Supplement Tables to the Annual Energy Outlook 2003

Table 73. Electric Power Projections for EMM Region
United States

                                                      2001-
Electricity Supply and Demand 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2025
                                                       
Electricity Generating Capacity 1/                                                      
(gigawatts)                                                      
Coal Steam
310.59
310.48
310.81
310.54
309.26
308.33
307.17
307.38
306.90
308.37
311.54
314.51
315.26
317.95
320.88
328.11
331.57
337.02
340.65
345.55
348.36
350.57
355.82
361.68
366.56
375.78
0.8%
Other Fossil Steam 2/
136.00
134.97
133.80
132.50
132.18
119.78
101.22
94.41
88.44
85.99
84.60
84.11
83.45
81.33
80.45
79.54
79.30
78.71
78.66
78.56
78.34
78.14
77.73
77.73
77.72
77.32
-2.3%
Combined Cycle
46.21
66.17
103.70
124.41
129.99
134.75
137.15
144.63
149.99
163.03
176.07
189.57
201.23
212.26
223.63
228.78
233.58
240.94
246.55
254.57
259.34
269.96
275.42
286.63
291.73
301.38
6.5%
Combustion Turbine/Diesel
82.14
102.59
126.24
129.78
131.80
132.08
130.55
128.60
129.27
129.84
133.46
133.83
137.57
137.75
142.00
144.94
147.32
149.55
151.76
154.47
157.94
164.25
168.66
173.27
174.88
179.09
2.3%
Nuclear Power
97.98
98.15
98.68
98.98
99.64
100.15
100.40
99.93
99.11
99.13
99.29
99.29
99.43
99.81
99.26
99.48
99.59
99.59
99.59
99.59
99.59
99.59
99.59
99.59
99.59
99.59
0.1%
Pumped Storage/Other 3/
19.80
19.86
20.20
20.27
20.33
20.33
20.33
20.33
20.33
20.33
20.33
20.33
20.33
20.33
20.33
20.33
20.33
20.33
20.33
20.33
20.33
20.33
20.33
20.33
20.33
20.33
0.1%
Fuel Cells
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.02
0.03
0.05
0.07
0.09
0.11
0.14
0.16
0.17
0.18
0.19
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.20
33.2%
Renewable Sources 4/
88.64
90.88
91.99
93.99
94.15
95.33
95.99
96.51
96.74
97.36
97.57
98.05
98.37
98.98
99.46
100.05
100.44
100.89
101.11
101.73
102.25
102.63
103.01
103.54
104.04
104.56
0.6%
Distributed Generation 5/
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.08
0.28
0.37
0.58
0.91
1.29
1.69
2.27
2.68
3.17
4.01
4.94
5.89
7.03
8.06
9.12
10.14
11.21
12.34
13.52
14.60
15.79
N/A
Total Capacity
781.35
823.11
885.41
910.47
917.43
911.05
893.21
892.41
891.76
905.43
924.67
942.10
958.49
971.76
990.20
1006.36
1018.22
1034.26
1046.91
1064.12
1076.49
1096.89
1113.11
1136.51
1149.65
1174.06
1.5%
                                                       
Cumulative Planned Additions 6/                                                      
Coal Steam
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Other Fossil Steam 2/
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Combined Cycle
0.00
0.00
36.86
57.03
62.61
63.14
63.14
63.14
63.14
63.14
63.14
63.14
63.14
63.14
63.14
63.14
63.14
63.14
63.14
63.14
63.14
63.14
63.14
63.14
63.14
63.14
N/A
Combustion Turbine/Diesel
0.00
0.00
23.70
27.79
27.79
27.79
27.79
27.79
27.79
27.79
27.79
27.79
27.79
27.79
27.79
27.79
27.79
27.79
27.79
27.79
27.79
27.79
27.79
27.79
27.79
27.79
N/A
Nuclear Power
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Pumped Storage/Other 3/
0.00
0.00
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.30
N/A
Fuel Cells
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.02
0.03
0.05
0.07
0.09
0.11
0.14
0.16
0.17
0.18
0.19
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.20
N/A
Renewable Sources 4/
0.00
0.00
0.96
2.85
3.05
3.80
4.08
4.34
4.49
4.73
4.86
5.07
5.23
5.54
5.67
5.81
5.95
6.13
6.19
6.31
6.43
6.45
6.48
6.50
6.52
6.54
N/A
Distributed Generation 5/
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Total Planned Additions
0.00
0.00
61.82
87.97
93.75
95.05
95.34
95.61
95.79
96.05
96.21
96.44
96.61
96.93
97.08
97.23
97.38
97.56
97.62
97.74
97.86
97.88
97.91
97.93
97.95
97.97
N/A
                                                       
