Table 2. AEO99 Technological Optimism and Learning Factors for New Generating Technologies
|
Technology |
Optimism Factor |
Learning Factors |
||
|
Units 1 to 5 |
Units 6 to 40 |
Units 40 and Above |
||
|
Scrubbed Coal |
1.00 |
NA |
NA |
0.03 |
|
Integrated Gas Combined Cycle |
1.16 |
0.10 |
0.05 |
0.03 |
|
Gas/Oil Steam Turbine |
1.00 |
NA |
NA |
0.03 |
|
Conventional Gas/Oil Combined Cycle |
1.00 |
NA |
NA |
0.03 |
|
Advanced Gas/Oil Combined Cycle |
1.12 |
0.10 |
0.05 |
0.03 |
|
Conventional Combustion Turbine |
1.00 |
NA |
NA |
0.03 |
|
Advanced Combustion Turbine |
1.12 |
0.10 |
0.05 |
0.03 |
|
Fuel Cells |
1.16 |
0.10 |
0.05 |
0.03 |
|
Advanced Nuclear |
1.19 |
0.10 |
0.05 |
0.03 |
|
Biomass |
1.19 |
0.10 |
0.05 |
0.03 |
|
Municipal Solid Waste |
NA |
NA |
NA |
NA |
|
Geothermal |
NA |
0.10 |
0.05 |
0.03 |
|
Wind |
1.00 |
0.08 |
0.05 |
0.05 |
|
Solar Thermal |
1.19 |
0.10 |
0.05 |
0.03 |
|
Solar Photovoltaic |
1.12 |
0.10 |
0.05 |
0.03 |
|
Source: Energy Information Administration, Assumptions to the Annual Energy Outlook 1999, DOE/EIA-0554(99) (Washington, DC, December 1998). |
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