Table D1. World Oil Production Capacity by Region and Country, Reference Case, 1990-2020
(Million Barrels per Day)

Region/Country History (Estimates) Projections
1990 1997 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
OPEC              
Persian Gulf              
Iran 3.2 3.9 4.0 4.3 4.5 4.9 5.5
Iraq 2.2 1.6 2.8 3.2 3.8 4.7 5.9
Kuwait 1.7 2.6 2.7 3.1 3.2 4.3 5.2
Qatar 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7
Saudi Arabia 8.6 11.4 11.1 13.7 14.1 16.2 20.0
United Arab Emirates 2.5 2.7 2.8 3.2 3.4 4.2 4.9
Total Persian Gulf 18.7 22.8 23.9 28.1 29.6 34.9 42.2
Other OPEC            
Algeria 1.3 1.4 1.6 2.0 2.2 2.1 2.0
Indonesia 1.5 1.7 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.4 1.3
Libya 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.6 1.5
Nigeria 1.8 2.2 2.5 2.9 3.2 3.3 3.1
Venezuela 2.4 3.4 3.8 4.6 5.1 5.4 5.8
Total Other OPEC 8.5 10.2 10.9 12.6 13.7 13.8 13.7
Total OPEC 27.2 33.0 34.8 40.7 43.3 48.7 55.9
               
Non-OPEC              
Industrialized              
United States 9.7 9.5 9.1 9.0 9.0 8.9 8.7
Canada 2.0 2.6 2.8 3.0 3.2 3.4 3.4
Mexico 3.0 3.4 3.7 3.7 4.0 3.9 3.9
Australia 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7
North Sea 4.2 6.3 6.9 7.2 7.0 6.4 5.9
Other 0.5 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7
Total Industrialized 20.1 23.4 24.1 24.5 24.8 24.1 23.3
Eurasia              
China 2.8 3.2 3.2 3.3 3.5 3.6 3.6
Former Soviet Union 11.4 7.1 7.3 7.6 10.1 12.1 13.1
Eastern Europe 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5
Total Eurasia 14.5 10.6 10.8 11.2 14.0 16.1 17.2
Other Non-OPEC              
Central and South America 2.4 3.4 3.8 4.0 4.4 4.8 5.0
Middle East 1.4 1.9 2.0 2.1 2.2 2.1 2.0
Africa 2.2 2.6 2.6 2.7 3.3 4.5 5.5
Asia 1.7 2.2 2.3 2.4 3.0 3.2 3.3
Total Other Non-OPEC 7.7 10.1 10.7 11.2 12.9 14.6 15.8
Total Non-OPEC 42.3 44.1 45.6 46.9 51.7 54.8 56.3
               
Total World 69.5 77.1 80.4 87.6 95.0 103.5 112.2
Note: OPEC = Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries.
Sources: History: Energy Information Administration (EIA), Energy Markets and Contingency Information Division. Projections: EIA, Office of Integrated Analysis and Forecasting, World Energy Projection System and "DESTINY" International Energy Forecast Software (Dallas, TX: Petroconsultants, Fourth Quarter 1998).

Table D2. World Oil Production Capacity by Region and Country, High Oil Price Case, 1990-2020
(Million Barrels per Day)

Region/Country History (Estimates) Projections
1990 1997 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
OPEC              
Persian Gulf              
Iran 3.2 3.9 3.9 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.5
Iraq 2.2 1.6 2.3 2.8 3.2 3.7 4.7
Kuwait 1.7 2.6 2.6 2.9 3.1 3.4 3.9
Qatar 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7
Saudi Arabia 8.6 11.4 11.5 12.4 12.9 13.3 17.8
United Arab Emirates 2.5 2.7 2.7 3.0 3.1 3.3 3.7
Total Persian Gulf 18.7 22.8 23.5 25.8 27.1 28.6 35.3
Other OPEC              
Algeria 1.3 1.4 1.6 2.0 2.0 2.1 2.0
Indonesia 1.5 1.7 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.4 1.3
Libya 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.5
Nigeria 1.8 2.2 2.5 2.7 2.8 3.3 3.2
Venezuela 2.4 3.4 3.8 4.5 4.9 5.5 5.8
Total Other OPEC 8.5 10.2 10.9 12.3 12.8 13.9 13.8
Total OPEC 27.2 33.0 34.4 38.1 39.9 42.5 49.1
               
