Supplement Tables to the Annual Energy Outlook 2003

Table 72. Electric Power Projections for EMM Region
Western Electricity Coordinating Council / California

                                                      2001-
Electricity Supply and Demand 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2025
                                                       
Electricity Generating Capacity 1/                                                      
(gigawatts)                                                      
Coal Steam
5.05
5.05
5.05
5.05
5.05
5.05
5.69
6.41
6.41
6.41
6.41
6.41
6.41
6.41
6.76
7.19
7.44
7.74
8.03
8.30
8.58
8.88
9.20
9.48
9.73
9.97
2.9%
Other Fossil Steam 2/
19.67
19.67
19.67
19.67
19.67
19.15
19.15
19.15
19.15
19.15
19.15
19.15
19.15
19.15
19.15
19.15
19.15
19.15
19.15
19.15
19.15
19.15
19.15
19.15
19.15
19.15
-0.1%
Combined Cycle
2.14
4.01
6.23
7.15
7.79
8.67
9.99
13.01
14.58
16.02
17.80
19.93
21.72
24.26
24.52
24.98
26.24
28.13
29.18
29.70
30.22
30.87
31.43
32.04
33.21
34.06
9.3%
Combustion Turbine/Diesel
4.35
5.89
7.23
7.61
9.65
9.58
9.54
9.62
9.62
9.62
9.62
9.62
9.62
9.62
11.19
12.97
13.76
13.95
14.54
15.61
16.84
18.17
19.71
21.06
21.71
22.87
5.8%
Nuclear Power
5.33
5.33
5.33
5.35
5.35
5.40
5.43
5.43
5.43
5.43
5.43
5.43
5.43
5.43
5.43
5.43
5.43
5.43
5.43
5.43
5.43
5.43
5.43
5.43
5.43
5.43
0.1%
Pumped Storage/Other 3/
3.73
3.73
3.73
3.73
3.73
3.73
3.73
3.73
3.73
3.73
3.73
3.73
3.73
3.73
3.73
3.73
3.73
3.73
3.73
3.73
3.73
3.73
3.73
3.73
3.73
3.73
N/A
Fuel Cells
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Renewable Sources 4/
15.40
15.50
15.64
15.96
15.86
16.31
16.44
16.63
16.64
16.64
16.65
16.65
16.66
16.66
16.83
16.97
17.12
17.20
17.30
17.47
17.64
17.78
17.92
18.06
18.20
18.29
0.7%
Distributed Generation 5/
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.05
0.05
0.07
0.11
0.21
0.31
0.40
0.49
0.57
0.67
0.97
1.29
1.62
1.96
2.29
2.61
2.94
3.29
3.66
4.03
4.41
4.79
N/A
Total Capacity
55.68
59.19
62.89
64.52
67.15
67.95
70.04
74.09
75.77
77.30
79.18
81.41
83.29
85.92
88.59
91.71
94.49
97.29
99.65
102.01
104.54
107.30
110.24
112.99
115.56
118.30
2.9%
                                                       
Cumulative Planned Additions 6/                                                      
Coal Steam
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Other Fossil Steam 2/
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Combined Cycle
0.00
0.00
2.22
3.15
3.78
4.30
4.30
4.30
4.30
4.30
4.30
4.30
4.30
4.30
4.30
4.30
4.30
4.30
4.30
4.30
4.30
4.30
4.30
4.30
4.30
4.30
N/A
Combustion Turbine/Diesel
0.00
0.00
1.34
1.38
1.38
1.38
1.38
1.38
1.38
1.38
1.38
1.38
1.38
1.38
1.38
1.38
1.38
1.38
1.38
1.38
1.38
1.38
1.38
1.38
1.38
1.38
N/A
Nuclear Power
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Pumped Storage/Other 3/
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Fuel Cells
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Renewable Sources 4/
0.00
0.00
0.14
0.45
0.47
0.81
0.81
0.82
0.82
0.82
0.83
0.83
0.84
0.84
0.85
0.86
0.87
0.87
0.88
0.89
0.90
0.90
0.91
0.92
0.93
0.93
N/A
Distributed Generation 5/
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Total Planned Additions
0.00
0.00
3.70
4.98
5.63
6.49
6.49
6.50
6.50
6.51
6.51
6.52
6.52
6.53
6.53
6.54
6.55
6.56
6.56
6.57
6.58
6.59
6.59
6.60
6.61
6.62
N/A
                                                       
