Energy Market and Economic Impacts of S. 2191, the Lieberman-Warner Climate Security Act of 2007 - (also available printer-friendly version) 
Forecast Analysis - This report responds to a request from Senators Lieberman and Warner
for an analysis of S.2191, the Lieberman-Warner Climate Security Act of 2007. S.2191
is a complex bill regulating emissions of greenhouse gases through market-based mechanisms, energy efficiency programs, and economic incentives.
This analysis focuses on the impacts of the greenhouse gas
cap-and-trade program established under Title I of S. 2191.
Excel Spreadsheets:
Reference
S.2191 Core
S.2191 Limited Alternatives
S.2191 No International
S.2191 Limited/No International
S.2191 High Cost
S.1766 Update
pages: 74, released: April 2008, periodicity: One-time, contact Alan Beamon (202)586-2025
Energy Market and Economic Impacts of S. 1766, the Low Carbon Economy Act of 2007 - (also available printer-friendly version)
Forecast Analysis - This report responds
to a request from Senators Bingaman and Specter for an analysis of the
impacts of S. 1766, the Low Carbon Economy Act of 2007. S. 1766 establishes
a mandatory greenhouse Gas (GHG) allowance program to maintain covered
emissions at approximately 2006 levels in 2020, 1990 levels in 2030, and at
least 60 percent below 1990 levels by 2050.
Excel Spreadsheets:
Reference
Reference Case with High Technology
S.1766 Core
S.1766 Half CCS Bonus
S.1766 High Technology
S.1766 High Technology Plus Policies
S.1766 Limited Alternatives
S.1766 Plus Policies
pages: 59, released: January 2008, periodicity: One-time, contact Alan Beamon (202)586-2025
Supplement to: Energy Market and Economic Impacts of S. 280, the Climate Stewardship and Innovation Act of 2007 - (also available in printer-friendly version) 
Requestors: Senators Barrasso, Inhofe, and Voinovich
This paper responds to a September 18, 2007, letter
from Senators Barrasso, Inhofe, and Voinovich, seeking further energy and
economic analysis to supplement information presented in the Energy Information Administration’s (EIA) recent analysis of S.280, the Climate Stewardship and
Innovation Act of 2007.
Excel Spreadsheets:
Reference
S.280 Core
S.280 with reference nuclear & biomass (RefNB)
S.280 with reference nuclear & biomass, plus no coal with CCS (RefNB+noCCS)
S.280 with reference nuclear, biomass & LNG, plus no coal with CCS (RefNBLNG+noCCS)
pages: 16, released: November 2007, periodicity: One-time, contact Alan Beamon (202)586-2025
Energy and Economic Impacts of Implementing a 25-Percent Renewable Portfolio Standard and Renewable Fuel Standard by 2025 - (also available in printer-friendly version) 
Requestor: Senator James Inhofe
This report responds
to a request by Senator James Inhofe for analysis of a “25-by-25" proposal
that combines a requirement that a 25-percent share of electricity sales be
produced from renewable sources by 2025 with a requirement that a 25-percent share of liquid transportation fuel sales also be derived from
renewable sources by 2025. The electricity requirement is implemented
as a renewable portfolio standard (RPS), while the motor fuel standard is
implemented as a renewable fuel standard (RFS). The report provides
a summary of the impacts of the Policy on U.S. energy markets and the
economy through 2030.
Excel Spreadsheets:
Reference
Policy
High oil and natural gas prices
Policy with high oil and natural gas prices
High technology
Policy with high technology
Low cost ethanol imports from Brazil
Policy with low cost ethanol imports from Brazil
pages: 84, released: September 2007, periodicity: One-time, contact Andy Kydes (202)586-0883
Energy Market and Economic Impacts of S. 280, the Climate Stewardship and Innovation Act of 2007 - (also available in printer-friendly version) 
Forecast Analysis - This report responds to a February 5, 2007 request from Senators Joseph Lieberman and John McCain asking EIA to estimate of the economic impacts of S.280,
the Climate Stewardship and Innovation Act of 2007. S. 280 would
establish a series of caps on greenhouse gas emissions starting in
2012 followed by increasingly stringent caps beginning in 2020, 2030
and 2050. The report provides estimates of the effects of S. 280 on energy
markets and the economy through 2030.
