Table 18. Results of 5-Year Moving Average Analysis of Errors for Selected AEO Forecasts
|
Table in This Article |
AEO85 |
AEO86 |
AEO87 |
AEO89 |
AEO90 |
AEO91 |
AEO92 |
AEO93 |
AEO94 |
AEO95 |
|
Table 2 |
1.2 |
2.1 |
1.5 |
0.9 |
|
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
1.7 |
|
Table 3 |
0.76 |
0.78 |
0.36 |
0.48 |
|
0.22 |
0.08 |
0.16 |
0.27 |
0.26 |
|
Table 4 |
0.65 |
0.82 |
1.23 |
0.86 |
|
0.45 |
0.51 |
0.41 |
0.72 |
0.65 |
|
Table 5 |
18 |
13 |
22 |
11 |
|
10 |
25 |
22 |
46 |
55 |
|
Table 6 |
42 |
73 |
70 |
30 |
|
19 |
32 |
54 |
84 |
91 |
|
Table 13 |
7.84 |
1.48 |
1.55 |
2.02 |
|
7.11 |
4.09 |
3.43 |
1.41 |
2.21 |
|
Table 14 |
0.75 |
0.61 |
0.46 |
0.30 |
|
0.30 |
0.25 |
0.27 |
0.30 |
0.23 |
|
Table 15 |
0.29 |
0.27 |
0.20 |
0.20 |
|
0.26 |
0.30 |
0.35 |
0.31 |
0.18 |
|
Table 16 |
0.72 |
0.58 |
0.45 |
0.47 |
|
0.77 |
0.52 |
0.57 |
0.46 |
0.30 |
|
Table 17 |
273 |
317 |
292 |
191 |
|
209 |
225 |
206 |
348 |
230 |
|
Note: No results are shown for AEO90 because there are not enough values
in the intervening years to compute a 5-year moving average. |
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