Table D1. World Oil Production Capacity by Region and Country,
Reference
Case, 1990-2020
(Million Barrels per Day)
|
Region/Country |
History (Estimates) |
Projections |
||||
|
1990 |
1998 |
2005 |
2010 |
2015 |
2020 |
|
|
OPEC |
||||||
|
Persian Gulf |
||||||
|
Iran |
3.2 |
3.9 |
4.3 |
4.5 |
4.9 |
5.5 |
|
Iraq |
2.2 |
2.8 |
3.2 |
4.2 |
5.0 |
6.2 |
|
Kuwait |
1.7 |
2.6 |
3.1 |
3.8 |
4.5 |
5.2 |
|
Qatar |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
|
Saudi Arabia |
8.6 |
11.4 |
13.6 |
14.7 |
17.7 |
22.1 |
|
United Arab Emitates |
2.5 |
2.7 |
3.2 |
3.6 |
4.2 |
5.1 |
|
Total Persian Gulf |
18.7 |
24.0 |
28.0 |
31.4 |
36.9 |
44.8 |
|
Other OPEC |
|
|||||
|
Algeria |
1.3 |
1.4 |
2.0 |
2.2 |
2.1 |
2.0 |
|
Indonesia |
1.5 |
1.7 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
1.4 |
1.3 |
|
Libya |
1.5 |
1.5 |
1.6 |
1.7 |
1.6 |
1.5 |
|
Nigeria |
1.8 |
2.2 |
2.9 |
3.2 |
3.3 |
3.1 |
|
Venezuelaa |
2.4 |
3.4 |
4.6 |
5.1 |
5.5 |
6.0 |
|
Total Other OPEC |
8.5 |
10.2 |
12.6 |
13.7 |
13.9 |
14.0 |
|
Total OPEC |
27.2 |
34.2 |
40.6 |
45.1 |
50.8 |
58.8 |
|
Non-OPEC |
||||||
|
Industrialized |
||||||
|
United States |
9.7 |
9.3 |
8.5 |
8.6 |
8.9 |
9.1 |
|
Canada |
2.0 |
2.7 |
3.0 |
3.2 |
3.4 |
3.4 |
|
Mexico |
3.0 |
3.5 |
3.7 |
4.0 |
3.9 |
3.9 |
|
Australia |
0.7 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
|
North Sea |
4.2 |
6.3 |
7.1 |
6.8 |
6.4 |
5.8 |
|
Other |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
|
Total Industrialized |
20.1 |
23.3 |
23.9 |
24.2 |
24.1 |
23.6 |
|
Eurasia |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
China |
2.8 |
3.2 |
3.3 |
3.5 |
3.6 |
3.6 |
|
Former Soviet Union |
11.4 |
7.2 |
7.6 |
10.1 |
12.1 |
13.1 |
|
Eastern Europe |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
|
Total Eurasia |
14.5 |
10.7 |
11.2 |
14.0 |
16.1 |
17.2 |
|
Other Non-OPEC |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Central and South America |
2.4 |
3.6 |
4.2 |
4.4 |
4.8 |
5.0 |
|
Middle East |
1.4 |
1.9 |
2.2 |
2.3 |
2.1 |
2.0 |
|
Africa |
2.2 |
2.8 |
3.1 |
3.7 |
4.5 |
5.5 |
|
Asia |
1.7 |
2.2 |
2.5 |
2.9 |
3.2 |
3.3 |
|
Total Other Non-OPEC |
7.7 |
10.5 |
12.0 |
13.3 |
14.6 |
15.8 |
|
Total Non-OPEC |
42.3 |
44.5 |
47.1 |
51.5 |
54.8 |
56.6 |
|
|
||||||
|
Total World |
69.5 |
78.7 |
87.7 |
96.6 |
105.6 |
115.4 |
|
aThese estimates were made prior to recent statements by Venezuela’s current regime indicating a potential unwillingness to support the outside investment activity required for the substantial capacity expansion shown in this table. Note: OPEC = Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries. Sources: History: Energy Information Administration (EIA), Energy Markets and Contingency Information Division. Projections: EIA, Office of Integrated Analysis and Forecasting, World Energy Projection System and “DESTINY” International Energy Forecast Software (Dallas, TX: Petroconsultants, Fourth Quarter 1999). |
||||||
Table D2. World Oil Production Capacity by Region and Country, High Oil
Price Case, 1990-2020
(Million Barrels per Day)
|
Region/Country |
History (Estimates) |
Projections |
||||
|
1990 |
1998 |
2005 |
2010 |
2015 |
2020 |
|
|
OPEC |
||||||
|
Persian Gulf |
||||||
|
Iran |
3.2 |
3.9 |
4.1 |
4.2 |
4.5 |
4.9 |
|
Iraq |
2.2 |
2.8 |
3.0 |
3.5 |
4.1 |
5.2 |