Excel Spreadsheets:
Reference
High Technology
S.280 Core
No International Offsets
Fixed 30 Percent Offsets
Unlimited Offsets
Low Discount
High Auction
No Nuclear
Commercial Covered
S. 280 High Technology
pages: 92, released: July 2007, periodicity: One-time, contact Alan Beamon (202)586-2025
Energy Market Impacts of a Clean Energy Portfolio Standard - Follow-up - (also available in printer-friendly version) 
Forecast Analysis - This analysis responds to a request from Senator Coleman that the Energy Information Administration (EIA) analyze a proposed clean energy portfolio standard (CEPS). The proposal is a copy of which is provided to Appendix B, requires electricity suppliers to increase their share of electricity sales that is generated using clean energy resources, including: nonhydropower renewable resources, new hydroelectric or nuclear resources, fuel cells, and fossil-fired plants that capture and sequester carbon dioxide emissions.
Excel Spreadsheets:
Reference
Clean Energy Portfolio Standard - Follow-up
pages: 41, released: February 2007, periodicity: One-time, contact Alan Beamon (202)586-2025
Energy Market and Economic Impacts of a Proposal to Reduce Greenhouse Gas Intensity with a Cap and Trade System 
Forecast Analysis: This report was prepared by the Energy Information Administration (EIA), in response to a September 27, 2006, request from Senators Bingaman, Landrieu, Murkowski, Specter, Salazar, and Lugar. The Senators requested that EIA assess the impacts of a proposal that would regulate emissions of greenhouse gases (GHGs) through an allowance cap-and-trade system. The program would set the cap to achieve a reduction in emissions relative to economic output, or greenhouse gas intensity.
Excel Spreadsheets:
Reference
Phased Auction
Full Auction
No Offsets
$5 Phased Auction
$9 Phased Auction
pages: 90, released: January 2007, periodicity: One-time, contact Alan Beamon (202)586-2025
Energy and Economic Impacts of H.R.5049, the Keep America Competitive Global Warming Policy Act - (also available in printer-friendly version) 
Forecast Analysis - This report responds to a May 2, 2006 request from Congressmen Tom Udall and Tom Petri asking EIA to analyze the impacts of their legislation implementing a market-based allowance program to cap greenhouse gas emissions at 2009 levels. The legislation, introduced March 29, 2006, limits the potential economic impact through the sale of additional allowances at a safety-valve price, an allowance allocation program, and allowance credits for carbon sequestration projects.
Excel Spreadsheets:
Reference
H.R.5049 A
H.R.5049 B
H.R.5049 C
H.R.5049 No Safety
pages: 41, released: September 2006, periodicity: One-time, contact Ronald Earley (202)586-1398
Energy Market Impacts of a Clean Energy Portfolio Standard - (also available in printer-friendly version) 
Forecast Analysis - This report responds to a request from Senator Norm Coleman
that the Energy Information Administration (EIA) analyze a proposed
clean energy resources policy. The proposal requires retail electric
suppliers to account for an increasing fraction of incremental sales
growth with clean energy resources, including nonhydro renewable
resources, new hydroelectric or nuclear resources, fuel cells, or an
integrated gasification combined-cycle plant that sequesters its carbon
emissions.
Excel Spreadsheets:
Reference
Clean Energy Portfolio Standard
pages: 38, released: June 2006, periodicity: One-time, contact Alan Beamon (202)586-2025
Energy Market Impacts of Alternative Greenhouse Gas Intensity Reduction Goals - (also available in printer-friendly version) 
Forecast Analysis - This report responds to a request from Senator
Ken Salazar that the Energy Information Administration (EIA)
analyze the impacts of implementing alternative variants of an
emissions cap-and-trade program for greenhouse gases (GHGs).
Excel Spreadsheets:
Reference
Cap Trade 1
Cap Trade 2
Cap Trade 3
Cap Trade 3 High Technology
Cap Trade 3 Low Other
Cap Trade 4
pages: 53, released: March 2006, periodicity: One-time, contact Alan Beamon (202)586-2025
Annual Energy Outlook - Overview Section, Legislation and Regulations, Issues in Focus, Market Trends
Forecast Analysis - US annual projections of renewables to 2030 by US region.
pages: 236, AEO released: February 2007, (supporting reports released thereafter), periodicity: Yearly, contact: Tom Petersik (202)586-6582
International Energy Outlook - World Energy Consumption, International Hightlights, Energy-related Carbon Dioxide Emissions, World Energy and Economic Outlook
Forecast Analysis - International projections of emissions to 2030 by region.
