Table D1.  World Oil Production Capacity by Region and Country, 
Reference Case, 1990-2020
 (Million Barrels per Day)

Region/Country

History (Estimates)

Projections

1990

1999

2005

2010

2015

2020

OPEC

            

  Persian Gulf

            

    Iran

3.2

3.9

4.0

4.3

4.6

4.8

    Iraq

2.2

2.8

3.1

3.8

4.7

5.8

    Kuwait

1.7

2.6

2.8

3.5

4.1

5.0

    Qatar

0.5

0.6

0.5

0.6

0.7

0.7

    Saudi Arabia

8.6

11.4

12.6

14.7

18.4

23.1

    United Arab Emitates

2.5

2.7

3.0

3.5

4.4

5.1

      Total Persian Gulf

18.7

24.0

26.0

30.4

36.9

44.5

  Other OPEC

            

    Algeria

1.3

1.4

1.9

2.1

2.3

2.5

    Indonesia

1.5

1.7

1.5

1.5

1.5

1.5

    Libya

1.5

1.5

2.1

2.5

2.8

3.2

    Nigeria

1.8

2.2

2.8

3.2

4.0

4.7

    Venezuela

2.4

3.4

4.2

4.6

5.0

6.0

      Total Other OPEC

8.5

10.2

12.5

13.9

15.6

17.9

Total OPEC

27.2

34.2

38.5

44.3

52.5

62.4
             

Non-OPEC

            

  Industrialized

            

    United States

9.7

9.3

9.0

8.7

9.0

9.3

    Canada

2.0

2.7

3.0

3.2

3.4

3.5

    Mexico

3.0

3.5

4.1

4.2

4.4

4.4

    Australia

0.7

0.8

0.8

0.8

0.8

0.8

    North Sea

4.2

6.3

6.6

6.5

6.2

6.0

    Other

0.5

0.7

0.8

0.8

0.8

0.7

      Total Industrialized

20.1

23.3

24.3

24.2

24.6

24.7

  Eurasia

            

    China

2.8

3.2

3.1

3.1

3.0

3.0

    Former Soviet Union

11.4

7.2

9.6

11.9

13.6

14.8

    Eastern Europe

0.3

0.3

0.3

0.3

0.3

0.4

      Total Eurasia

14.5

10.7

13.0

15.3

16.9

18.2

  Other Non-OPEC

            

    Central and South America

2.3

3.6

4.2

4.8

5.5

6.4

    Middle East

1.4

1.9

2.2

2.4

2.5

2.4

    Africa

2.2

2.8

3.1

3.8

4.6

5.8

    Asia

1.7

2.2

2.6

2.6

2.6

2.5

      Total Other Non-OPEC

7.6

10.5

12.1

13.6

15.2

17.1

Total Non-OPEC

42.2

44.5

49.4

53.1

56.7

60.0
             

Total World

69.4

78.7

87.9

97.4

109.2

122.4

Note: OPEC = Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries.
Sources: History: Energy Information Administration (EIA), Energy Markets and Contingency Information Division. Projections: EIA, Office of Integrated Analysis and Forecasting, World Energy Projection System; and U.S. Department of the Interior, U.S. Geological Survey, World Petroleum Assessment 2000 (Reston, VA, July 2000).

Table D2.  World Oil Production Capacity by Region and Country, 
High Oil Price Case, 1990-2020
 (Million Barrels per Day)

Region/Country

History (Estimates)

Projections

1990

1999

2005

2010

2015

2020

OPEC

           

  Persian Gulf

           

    Iran

3.2

3.9

3.8

4.1

4.2

4.5

    Iraq

2.2

2.9

2.9

3.5

4.2

5.1

    Kuwait

1.7

2.6

2.6

3.3

3.8

4.5

    Qatar

0.5

0.8

0.5

0.6

0.7

0.7

    Saudi Arabia

8.6

11.6

11.6

12.7

15.6

19.5

    United Arab Emitates

2.5

2.7

2.8

3.1

3.7

4.6

      Total Persian Gulf

18.7

24.5

24.2

27.3

32.2

38.9

  Other OPEC

           

    Algeria

1.3

1.4

1.6

1.9

2.1

2.4

    Indonesia

1.5

1.7

1.5

1.5

1.5

1.5

    Libya

1.5

1.6

1.7

2.1

2.3

2.8

    Nigeria

1.8

2.3

2.4

2.8

3.4

4.2

    Venezuela

2.4

3.4

3.7

4.2

4.8

5.7

      Total Other OPEC

8.5

10.4

10.9

12.5

14.1

16.6

Total OPEC

27.2

34.9

35.1

39.8

46.3

55.5

             

Non-OPEC

           

  Industrialized

           

    United States

9.7

9.0

9.5

9.3

9.8

10.1

    Canada

2.0

2.6

3.0

3.2

3.4

3.6

    Mexico

3.0

3.4

4.1

4.3

4.5

4.5

    Australia

0.7

0.7

0.9

0.9

0.8

0.8

    North Sea

4.2

6.3

6.6

6.4

6.3

6.1

    Other

0.5

0.8

0.8

0.8

0.8

0.7

      Total Industrialized

20.1

22.8

24.9

24.9

25.6

25.8

  Eurasia

           

    China

2.8

3.2

3.1

3.1

3.1

3.1

    Former Soviet Union

11.4

7.4

9.8

12.2

13.9

15.1

    Eastern Europe

0.3

0.3

0.3

0.3

0.3

0.4

      Total Eurasia

14.5

10.9

13.2

15.6

17.3

18.6

  Other Non-OPEC

           

