Annual Energy Outlook 2003 with Projections to 2025

Table 20. Forecasts of average annual growth in
transportation energy demand and key indicators (percent)

Energy use

History
1980-
2001

Projections

AEO2003

GII
2001-2020

2001-2020

2001-2025

Motor gasoline

 1.5

2.1

2.0

1.6

Diesel fuel

 3.6

2.5

2.4

1.4

Jet fuel

 2.4

2.1

2.1

3.4

Residual fuel

-2.7

0.1

0.2

0.2

All energy

 1.6

2.1

2.0

1.8

 

Key indicators

Car and light
truck travel

 3.0

2.4

2.3

1.9

Air travel
(revenue
passenger-miles)

 4.9

2.6

2.4

3.8

Average new car fuel efficiency

 1.1

0.3

0.3

0.5

Gasoline prices

-1.7

0.0

0.2

-0.4

History: Energy Information Administration, Annual Energy Review 2001, DOE/EIA-0384(2001) (Washington, DC, November 2002); Federal Highway Administration, Highway Statistics 2000 (Washington, DC, 2002); Research and Special Programs Administration, “Fuel Cost and Consumption Tables,” and National Highway Transportation Safety Administration, Summary of Fuel Economy Performance (Washington, DC, March 2001). AEO2003: Tables A2, A3, and A7. GII (formerly DRI-WEFA): Global Insight, Winter 2001-2002 U.S. Energy Outlook (May 2002).

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