pages: 202, released: May 2007, periodicity: Yearly, contact: Perry Lindstrom (202)586-0934
Impacts of Modeled Recommendations of the National Commission on Energy Policy - (also available in printer-friendly version )
Forecast Analysis - This report responds to a December 17, 2004, request by Senator Jeff Bingaman asking that the Energy Information Administration (EIA) assess the impacts of the recommendations made by the National Commission on Energy Policy (NCEP) in its December 2004 report entitled Ending the Energy Stalemate: A Bipartisan Strategy to Meet America’s Energy Challenges. This report provides EIA’s analysis of those NCEP recommendations on energy supply, demand, and imports that could be simulated using the National Energy Modeling System (NEMS).
pages: 93, released: April 2005, periodicity: One-time, contact Andy Kydes (202)586-2222
Voluntary Reporting of Greenhouse Gases - (also available in printer-friendly version )
Forecast Analysis - The Voluntary Reporting of Greenhouse Gases Program established a mechanism by which corporations, government agencies, individuals, voluntary organizations, etc., can report to the EIA, any actions taken that have or are expected to reduce/avoid emissions of greenhouse gases or sequester carbon.
pages: 203, released: February 2005, periodicity: Yearly, contact: Stephen Calopedis (202)586-1156
Emissions of Greenhouse Gases in the United States - (also available in printer-friendly version
Forecast Analysis - latest estimates of emissions for carbon dioxide, methane, nitrous oxide, and other greenhouse gases.
pages: 62, released: November 2007, periodicity: Yearly, contact: Perry Lindstrom (202)586-0934
Analysis of S. 1844, the Clear Skies Act of 2003: S. 843, the Clean Air Planning Act of 2003; and S. 366, the clean Power Act of 2003 - (also available in printer-friendly version )
Forecast Analysis - This report responds to a request from Senator James Inhofe received by the Energy Information Administration (EIA) on March 19, 2004. Senator Inhofe requested that the EIA analyze the impacts of S. 1844, the Clear Skies Act of 2003, S. 843, the Clean Air Planning Act of 2003, and S. 366, the Clean Power Act of 2003. The report analyzes the impacts of limits on nitrogen oxide, sulfur dioxide, mercury and carbon dioxide emissions (for S. 843 and S. 366) from electricity generators. It reports the projected impacts on electricity generation by fuel, emissions, capacity expansion, prices, and industry costs.
pages: 100, released: May 2004, periodicity: One-time, contact Alan Beamon (202)586-2025
Analysis of S.139, the Climate Stewardship Act of 2003 -
Highlights/Summary Section - (also available in printer-friendly version )
Full Report - (also available in printer-friendly version )
Forecast Analysis - On January 9, 2003, Senators John McCain and Joseph Lieberman introduced S.139, the Climate Stewardship Act of 2003 (S.139), in the U.S. Senate. This report responds to a request from Senator James Inhofe, received on January 28, 2003, and Senators John McCain and Joseph Lieberman, received on April 2, 2003, to analyze the impact of S.139. S.139 would establish regulations to limit greenhouse gas emissions primarily through an emission allowance program and related emissions reporting requirements. The emissions allowance program would apply to most greenhouse gas emissions sources, the exceptions being the emissions from the residential and agriculture sectors, as well as emissions from organizational entities whose annual emissions are less than a certain threshold.
pages: 515, released: June 2003, periodicity: One-time, contact John Conti (202) 586-2222
Reducing Emissions of Sulfur Dioxide, Nitrogen Oxides, and Mercury from Electric Power Plants - (also available in printer-friendly version 
Forecast Analysis - This report responds to a request received from Senators Bob Smith, George Voinovich, and Sam Brownback on June 8, 2001 to analyze the impact of various scenarios with alternative power sector emission caps on nitrogen oxides, sulfur dioxide, and mercury.
pages: 89, released: October 2001, periodicity: One-time, contact: Alan Beamon (202)586-2025
Analysis of Strategies for Reducing Multiple Emissions from Electric Power Plants With Advanced Technology Scenarios - (also available in printer-friendly version , Errata 
Forecast Analysis - This report responds to a request received from Senators James Jeffords and Joseph Lieberman on May 17, 2001 to analyze the impacts of technology improvements and other market-based opportunities on the cost of emissions reductions from electricity generators, including nitrogen oxides, sulfur dioxide, mercury, and carbon dioxide.
pages: 228, released: October 2001, periodicity: One-time, contact: Paul Holtberg (202)586-1284
Analysis of Strategies for Reducing Multiple Emissions from Electric Power Plants: Sulfur Dioxide, Nitrogen Oxides, Carbon Dioxide, and Mercury and a Renewable Portfolio Standard - (also available in printer-friendly version ) Errata 
Forecast Analysis - This report responds to a request received from Senator David McIntosh on June 29, 2000 to analyze the impacts of imposing caps on power sector emissions of nitrogen oxides, sulfur dioxide, mercury, and carbon dioxide with and without a renewable portfolio standard.