    Central and South America

2.3

3.8

4.2

4.9

5.7

6.6

    Middle East

1.4

1.9

2.3

2.4

2.6

2.5

    Africa

2.2

2.9

3.2

3.9

4.8

5.9

    Asia

1.7

2.3

2.6

2.7

2.6

2.6

      Total Other Non-OPEC

7.6

10.9

12.3

13.9

15.7

17.6

Total Non-OPEC

42.2

44.6

50.4

54.4

58.6

62.0

             

Total World

69.4

79.5

85.5

94.2

104.9

117.5

Note: OPEC = Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries.
Sources: History: Energy Information Administration (EIA), Energy Markets and Contingency Information Division. Projections: EIA, Office of Integrated Analysis and Forecasting, World Energy Projection System; and U.S. Department of the Interior, U.S. Geological Survey, World Petroleum Assessment 2000 (Reston, VA, July 2000).

Table D3.  World Oil Production Capacity by Region and Country, 
Low Oil Price Case, 1990-2020
 (Million Barrels per Day)

Region/Country

History (Estimates)

Projections

1990

1999

2005

2010

2015

2020

OPEC

           

  Persian Gulf

           

    Iran

3.2

3.9

4.2

4.5

4.8

5.0

    Iraq

2.2

2.9

3.5

4.2

5.1

6.2

    Kuwait

1.7

2.6

3.0

3.7

4.5

5.5

    Qatar

0.5

0.8

0.5

0.6

0.7

0.8

    Saudi Arabia

8.6

11.6

15.4

19.3

24.4

31.1

    United Arab Emitates

2.5

2.7

3.5

4.0

4.8

5.7

      Total Persian Gulf

18.7

24.5

30.1

36.3

44.3

54.3

  Other OPEC

           

    Algeria

1.3

1.4

1.9

2.3

2.5

2.8

    Indonesia

1.5

1.7

1.5

1.5

1.5

1.5

    Libya

1.5

1.6

2.2

2.7

3.2

3.8

    Nigeria

1.8

2.3

2.9

3.6

4.4

5.0

    Venezuela

2.4

3.4

4.2

4.8

5.5

6.5

      Total Other OPEC

8.5

10.4

12.7

14.9

17.1

19.6

Total OPEC

27.2

34.9

42.8

51.2

61.4

73.9

             

Non-OPEC

           

  Industrialized

           

    United States

9.7

9.0

8.4

7.9

8.0

8.2

    Canada

2.0

2.6

3.0

3.1

3.3

3.4

    Mexico

3.0

3.4

4.0

4.1

4.2

4.2

    Australia

0.7

0.7

0.8

0.8

0.8

0.8

    North Sea

4.2

6.3

6.6

6.4

6.1

5.8

    Other

0.5

0.8

0.8

0.8

0.8

0.7

      Total Industrialized

20.1

22.8

23.6

23.1

23.2

23.1

  Eurasia

           

    China

2.8

3.2

3.0

3.0

2.9

2.9

    Former Soviet Union

11.4

7.4

9.5

11.6

13.2

14.2

    Eastern Europe

0.3

0.3

0.3

0.3

0.3

0.3

      Total Eurasia

14.5

10.9

12.8

14.9

16.4

17.4

  Other Non-OPEC

           

    Central and South America

2.3

3.8

4.0

4.7

5.4

6.2

    Middle East

1.4

1.9

2.2

2.3

2.4

2.3

    Africa

2.2

2.9

3.0

3.6

4.4

5.6

    Asia

1.7

2.3

2.6

2.5

2.5

2.4

      Total Other Non-OPEC

7.6

10.9

11.8

13.1

14.7

16.5

Total Non-OPEC

42.2

44.6

48.2

51.1

54.3

57.0

             

Total World

69.4

79.5

91.0

102.3

115.7

130.9

Note: OPEC = Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries.
Sources: History: Energy Information Administration (EIA), Energy Markets and Contingency Information Division. Projections: EIA, Office of Integrated Analysis and Forecasting, World Energy Projection System; and U.S. Department of the Interior, U.S. Geological Survey, World Petroleum Assessment 2000 (Reston, VA, July 2000).

Table D4.  World Oil Production Capacity by Region and Country, 
High Non-OPEC Supply Case, 1990-2020
 (Million Barrels per Day)

Region/Country

History (Estimates)

Projections

1990

1999

2005

2010

2015

2020

OPEC

           

  Persian Gulf

           

    Iran

3.2

3.9

4.0

4.2

4.6

4.9

    Iraq

2.2

2.9

2.9

3.6

4.4

5.3

    Kuwait

1.7

2.6

2.8

3.4

3.9

4.6

    Qatar

0.5

0.8

0.5

0.6

0.7

0.7

    Saudi Arabia

8.6

11.6

11.7

13.3

15.9

18.9

    United Arab Emitates

2.5

2.7

2.9

3.4

3.9

4.8

      Total Persian Gulf

18.7

24.5

24.8

28.5

33.4

39.2

  Other OPEC

           

    Algeria

1.3

1.4

1.8

2.0

2.3

2.5

    Indonesia

1.5

1.7

1.6

1.5

1.5

1.5

    Libya

1.5

1.6

1.9

2.2

2.5

2.9

    Nigeria

1.8

2.3

2.6

2.9

3.4

4.2

    Venezuela

2.4

3.4

3.8

4.3

4.9

5.7

      Total Other OPEC

8.5

10.4

11.7

12.9

14.6

16.8

Total OPEC

27.2

34.9

36.5

41.4

48.0

56.0

             

Non-OPEC

           

  Industrialized

           

    United States