Non-OPEC              
Industrialized              
United States 9.7 9.5 9.3 9.3 9.5 9.6 9.3
Canada 2.0 2.6 2.9 3.0 3.3 3.4 3.5
Mexico 3.0 3.4 3.7 3.8 4.1 4.0 3.9
Australia 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7
North Sea 4.2 6.3 6.9 7.3 7.1 6.6 6.1
Other 0.5 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7
Total Industrialized 20.1 23.4 24.4 25.0 25.6 25.1 24.2
Eurasia              
China 2.8 3.2 3.2 3.4 3.6 3.7 3.7
Former Soviet Union 11.4 7.1 7.3 7.7 10.3 12.4 13.4
Eastern Europe 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5
Total Eurasia 14.5 10.6 10.8 11.4 14.3 16.5 17.6
Other Non-OPEC              
Central and South America 2.4 3.4 3.9 4.1 4.5 4.9 5.1
Middle East 1.4 1.9 2.0 2.1 2.2 2.1 2.1
Africa 2.2 2.6 2.8 2.8 3.3 4.7 5.7
Asia 1.7 2.2 2.3 2.5 3.2 3.3 3.4
Total Other Non-OPEC 7.7 10.1 11.0 11.5 13.2 15.0 16.3
Total Non-OPEC 42.3 44.1 46.2 47.9 53.1 56.6 58.1
               
Total World 69.5 77.1 80.6 86.0 93.0 99.1 107.2
Note: OPEC = Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries.
Sources: History: Energy Information Administration (EIA), Energy Markets and Contingency Information Division. Projections: EIA, Office of Integrated Analysis and Forecasting, World Energy Projection System and "DESTINY" International Energy Forecast Software (Dallas, TX: Petroconsultants, Fourth Quarter 1998).

Table D3. World Oil Production Capacity by Region and Country, Low Oil Price Case, 1990-2020
(Million Barrels per Day)

Region/Country History (Estimates) Projections
1990 1997 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
OPEC              
Persian Gulf              
Iran 3.2 3.9 4.1 4.7 5.3 5.8 6.4
Iraq 2.2 1.6 2.9 3.5 4.4 5.4 7.2
Kuwait 1.7 2.6 2.7 3.3 3.7 4.2 4.9
Qatar 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.7
Saudi Arabia 8.6 11.4 11.2 14.8 17.3 21.9 27.4
United Arab Emirates 2.5 2.7 2.8 3.3 4.0 4.7 5.7
Total Persian Gulf 18.7 22.8 24.2 30.2 35.4 42.8 52.3
Other OPEC              
Algeria 1.3 1.4 1.8 2.3 2.3 2.2 2.1
Indonesia 1.5 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.6 1.5 1.4
Libya 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.8 1.9 1.8 1.6
Nigeria 1.8 2.2 2.6 3.0 3.5 3.6 3.8
Venezuela 2.4 3.4 4.2 5.4 6.3 6.8 6.7
Total Other OPEC 8.5 10.2 11.8 14.2 15.6 15.9 15.6
Total OPEC 27.2 33.0 36.0 44.4 51.0 58.7 67.9
               
Non-OPEC              
Industrialized              
United States 9.7 9.5 9.0 8.4 8.1 7.8 7.6
Canada 2.0 2.6 2.8 3.0 3.2 3.3 3.3
Mexico 3.0 3.4 3.6 3.7 3.9 3.8 3.7
Australia 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7
North Sea 4.2 6.3 6.8 7.1 6.8 6.3 5.8
Other 0.5 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7
Total Industrialized 20.1 23.4 23.8 23.8 23.6 22.7 21.8
Eurasia              
China 2.8 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.4 3.5 3.5
Former Soviet Union 11.4 7.1 7.2 7.4 9.8 11.7 12.6
Eastern Europe 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4
Total Eurasia 14.5 10.6 10.7 10.9 13.6 15.6 16.5
Other Non-OPEC              
Central and South America 2.4 3.4 3.8 3.9 4.3 4.6 4.8
Middle East 1.4 1.9 2.0 2.1 2.1 2.0 2.0
Africa 2.2 2.6 2.6 2.6 3.2 4.3 5.3
Asia 1.7 2.2 2.3 2.4 2.8 3.1 3.1
Total Other Non-OPEC 7.7 10.1 10.7 11.0 12.4 14.0 15.2

Total Non-OPEC

42.3 44.1 45.2 45.7 49.6 52.3 53.5
               

Total World

69.5 77.1 81.2 90.1 100.6 111.0 121.4
Note: OPEC = Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries.
Sources: History: Energy Information Administration (EIA), Energy Markets and Contingency Information Division. Projections: EIA, Office of Integrated Analysis and Forecasting, World Energy Projection System and "DESTINY" International Energy Forecast Software (Dallas, TX: Petroconsultants, Fourth Quarter 1998).