pages: 325, released: July 2001, periodicity: One-time, contact: Alan Beamon (202)586-2025
The Transition to Ultra-Low-Sulfur Diesel Fuel: Effects on Prices and Supply - (also available in printer-friendly version 
Forecast Analysis - This report responds to a request received from Senators F. James Sensenbrenner, Jr., Ralph Hill, Ken Calvert, and Jerry Costello on July 26, 2000 to analyze the possible impact of the new sulfur requirement on the diesel fuel market. The report discusses the implications of the new regulations for vehicle fuel efficiency and examines the technology, production, distribution, and cost implications of supplying diesel fuel to meet the new standards.
pages: 113, released: May 2001, periodicity: One-time, contact: James Kendell (202)586-9646
Power Plant Emissions Reductions Using a Generation Performance Standard - (also available in printer-friendly version 
Forecast Analysis - In an earlier analysis completed in response to a request received from Representative David McIntosh, Chairman of the Subcommittee on National Economic Growth, Natural Resources, and Regulatory Affairs, the Energy Information Administration analyzed the impacts of power sector caps on nitrogen oxides, sulfur dioxide, and carbon dioxide emissions, assuming a policy instrument patterned after the sulfur dioxide allowance program created in the Clean Air Act Amendments of 1990. This paper compares the results of that work with the results of an analysis that assumes the use of a dynamic generation performance standard as an instrument for reducing carbon dioxide emissions. In general, the results of the two analyses are similar: to reduce carbon dioxide emissions the power sector is expected to turn away from coal-fired generation to natural gas and, to a lesser extent, renewables.
pages: 9, released: May 2001, periodicity: One-time, contact: Alan Beamon (202)586-2025
Outlook for Biomass Ethanol Production and Demand - (also available in printer-friendly version
Forecast Analysis - The technology used to produce ethanol from corn is mature and is not likely to experience significant cost reductions in the future. The ability to produce ethanol from low-cost biomass will be key to making it competitive as a gasoline additive. If Department of Energy goals are met, the cost of producing ethanol could be reduced by as much as 60 cents per gallon by 2015 with cellulosic conversion technology. This paper presents a midterm forecast for biomass ethanol production under three different technology cases for the period 2000 to 2020, based on projections developed with the Energy Information Administration’s National Energy Modeling System. An overview of cellulose conversion technology and various feedstock options and a brief history of ethanol usage in the United States are also presented.
pages: 14, released: July 2000, periodicity: One-time, contact: Zia Haq (202)586-2869
Analysis of the Impacts of an Early Start for Compliance with the Kyoto Protocol - (also available in printer-friendly version )
Forecast Analysis - This report responds to a request received from Senators F. James Sensenbrenner, Jr., and George Brown, Jr., on March 2, 1999 to describe the Energy Information Administration’s analysis of the impacts of an early start on Greenhouse Gas Control using the same methodology as in Impacts of the Kyoto Protocol on U.S. Energy Markets and Economic Activity, with only those changes in assumptions caused by an early start date.
pages: 88, released: July 1999, periodicity: N/A, contact: Paul Holtberg (202)586-1284
Analysis of The Climate Change Technology Initiative: Fiscal Year 2001 - (also available in printer-friendly version ) - (Errata) 
Forecast Analysis - This report responds to a request received from Senators F. James Sensenbrenner, Jr. and George Brown, Jr., on December 16, 1998 and March 2, 1999 to analyze the impact of the President's Climate Change Technology Initiative, as defined for the 2000 budget, on carbon emissions and U.S. energy use and prices in the 2008-2012 time frame relative to the reference case projections in the Annual Energy Outlook 1999.
pages: 101, released: April 1999, periodicity: N/A, contact: Paul Holtberg (202)586-1284
Chapter 2: Summary of Energy Markets Results, Chapter 7: Comparing Cost Estimates for the Kyoto Protocol - Impacts of the Kyoto Protocol on U.S. Energy Markets & Economic Activity - (also available in printer-friendly version
Forecast Analysis - This report responds to a request received from Senators F. James Sensenbrenner, Jr., and George Brown, Jr., on March 3, 1998 to analyze the impacts of the Kyoto Protocol on the U.S. energy markets and the economy in the 2008-2012 time frame with several alternative cases evaluating key uncertainties, including U.S. economic growth, the cost and performance of energy-using technologies, and the possible construction of new nuclear power plants.
pages: 247, released: October 1998, periodicity: One-time, contact: Paul Holtberg (202)586-1284
|