|
Kuwait |
1.7 |
2.6 |
2.9 |
3.4 |
3.8 |
4.3 |
|
Qatar |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
|
Saudi Arabia |
8.6 |
11.4 |
12.4 |
13.7 |
15.8 |
19.9 |
|
United Arab Emitates |
2.5 |
2.7 |
3.0 |
3.1 |
3.3 |
3.7 |
|
Total Persian Gulf |
18.7 |
24.0 |
26.0 |
28.5 |
32.1 |
38.7 |
|
Other OPEC |
|
|
||||
|
Algeria |
1.3 |
1.4 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.1 |
2.0 |
|
Indonesia |
1.5 |
1.7 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
1.4 |
1.3 |
|
Libya |
1.5 |
1.5 |
1.6 |
1.6 |
1.6 |
1.5 |
|
Nigeria |
1.8 |
2.2 |
2.7 |
2.8 |
3.1 |
3.0 |
|
Venezuelaa |
2.4 |
3.4 |
4.5 |
5.0 |
5.4 |
5.8 |
|
Total Other OPEC |
8.5 |
10.2 |
12.3 |
12.9 |
13.6 |
14.0 |
|
Total OPEC |
27.2 |
34.2 |
38.3 |
41.4 |
45.7 |
52.7 |
|
Non-OPEC |
||||||
|
Industrialized |
||||||
|
United States |
9.7 |
9.3 |
8.7 |
9.1 |
9.6 |
10.0 |
|
Canada |
2.0 |
2.7 |
3.1 |
3.3 |
3.4 |
3.5 |
|
Mexico |
3.0 |
3.5 |
3.9 |
4.1 |
4.0 |
3.9 |
|
Australia |
0.7 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
0.8 |
|
North Sea |
4.2 |
6.3 |
7.1 |
7.0 |
6.5 |
5.9 |
|
Other |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
|
Total Industrialized |
20.1 |
23.3 |
24.3 |
25.1 |
25.1 |
24.8 |
|
Eurasia |
|
|||||
|
China |
2.8 |
3.2 |
3.3 |
3.6 |
3.7 |
3.7 |
|
Former Soviet Union |
11.4 |
7.2 |
7.6 |
10.3 |
12.4 |
13.3 |
|
Eastern Europe |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
|
Total Eurasia |
14.5 |
10.7 |
11.2 |
14.3 |
16.5 |
17.5 |
|
Other Non-OPEC |
||||||
|
Central and South America |
2.4 |
3.6 |
4.2 |
4.5 |
4.9 |
5.1 |
|
Middle East |
1.4 |
1.9 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
2.1 |
|
Africa |
2.2 |
2.8 |
3.2 |
3.5 |
4.5 |
5.6 |
|
Asia |
1.7 |
2.2 |
2.6 |
3.0 |
3.3 |
3.4 |
|
Total Other Non-OPEC |
7.7 |
10.5 |
12.2 |
13.2 |
14.9 |
16.2 |
|
Total Non-OPEC |
42.3 |
44.5 |
47.7 |
52.6 |
56.5 |
58.5 |
|
Total World |
69.5 |
78.7 |
86.0 |
94.0 |
102.2 |
111.2 |
|
aThese estimates were made prior to recent statements by Venezuela’s current regime indicating a potential unwillingness to support the outside investment activity required for the substantial capacity expansion shown in this table. Note: OPEC = Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries. Sources: History: Energy Information Administration (EIA), Energy Markets and Contingency Information Division. Projections: EIA, Office of Integrated Analysis and Forecasting, World Energy Projection System and “DESTINY” International Energy Forecast Software (Dallas, TX: Petroconsultants, Fourth Quarter 1999). |
||||||
Table D3. World Oil Production Capacity by Region and Country, Low Oil
Price Case, 1990-2020
(Million Barrels per Day)
|
Region/Country |
History (Estimates) |
Projections |
||||
|
1990 |
1998 |
2005 |
2010 |
2015 |
2020 |
|
|
OPEC |
||||||
|
Persian Gulf |
||||||
|
Iran |
3.2 |
3.9 |
4.7 |
5.3 |
5.6 |
6.5 |
|
Iraq |
2.2 |
2.8 |
3.5 |
4.4 |
5.3 |
6.9 |
|
Kuwait |
1.7 |
2.6 |
3.3 |
4.0 |
4.8 |
5.5 |
|
Qatar |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
|
Saudi Arabia |
8.6 |
11.4 |
14.9 |
17.1 |
21.6 |
27.4 |
|
United Arab Emitates |
2.5 |
2.7 |
3.4 |
4.0 |
4.6 |
5.7 |
|
Total Persian Gulf |
18.7 |
24.0 |
30.4 |
35.5 |
42.7 |
52.7 |
|
Other OPEC |
|
|||||
|
Algeria |
1.3 |
1.4 |
2.3 |
2.3 |
2.2 |
2.1 |
|