Cumulative Unplanned Additions 6/                                                      
Coal Steam
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.97
2.20
2.20
3.68
6.85
9.82
10.57
13.25
16.71
23.93
27.39
32.84
37.77
42.67
45.47
48.53
53.79
59.64
64.52
74.01
N/A
Other Fossil Steam 2/
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Combined Cycle
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
4.23
6.63
14.45
19.82
32.86
46.05
59.55
71.21
82.24
93.62
98.77
103.56
110.92
116.53
124.55
129.32
139.95
145.40
156.61
161.71
171.37
N/A
Combustion Turbine/Diesel
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.33
2.37
4.48
4.48
5.11
7.25
8.37
12.27
13.18
17.32
17.50
21.74
24.82
27.48
29.72
32.48
36.29
39.95
46.26
50.66
55.45
57.67
61.89
N/A
Nuclear Power
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Pumped Storage/Other 3/
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Fuel Cells
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Renewable Sources 4/
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.36
0.59
0.86
0.94
1.31
1.42
1.69
1.86
2.16
2.50
2.96
3.20
3.47
3.63
4.13
4.53
4.89
5.25
5.76
6.23
6.74
N/A
Distributed Generation 5/
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.08
0.28
0.37
0.58
0.91
1.29
1.69
2.27
2.68
3.17
4.01
4.94
5.89
7.03
8.06
9.12
10.14
11.21
12.34
13.52
14.60
15.79
N/A
Total Unplanned Additions
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.33
2.45
9.34
13.04
23.21
31.12
47.51
68.28
86.51
103.64
118.33
138.58
155.42
167.53
183.98
198.48
216.77
229.42
250.84
267.44
290.99
304.74
329.79
N/A
Cumulative Total Additions
0.00
0.00
61.82
88.30
96.20
104.39
108.38
118.82
126.90
143.56
164.48
182.95
200.26
215.26
235.66
252.65
264.92
281.54
296.10
314.51
327.28
348.73
365.34
388.92
402.69
427.76
N/A
                                                       
Cumulative Retirements 7/                                                      
Coal Steam
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.22
2.15
4.28
5.31
5.79
5.79
5.79
5.79
5.79
5.79
6.31
6.31
6.31
6.31
7.60
7.60
7.60
8.44
8.44
8.44
8.44
8.71
N/A
Other Fossil Steam 3/
0.00
0.00
0.07
0.93
1.25
13.67
32.23
39.04
45.01
47.46
48.85
49.34
50.00
52.12
53.00
53.91
54.15
54.74
54.79
54.89
55.11
55.31
55.72
55.72
55.73
56.13
N/A
Combined Cycle
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.34
0.34
0.34
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
N/A
Combustion Turbine/Diesel
0.00
0.00
0.13
1.11
1.14
2.96
4.49
7.08
8.54
9.10
9.37
9.91
10.31
10.31
10.31
10.45
10.73
10.73
11.29
12.38
12.57
12.57
12.57
12.75
13.36
13.36
N/A
Nuclear Power
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.77
1.83
1.83
1.83
1.83
1.83
1.83
2.81
2.81
2.81
2.81
2.81
2.81
2.81
2.81
2.81
2.81
2.81
2.81
N/A
Pumped Storage
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Fuel Cells
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Renewable Sources 4/
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.11
0.12
0.12
0.12
0.12
0.12
0.14
0.15
0.15
0.15
0.15
0.15
0.15
0.15
0.15
0.15
0.15
0.15
0.15
0.15
0.15
0.15
N/A
Total
0.00
0.00
0.20
2.04
3.72
18.89
41.11
52.65
61.62
64.63
66.48
67.51
68.57
70.68
73.07
74.12
74.65
75.23
77.14
78.34
78.75
79.79
80.19
80.36
80.99
81.65
N/A
                                                       