Cumulative Unplanned Additions 6/                                                      
Coal Steam
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.64
1.35
1.35
1.35
1.35
1.35
1.35
1.35
1.71
2.14
2.39
2.69
2.97
3.25
3.53
3.83
4.15
4.43
4.67
4.92
N/A
Other Fossil Steam 2/
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Combined Cycle
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.36
1.68
4.70
6.27
7.71
9.49
11.62
13.41
15.95
16.21
16.67
17.93
19.82
20.87
21.39
21.91
22.56
23.12
23.73
24.90
25.74
N/A
Combustion Turbine/Diesel
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.33
2.37
2.37
2.37
2.45
2.45
2.45
2.45
2.45
2.45
2.45
4.03
5.81
6.60
6.79
7.37
8.45
9.68
11.00
12.55
13.89
14.55
15.70
N/A
Nuclear Power
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Pumped Storage/Other 3/
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Fuel Cells
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Renewable Sources 4/
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.11
0.23
0.42
0.43
0.43
0.43
0.43
0.43
0.43
0.58
0.72
0.86
0.93
1.03
1.19
1.36
1.48
1.62
1.75
1.88
1.97
N/A
Distributed Generation 5/
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.05
0.05
0.07
0.11
0.21
0.31
0.40
0.49
0.57
0.67
0.97
1.29
1.62
1.96
2.29
2.61
2.94
3.29
3.66
4.03
4.41
4.79
N/A
Total Unplanned Additions
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.33
2.42
2.90
4.99
9.04
10.71
12.24
14.12
16.34
18.22
20.85
23.50
26.62
29.39
32.18
34.53
36.89
39.41
42.16
45.10
47.84
50.40
53.13
N/A
Cumulative Total Additions
0.00
0.00
3.70
5.31
8.05
9.39
11.49
15.54
17.22
18.75
20.63
22.86
24.74
27.37
30.04
33.16
35.94
38.74
41.10
43.46
45.99
48.75
51.69
54.44
57.01
59.75
N/A
                                                       
Cumulative Retirements 7/                                                      
Coal Steam
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Other Fossil Steam 3/
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.52
0.52
0.52
0.52
0.52
0.52
0.52
0.52
0.52
0.52
0.52
0.52
0.52
0.52
0.52
0.52
0.52
0.52
0.52
0.52
0.52
N/A
Combined Cycle
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Combustion Turbine/Diesel
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.07
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
N/A
Nuclear Power
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Pumped Storage
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Fuel Cells
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Renewable Sources 4/
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
N/A
Total
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.11
0.70
0.75
0.75
0.75
0.75
0.75
0.75
0.75
0.75
0.75
0.75
0.75
0.75
0.75
0.75
0.75
0.75
0.75
0.75
0.75
0.75
N/A
                                                       
Combined Heat and Power 8/                                                      
Capacity                                                      
Coal
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.0%
Petroleum
0.10
0.10
0.10
0.10
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.6%
Natural Gas
2.42
2.46
2.55
2.61
2.66
2.74
2.82
2.90
2.97
3.05
3.12
3.19
3.25
3.31
3.37
3.44
3.53
3.61
3.72
3.83
3.96
4.09
4.24
4.39
4.55
4.71
2.7%
Other Gaseous Fuels
0.23
0.23
0.23
0.23
0.24
0.24
0.24
0.24
0.24
0.24
0.24
0.24
0.24
0.24
0.24
0.24
0.24
0.24
0.24
0.24
0.24
0.24
0.25
0.25
0.25
0.25
0.3%
Renewable Sources 4/
0.17
0.17
0.17
0.18
0.19
0.19
0.20
0.20
0.21
0.22
0.23
0.24
0.25
0.25
0.26
0.27
0.27
0.28
0.28
0.29
0.30
0.30
0.31
0.32
0.33
0.33
2.7%
Other
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
N/A
Total
3.14
3.18
3.27
3.34
3.41
3.49
3.58
3.66
3.75
3.84
3.91
3.99
4.05
4.12
4.19
4.27
4.36
4.45
4.57
4.69
4.82
4.97
5.13
5.28
5.45
5.62
2.4%
                                                       
Other End Use Generators
0.04
0.04
0.04
0.04
0.04
0.04
0.05
0.05
0.05
0.05
0.05
0.05
0.06
0.06
0.06
0.06
0.06
0.06
0.06
0.06
0.06
0.07
0.07
0.07
0.07
0.08
2.5%
                                                       
Electricity Demand                                                      
(billion kilowatthours)                                                      
Residential
71.08
70.74
75.94
78.98
80.69
81.57
82.37
82.97
83.81
84.10
84.64
85.23
86.31
86.83
87.47
88.05
88.78
89.14
89.82
90.59
91.57
92.00
92.63
93.25
94.11
94.44
1.2%
Commercial/Other
105.72
108.17
115.11
119.96
125.11
129.23
132.95
136.47
140.00
143.64
147.51
151.69
156.34
161.16
166.04
170.67
175.43
180.41
185.70
191.28
196.84
202.47
208.08
213.77
219.61
225.50
3.1%
Industrial
58.43
56.24
57.23
60.08
63.22
64.32
65.83
67.55
69.55
71.13
73.29
75.27
76.97
78.58
80.23
81.49
82.59
83.89
85.32
86.89
88.25
89.68
91.39
93.15
95.13
96.93
2.3%
Transportation
1.84
1.93
2.13
2.19
2.24
2.31
2.37
2.44
2.51
2.58
2.66
2.74
2.83
2.91
3.00
3.08
3.17
3.27
3.38
3.48
3.60
3.72
3.84
3.96
4.08
4.20
3.3%
Total Sales
237.06
237.08
250.42
261.21
271.26
277.43
283.52
289.43
295.87
301.46
308.10
314.93
322.44
329.48
336.73
343.30
349.97
356.72
364.22
372.25
380.25
387.88
395.94
404.13
412.93
421.07
2.4%
                                                       
