selected Technologies in the Commercial
Sector Relative to the Reference Case, 2004 and 2010
(Percent)
|
Technology |
1990+24% |
1990+9% |
1990-7% |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2005 Start |
Early Start |
2005 Start |
Early Start |
2005 Start |
Early Start |
|
|
2004 |
||||||
|
High-Efficiency Boiler |
-1 |
89 |
-1 |
175 |
-1 |
320 |
|
Air-Source Heat Pump |
0 |
1 |
0 |
4 |
0 |
7 |
|
High-Efficiency Chiller |
0 |
12 |
0 |
20 |
0 |
33 |
|
Heat Pump Water Heater |
1 |
15 |
0 |
57 |
0 |
116 |
|
Compact Fluorescent Lights |
0 |
1 |
0 |
5 |
0 |
10 |
|
Electronic
Ballast Fluorescent Lights |
0 |
5 |
0 |
20 |
0 |
27 |
|
2010 |
||||||
|
High-Efficiency Boiler |
19 |
42 |
97 |
131 |
259 |
304 |
|
Air-Source Heat Pump |
2 |
3 |
9 |
12 |
11 |
16 |
|
High-Efficiency Chiller |
4 |
8 |
18 |
26 |
24 |
38 |
|
Heat Pump Water Heater |
29 |
39 |
102 |
134 |
186 |
268 |
|
Compact Fluorescent Lights |
6 |
7 |
14 |
15 |
26 |
27 |
|
Electronic
Ballast Fluorescent Lights |
14 |
16 |
26 |
33 |
36 |
41 |
|
Source: Office of Integrated Analysis and Forecasting, National Energy Modeling System runs KYBASE.D080398A, FD24ABV.D080398B, EARLY24.D052099A, FD09ABV.D080398B, EARLY09.D053199A, FD07BLW.D080398B, and EARLY07.D052199A. |
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