Combined Heat and Power 8/                                                      
Capacity                                                      
Coal
4.76
4.76
4.76
4.76
4.76
4.76
4.76
4.76
4.76
4.76
4.76
4.76
4.76
4.76
4.76
4.76
4.76
4.76
4.76
4.76
4.76
4.76
4.76
4.76
4.76
4.76
0.0%
Petroleum
0.89
0.89
0.89
0.89
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.01
1.01
1.01
1.02
1.02
0.6%
Natural Gas
14.20
14.48
14.96
15.33
15.61
16.08
16.55
17.02
17.47
17.95
18.34
18.72
19.07
19.43
19.80
20.24
20.72
21.23
21.85
22.49
23.26
24.04
24.93
25.78
26.75
27.66
2.7%
Other Gaseous Fuels
2.13
2.13
2.13
2.13
2.18
2.18
2.18
2.18
2.18
2.18
2.18
2.18
2.18
2.18
2.18
2.18
2.18
2.18
2.19
2.20
2.21
2.23
2.24
2.25
2.27
2.29
0.3%
Renewable Sources 4/
4.69
4.69
4.69
4.93
5.11
5.24
5.35
5.51
5.67
5.89
6.16
6.40
6.61
6.80
7.00
7.17
7.33
7.49
7.68
7.87
8.04
8.20
8.40
8.59
8.80
9.00
2.7%
Other
0.69
0.69
0.69
0.69
0.69
0.69
0.69
0.69
0.69
0.69
0.69
0.69
0.69
0.69
0.69
0.69
0.69
0.69
0.69
0.69
0.69
0.69
0.69
0.69
0.69
0.69
N/A
Total
27.36
27.64
28.12
28.73
29.34
29.95
30.53
31.15
31.77
32.46
33.12
33.74
34.30
34.86
35.43
36.03
36.67
37.35
38.16
39.01
39.96
40.93
42.03
43.08
44.29
45.40
2.1%
                                                       
Other End Use Generators
1.11
1.12
1.13
1.15
1.17
1.20
1.24
1.28
1.33
1.40
1.47
1.48
1.49
1.50
1.51
1.54
1.56
1.59
1.62
1.65
1.71
1.77
1.83
1.90
1.96
2.03
2.5%
                                                       
Electricity Demand                                                      
(billion kilowatthours)                                                      
Residential
1187.52
1198.46
1231.33
1278.31
1305.94
1326.96
1350.40
1374.80
1403.38
1421.64
1444.14
1462.73
1485.66
1499.27
1518.06
1538.03
1560.18
1575.05
1594.22
1614.74
1638.15
1653.33
1673.05
1694.70
1720.89
1740.15
1.6%
Commercial/Other
1151.26
1190.69
1228.74
1246.73
1282.37
1313.72
1344.96
1376.19
1407.36
1437.84
1470.00
1503.26
1537.05
1571.02
1605.25
1638.35
1671.36
1705.78
1741.20
1778.44
1814.49
1852.00
1888.53
1926.11
1962.88
2001.45
2.2%
Industrial
1055.09
987.32
928.86
976.36
1002.29
1015.88
1038.95
1068.92
1100.52
1124.81
1156.05
1184.97
1210.73
1232.17
1253.28
1269.85
1283.68
1301.06
1318.63
1339.83
1356.88
1374.56
1396.82
1418.85
1443.23
1464.55
1.7%
Transportation
20.96
21.54
22.31
22.83
23.35
23.97
24.57
25.18
25.83
26.54
27.27
28.06
28.86
29.62
30.43
31.25
32.06
33.01
33.99
34.96
36.09
37.22
38.33
39.46
40.60
41.69
2.8%
Total Sales
3414.83
3398.00
3411.24
3524.23
3613.96
3680.55
3758.88
3845.09
3937.09
4010.83
4097.47
4179.02
4262.30
4332.08
4407.03
4477.48
4547.29
4614.90
4688.04
4767.97
4845.61
4917.11
4996.72
5079.11
5167.60
5247.85
1.8%
                                                       