Table D4. World Oil Production Capacity by Region and Country, High Non-OPEC Supply Case, 1990-2020
(Million Barrels per Day)

Region/Country History (Estimates) Projections
1990 1997 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
OPEC              
Persian Gulf              
Iran 3.2 3.9 3.9 4.0 4.1 4.4 5.1
Iraq 2.2 1.6 2.3 2.6 3.0 3.9 5.5
Kuwait 1.7 2.6 2.6 2.8 2.9 3.3 4.4
Qatar 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7
Saudi Arabia 8.6 11.4 11.6 12.1 12.6 13.9 17.5
United Arab Emirates 2.5 2.7 2.7 2.8 2.9 3.3 3.9
Total Persian Gulf 18.7 22.8 23.6 24.9 26.1 29.4 37.1
Other OPEC              
Algeria 1.3 1.4 1.6 1.8 1.9 2.0 1.9
Indonesia 1.5 1.7 1.5 1.5 1.4 1.4 1.3
Libya 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.5 1.5 1.4
Nigeria 1.8 2.2 2.4 2.5 2.6 2.8 3.0
Venezuela 2.4 3.4 3.7 4.2 4.4 5.1 5.5
Total Other OPEC 8.5 10.2 10.7 11.6 11.8 12.8 13.1
Total OPEC 27.2 33.0 34.3 36.5 37.9 42.2 50.2
               
Non-OPEC              
Industrialized              
United States 9.7 9.5 9.2 9.1 9.4 9.3 9.1
Canada 2.0 2.6 2.9 3.2 3.4 3.7 3.8
Mexico 3.0 3.4 3.8 4.0 4.3 4.5 4.5
Australia 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8
North Sea 4.2 6.3 7.2 7.6 7.5 6.9 6.3
Other 0.5 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8
Total Industrialized 20.1 23.4 24.7 25.5 26.2 26.0 25.3
Eurasia              
China 2.8 3.2 3.3 3.6 3.9 4.0 3.9
Former Soviet Union 11.4 7.1 7.5 8.9 11.8 13.5 14.6
Eastern Europe 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5
Total Eurasia 14.5 10.6 11.1 12.9 16.2 18.0 19.0
Other Non-OPEC              
Central and South America 2.4 3.4 4.1 4.6 5.1 5.5 5.7
Middle East 1.4 1.9 2.0 2.3 2.3 2.2 2.2
Africa 2.2 2.6 2.8 3.6 4.7 5.6 5.9
Asia 1.7 2.2 2.5 3.0 3.6 3.8 3.7
Total Other Non-OPEC 7.7 10.1 11.4 13.5 15.7 17.1 17.5
Total Non-OPEC 42.3 44.1 47.2 51.9 58.1 61.1 61.8
               
Total World 69.5 77.1 81.5 88.4 96.0 103.3 112.0
Note: OPEC = Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries.
Sources: History: Energy Information Administration (EIA), Energy Markets and Contingency Information Division. Projections: EIA, Office of Integrated Analysis and Forecasting, World Energy Projection System and "DESTINY" International Energy Forecast Software (Dallas, TX: Petroconsultants, Fourth Quarter 1998).

Table D5. World Oil Production Capacity by Region and Country, Low Non-OPEC Supply Case, 1990-2020
(Million Barrels per Day)

Region/Country History (Estimates) Projections
1990 1997 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
OPEC              
Persian Gulf              
Iran 3.2 3.9 4.0 4.7 5.2 5.6 6.3
Iraq 2.2 1.6 2.5 3.6 4.2 5.2 7.1
Kuwait 1.7 2.6 2.7 3.2 3.5 4.1 4.7
Qatar 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.7
Saudi Arabia 8.6 11.4 11.6 14.7 16.7 21.5 27.0
United Arab Emirates 2.5 2.7 2.8 3.3 3.7 4.5 5.5
Total Persian Gulf 18.7 22.8 24.2 30.2 34.0 41.7 51.3
Other OPEC              
Algeria 1.3 1.4 1.6 2.0 2.2 2.1