Table 20.  Projected U.S. Electricity Generation Capacity From Renewable Fuels
(Gigawatts)

Projection

2000

2010

2020

Reference

Reference

1990
+24%

1990
+9%

1990
-3%

1990
-7%

Reference

1990
+24%

1990
+9%

1990
-3%

1990
-7%

Electricity Generators

                     

 Conventional Hydropower

79.39 79.78 79.78 79.80 80.74 81.84 79.78 79.79 79.80 80.78 81.92
 Geothermal 3.02 2.80 2.98 3.51 4.68 4.75 3.02 3.77 4.95 6.94 7.81
 Municipal Solid Waste 3.40 4.02 4.01 3.99 3.95 3.95 4.42 4.42 4.41 4.43 4.44
 Wood and Other Biomass 1.64 1.76 1.80 2.70 4.93 5.32 1.76 2.74 11.95 35.27 43.99
 Solar Thermal 0.36 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.54 0.54
 Solar Photovoltaic 0.02 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.27 0.39 0.56 0.56 0.56 0.71 0.91
 Wind 2.55 2.75 4.47 9.44 13.19 18.17 3.52 15.87 38.08 44.06 51.37
   Subtotal 90.39 91.77 93.71 100.10 108.20 114.85 93.60 107.68 140.29 172.72 190.97
Cogenerators                      
 Municipal Solid Waste 0.44 0.45 0.45 0.45 0.45 0.45 0.45 0.45 0.45 0.45 0.45
 Biomass 6.08 6.70 6.68 6.60 6.48 6.44 6.84 6.96 6.93 6.93 6.94
   Subtotal 6.52 7.14 7.13 7.05 6.92 6.89 7.29 7.41 7.38 7.38 7.39
Total Renewable Capacity 97 99 101 107 115 122 101 115 148 180 198
Total Electricity Capacity 803 916 895 921 945 944 1,008 972 965 958 949
Renewable
Share of Capacity (Percent) 		12.07 10.80 11.26 11.64 12.19 12.90 10.01 11.84 15.30 18.79 20.91
Nonhydroelectric Renewable
Share of Capacity (Percent) 		2.18 2.09 2.35 2.97 3.64 4.23 2.09 3.63 7.03 10.36 12.27
Source: Office of Integrated Analysis and Forecasting, National Energy Modeling System runs KYBASE.D080398A, FD24ABV.D080398B, FD09ABV.D080398B, FD03BLW.D080398B, and FD07BLW.D080398B.