Net Energy for Load (billion kilowatthours) 7/                                                      
Gross International Imports
43.76
38.48
39.41
46.25
46.87
48.27
39.19
41.32
43.83
41.87
44.50
42.98
42.75
39.95
36.94
37.53
34.43
30.70
26.20
22.03
24.37
20.95
17.99
16.17
15.56
14.38
-4.0%
Gross International Exports
13.23
18.18
13.10
12.75
16.55
16.67
16.80
16.93
17.06
17.20
16.38
15.41
14.44
13.47
12.50
11.53
10.57
9.60
8.63
8.14
7.66
7.66
7.66
7.66
7.66
7.66
-3.5%
Gross Interregional Electricity Imports
301.45
314.49
304.44
332.57
330.24
323.42
316.96
313.37
306.26
312.62
297.73
284.58
265.06
251.89
237.94
231.96
213.49
208.49
190.67
185.96
173.75
176.04
166.32
175.43
159.70
170.59
-2.5%
Gross Interregional Electricity Exports
305.31
319.55
308.80
337.16
335.03
328.12
321.75
318.16
311.00
317.61
302.76
289.68
270.16
257.16
243.37
237.61
219.14
214.40
196.74
192.16
180.00
182.40
172.57
182.10
166.43
177.88
-2.4%
Purchases from Combined Heat and Power 8/
29.05
27.09
31.89
33.84
35.29
37.29
39.19
41.22
43.21
45.46
47.50
49.46
51.17
52.89
54.62
56.34
58.10
59.96
62.09
64.52
67.08
69.56
72.54
75.41
78.83
81.82
4.7%
Electric Power Sector Generation for Customers
3615.93
3531.84
3601.58
3711.95
3807.53
3872.60
3959.36
4044.41
4135.77
4211.03
4295.31
4377.61
4460.11
4531.73
4607.86
4676.04
4750.00
4819.52
4898.01
4983.28
5059.26
5135.81
5219.36
5305.03
5395.01
5477.72
1.8%
Total Net Energy for Load
3671.65
3574.18
3655.41
3774.70
3868.35
3936.78
4016.15
4105.23
4201.01
4276.15
4365.89
4449.53
4534.50
4605.83
4681.49
4752.72
4826.31
4894.68
4971.60
5055.48
5136.80
5212.30
5295.97
5382.27
5475.01
5558.98
1.9%
                                                       
Generation by Fuel Type                                                      
(billion kilowatthours)                                                      
Coal
1943.11
1880.96
1895.93
1928.81
1970.69
2019.42
2085.41
2150.40
2165.83
2189.88
2222.31
2249.87
2264.37
2289.89
2315.14
2368.04
2396.48
2436.74
2466.09
2504.75
2529.77
2549.29
2588.10
2632.92
2670.04
2736.46
1.6%
Petroleum
105.19
119.81
36.62
31.34
34.44
34.38
35.14
36.14
40.65
38.58
42.53
43.54
45.21
45.23
47.90
47.19
48.76
47.74
46.07
44.96
45.82
49.54
44.89
47.19
53.17
54.88
-3.2%
Natural Gas
518.00
535.44
612.10
648.04
683.64
685.92
698.71
706.39
783.11
832.45
876.17
926.45
989.51
1028.40
1070.01
1089.41
1130.02
1158.28
1207.38
1251.54
1298.22
1349.35
1396.99
1432.92
1477.05
1488.66
4.4%
Nuclear
753.89
768.83
777.23
780.83
787.18
792.85
795.65
804.40
797.14
798.07
800.19
800.81
802.59
806.82
811.01
804.95
806.31
806.64
806.89
807.14
807.38
807.49
807.49
807.49
807.49
807.49
0.2%
Pumped Storage/Other 3/
-3.26
-6.11
-0.91
-0.94
-0.94
-0.94
-0.94
-0.94
-0.94
-0.94
-0.94
-0.94
-0.94
-0.94
-0.94
-0.94
-0.94
-0.94
-0.94
-0.94
-0.94
-0.94
-0.94
-0.94
-0.94
-0.94
-7.5%
Renewable Sources 4/
320.43
262.85
321.69
365.05
373.86
382.28
386.79
389.51
391.41
394.43
396.47
399.19
400.67
403.62
406.04
408.69
410.67
412.36
413.83
417.14
420.31
422.39
424.14
426.76
429.51
432.48
2.1%
Total Generation
3637.37
3561.79
3642.66
3753.12
3848.86
3913.91
4000.76
4085.90
4177.20
4252.46
4336.73
4418.92
4501.41
4573.03
4649.16
4717.34
4791.30
4860.82
4939.31
5024.58
5100.56
5177.11
5260.66
5346.33
5436.31
5519.02
1.8%
Sales to Customers
3615.93
3531.84
3601.58
3711.95
3807.53
3872.60
3959.36
4044.41
4135.77
4211.03
4295.31
4377.61
4460.11
4531.73
4607.86
4676.04
4750.00
4819.52
4898.01
4983.28
5059.26
5135.81
5219.36
5305.03
5395.01
5477.72
1.8%
Generation for Own Use
21.44
29.94
41.08
41.18
41.33
41.31
41.40
41.49
41.43
41.43
41.43
41.31
41.30
41.30
41.30
41.30
41.30
41.30