Table 6.  Change in Projected Penetration Rates for Selected Technologies
in the Commercial Sector Relative to the Reference Case, 2010
(Percent)

Technology

1990+24%

1990+9%

1990-3%

High-Efficiency Boiler

19

97

205

Air-Source Heat Pump

2

9

10

Ground-Source Heat Pump

0

27

150

High-Efficiency Chiller

4

18

23

Heat Pump Water Heater

29

102

167

Compact Fluorescent Lights

6

14

24

Electronic Ballast Fluorescent Lights With Reflectors or Controls

14

26

32

Source: Office of Integrated Analysis and Forecasting, National Energy Modeling System runs KYBASE.D080398A, FD24ABV.D080398B, FD09ABV.D080398B, and FD03BLW.D080398B.