International Energy Outlook 2003

Table D1.   World Oil Production Capacity by Region and Country, Reference Case, 1990-2025
                    (Million Barrels per Day)

Region/Country

History (Estimates)

Projections

1990

2001

2005

2010

2015

2020

2025

OPEC

             

  Persian Gulf

             

    Iran

3.2

3.7

3.9

4.2

4.5

4.7

4.9

    Iraq

2.2

2.8

3.2

3.6

4.2

4.6

5.2

    Kuwait

1.7

2.4

2.8

3.3

3.9

4.5

5.1

    Qatar

0.5

0.6

0.6

0.6

0.7

0.8

0.8

    Saudi Arabia

8.6

10.2

11.1

13.6

15.7

19.5

23.8

    United Arab Emitates

2.5

2.7

2.9

3.4

4.0

4.8

5.4

      Total Persian Gulf

18.7

22.4

24.5

28.7

33.0

38.9

45.2

  Other OPEC

             

    Algeria

1.3

1.6

1.7

2.0

2.1

2.4

2.8

    Indonesia

1.5

1.5

1.5

1.5

1.5

1.5

1.5

    Libya

1.5

1.7

1.7

2.0

2.2

2.6

2.9

    Nigeria

1.8

2.2

2.3

2.6

3.1

3.5

3.8

    Venezuela

2.4

3.2

3.4

3.9

4.4

5.0

5.6

      Total Other OPEC

8.5

10.2

10.6

12.0

13.3

15.0

16.6

Total OPEC

27.2

32.6

35.1

40.7

46.3

53.9

61.8

               

Non-OPEC

             

  Industrialized

             

    United States

9.7

9.0

9.0

9.2

9.0

9.4

9.4

    Canada

2.0

2.8

3.1

3.4

3.6

3.8

4.1

    Mexico

3.0

3.6

3.8

4.2

4.5

4.6

4.8

    Australia

0.7

0.7

0.7

0.8

0.8

0.8

0.8

    North Sea

4.2

6.5

6.1

5.9

5.5

5.0

4.5

    Other

0.5

0.6

0.7

0.8

0.7

0.7

0.7

      Total Industrialized

20.1

23.2

23.4

24.3

24.1

24.3

24.3

  Eurasia

             

    China

2.8

3.3

3.5

3.6

3.5

3.5

3.4

    Former Soviet Union

11.4

8.8

9.7

11.6

13.3

14.4

15.9

    Eastern Europe

0.3

0.2

0.3

0.3

0.3

0.4

0.4

      Total Eurasia

14.5

12.3

13.5

15.5

17.1

18.3

19.7

  Other Non-OPEC

             

    Central and South America

2.3

3.8

4.3

4.7

5.7

6.2

6.7

    Middle East

1.4

1.8

2.0

2.2

2.4

2.5

2.7

    Africa

2.2

3.0

3.4

3.9

4.9

5.6

6.7

    Asia

1.7

2.5

2.5

2.6

2.8

2.7

2.6

      Total Other Non-OPEC

7.6

11.1

12.2

13.4

15.8

17.0

18.7

Total Non-OPEC

42.2

46.6

49.1

53.2

57.0

59.6

62.7

               

Total World

69.4

79.2

84.2

93.9

103.3

113.5

124.5

Note: OPEC = Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries.
Sources: History: Energy Information Administration (EIA), Energy Markets and Contingency Information Division. Projections: EIA, System for the Analysis of Global Energy Markets (2003); and U.S. Department of the Interior, U.S. Geological Survey, World Petroleum Assessment 2000 (Reston, VA, July 2000).