Indonesia |
1.5 |
1.7 |
1.7 |
1.6 |
1.5 |
1.4 |
|
Libya |
1.5 |
1.5 |
1.8 |
1.9 |
1.8 |
1.6 |
|
Nigeria |
1.8 |
2.2 |
3.0 |
3.5 |
3.6 |
3.8 |
|
Venezuelaa |
2.4 |
3.4 |
5.4 |
6.3 |
6.8 |
6.7 |
|
Total Other OPEC |
8.5 |
10.2 |
14.2 |
15.6 |
15.8 |
15.6 |
|
Total OPEC |
27.2 |
34.2 |
44.6 |
51.1 |
58.5 |
68.3 |
|
Non-OPEC |
||||||
|
Industrialized |
||||||
|
United States |
9.7 |
9.3 |
8.0 |
8.1 |
8.2 |
8.3 |
|
Canada |
2.0 |
2.7 |
3.0 |
3.2 |
3.3 |
3.3 |
|
Mexico |
3.0 |
3.5 |
3.7 |
3.8 |
3.8 |
3.7 |
|
Australia |
0.7 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
|
North Sea |
4.2 |
6.3 |
7.1 |
6.7 |
6.4 |
5.8 |
|
Other |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
|
Total Industrialized |
20.1 |
23.3 |
23.3 |
23.3 |
23.1 |
22.4 |
|
Eurasia |
|
|
||||
|
China |
2.8 |
3.2 |
3.3 |
3.4 |
3.5 |
3.5 |
|
Former Soviet Union |
11.4 |
7.2 |
7.5 |
10.0 |
11.7 |
12.7 |
|
Eastern Europe |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
|
Total Eurasia |
14.5 |
10.7 |
11.1 |
13.8 |
15.6 |
16.6 |
|
Other Non-OPEC |
|
|
|
|||
|
Central and South America |
2.4 |
3.6 |
4.1 |
4.3 |
4.6 |
4.8 |
|
Middle East |
1.4 |
1.9 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
2.1 |
2.0 |
|
Africa |
2.2 |
2.8 |
2.8 |
3.5 |
4.4 |
5.3 |
|
Asia |
1.7 |
2.2 |
2.4 |
2.8 |
3.1 |
3.2 |
|
Total Other Non-OPEC |
7.7 |
10.5 |
11.5 |
12.8 |
14.2 |
15.3 |
|
Total Non-OPEC |
42.3 |
44.5 |
45.9 |
49.9 |
52.9 |
54.3 |
|
|
|
|||||
|
Total World |
69.5 |
78.7 |
90.5 |
101.0 |
111.4 |
122.6 |
|
aThese estimates were made prior to recent statements by Venezuela’s current regime indicating a potential unwillingness to support the outside investment activity required for the substantial capacity expansion shown in this table. Note: OPEC = Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries. Sources: History: Energy Information Administration (EIA), Energy Markets and Contingency Information Division. Projections: EIA, Office of Integrated Analysis and Forecasting, World Energy Projection System and “DESTINY” International Energy Forecast Software (Dallas, TX: Petroconsultants, Fourth Quarter 1999). |
||||||
Table D4. World Oil Production Capacity by Region and Country,
High Non-OPEC
Supply Case, 1990-2020
(Million Barrels per Day)
|
Region/Country |
History (Estimates) |
Projections |
||||
|
1990 |
1998 |
2005 |
2010 |
2015 |
2020 |
|
|
OPEC |
||||||
|
Persian Gulf |
||||||
|
Iran |
3.2 |
3.9 |
4.0 |
4.3 |
4.5 |
4.8 |
|
Iraq |
2.2 |
2.8 |
2.8 |
3.3 |
3.9 |
5.2 |
|
Kuwait |
1.7 |
2.6 |
2.7 |
3.2 |
3.6 |
4.3 |
|
Qatar |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
|
Saudi Arabia |
8.6 |
11.4 |
11.3 |
12.5 |
14.1 |
19.6 |
|
United Arab Emitates |
2.5 |
2.7 |
2.8 |
3.1 |
4.2 |
4.8 |
|
Total Persian Gulf |
18.7 |
24.0 |
24.1 |
27.0 |
30.9 |
39.3 |
|
Other OPEC |
|
|
||||
|
Algeria |
1.3 |
1.4 |
1.6 |
1.9 |
2.1 |
2.0 |
|
Indonesia |
1.5 |
1.7 |
1.5 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.3 |
|
Libya |
1.5 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
1.6 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
|
Nigeria |
1.8 |
2.2 |
2.5 |
2.8 |
3.3 |
3.1 |
|
Venezuelaa |
2.4 |
3.4 |
3.8 |
4.3 |
5.5 |
5.9 |
|
Total Other OPEC |
8.5 |
10.2 |
10.9 |
11.2 |
13.3 |
13.8 |
|
Total OPEC |
27.2 |
34.2 |
35.0 |
38.2 |
44.2 |
53.1 |