Net Energy for Load (billion kilowatthours) 7/                                                      
Gross International Imports
0.07
0.07
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Gross International Exports
1.97
1.97
1.27
1.32
1.36
1.41
1.46
1.51
1.56
1.61
1.67
1.67
1.67
1.67
1.67
1.67
1.67
1.67
1.67
1.67
1.67
1.67
1.67
1.67
1.67
1.67
-0.7%
Gross Interregional Electricity Imports
54.95
63.35
58.03
73.63
71.32
70.03
66.76
60.93
58.85
59.02
55.63
52.79
46.36
40.83
39.03
36.56
29.53
26.97
19.89
19.23
15.10
14.74
10.51
12.47
11.11
13.26
-6.3%
Gross Interregional Electricity Exports
15.90
26.31
14.82
10.09
8.52
7.97
7.97
7.97
7.97
7.97
7.18
6.39
5.59
4.79
3.99
3.19
2.39
1.59
0.80
0.40
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.04
0.17
0.33
-16.7%
Purchases from Combined Heat and Power 8/
3.65
3.39
4.14
4.38
4.53
4.82
5.10
5.39
5.66
5.96
6.20
6.44
6.65
6.87
7.09
7.32
7.58
7.84
8.15
8.49
8.87
9.24
9.68
10.09
10.59
11.03
5.0%
Electric Power Sector Generation for Customers
214.30
206.98
226.80
218.13
229.37
236.28
245.34
256.91
265.39
270.70
279.98
288.90
302.04
313.89
322.06
330.21
343.08
351.85
365.69
374.20
385.90
394.03
406.18
412.59
422.90
429.07
3.1%
Total Net Energy for Load
255.11
245.51
272.87
284.74
295.33
301.75
307.78
313.75
320.37
326.10
332.96
340.07
347.78
355.13
362.52
369.25
376.12
383.41
391.27
399.86
408.21
416.34
424.70
433.46
442.76
451.37
2.6%
                                                       
Generation by Fuel Type                                                      
(billion kilowatthours)                                                      
Coal
27.55
27.78
36.35
36.00
37.00
37.87
43.18
49.54
48.95
48.95
48.95
48.95
48.95
48.95
51.60
54.81
56.66
58.87
61.01
63.06
65.13
67.34
69.76
71.83
73.66
75.46
4.3%
Petroleum
2.21
2.69
0.75
0.74
0.75
0.20
0.06
0.06
0.06
0.33
2.03
4.04
2.31
0.49
2.85
2.57
2.78
2.42
2.08
1.29
1.35
5.35
0.75
3.97
8.65
10.95
6.0%
Natural Gas
87.87
96.48
99.21
84.64
94.08
97.78
100.48
104.74
113.72
118.68
126.18
133.03
147.84
161.44
163.69
168.22
178.20
184.84
196.35
202.58
211.10
212.33
225.93
226.32
229.43
230.75
3.7%
Nuclear
43.50
41.09
42.34
42.55
42.61
43.11
43.42
43.49
43.55
43.62
43.69
43.75
43.82
43.89
43.92
43.92
43.92
43.92
43.92
43.92
43.92
43.92
43.92
43.92
43.92
43.92
0.3%
Pumped Storage/Other 3/
-0.64
-0.26
-0.44
-0.44
-0.44
-0.44
-0.44
-0.44
-0.44
-0.44
-0.44
-0.44
-0.44
-0.44
-0.44
-0.44
-0.44
-0.44
-0.44
-0.44
-0.44
-0.44
-0.44
-0.44
-0.44
-0.44
2.3%
Renewable Sources 4/
57.12
42.85
54.50
60.62
61.35
63.61
64.50
65.39
65.40
65.42
65.43
65.42
65.42
65.42
66.31
67.00
67.83
68.11
68.64
69.67
70.71
71.39
72.13
72.86
73.54
74.28
2.3%
Total Generation
217.63
210.64
232.71
224.10
235.35
242.13
251.20
262.77
271.25
276.56
285.84
294.76
307.90
319.75
327.92
336.07
348.94
357.71
371.55
380.06
391.76
399.89
412.04
418.46
428.76