Table 19.
Projected U.S. Electricity Generation From Renewable Fuels
(Billion Kilowatthours)
Projection |
2000 |
2010 |
2020 |
||||||||
Reference |
Reference |
1990 |
1990 |
1990 |
1990 |
Reference |
1990 |
1990 |
1990 |
1990 |
|
Electricity Generators |
|||||||||||
Conventional Hydropower |
310.3 | 313.0 | 313.0 | 313.0 | 317.4 | 321.9 | 313.2 | 313.1 | 313.1 | 317.7 | 322.4 |
| Geothermal | 17.2 | 16.8 | 18.0 | 21.7 | 29.9 | 30.4 | 19.9 | 25.1 | 33.4 | 47.2 | 53.3 |
| Municipal Solid Waste | 22.8 | 27.0 | 27.0 | 26.8 | 26.5 | 26.5 | 29.8 | 29.8 | 29.7 | 29.8 | 29.9 |
| Wood and Other Biomass | 8.2 | 8.7 | 17.6 | 21.0 | 34.7 | 36.4 | 8.7 | 22.5 | 83.1 | 244.4 | 305.1 |
| Solar Thermal | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| Solar Photovoltaic | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 2.3 |
| Wind | 5.7 | 6.2 | 11.2 | 24.7 | 35.7 | 48.9 | 8.7 | 43.6 | 108.3 | 123.4 | 142.8 |
| Subtotal | 365.2 | 373.5 | 388.6 | 409.0 | 446.1 | 466.2 | 383.2 | 437.0 | 570.5 | 765.9 | 857.2 |
| Cogenerators | |||||||||||
| Municipal Solid Waste | 2.2 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.3 |
| Biomass | 41.2 | 47.3 | 47.4 | 46.9 | 45.9 | 45.6 | 48.9 | 50.2 | 50.2 | 50.4 | 50.5 |
| Subtotal | 43.5 | 49.6 | 49.7 | 49.2 | 48.2 | 47.9 | 51.2 | 52.5 | 52.5 | 52.7 | 52.8 |
| Total Renewable Generation | 408.7 | 423.1 | 438.3 | 458.2 | 494.3 | 514.1 | 434.4 | 489.5 | 623.1 | 818.5 | 910.0 |
| Total Electricity Generation | 3,716.8 | 4,267.6 | 4,144.0 | 3,929.7 | 3,712.6 | 3,641.7 | 4,648.2 | 4,422.3 | 4,282.7 | 4,160.2 | 4,105.1 |
| Renewable Share of Generation (Percent) |
11.0 | 9.9 | 10.6 | 11.7 | 13.3 | 14.1 | 9.3 | 11.1 | 14.5 | 19.7 | 22.2 |
| Nonhydroelectric
Renewable Share of Generation (Percent) |
2.6 | 2.6 | 3.0 | 3.7 | 4.8 | 5.3 | 2.6 | 4.0 | 7.2 | 12.0 | 14.3 |
| Source: Office of Integrated Analysis and Forecasting, National Energy Modeling System runs KYBASE.D080398A, FD24ABV.D080398B, FD09ABV.D080398B, FD03BLW.D080398B, and FD07BLW.D080398B. | |||||||||||