Supplement Tables to the Annual Energy Outlook 2003

Table 69. Electric Power Projections for EMM Region
Southwest Power Pool

                                                      2001-
Electricity Supply and Demand 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2025
                                                       
Electricity Generating Capacity 1/                                                      
(gigawatts)                                                      
Coal Steam
21.60
21.60
21.60
21.60
21.60
21.60
21.60
21.07
20.59
20.59
20.96
20.96
21.33
21.33
22.04
22.04
22.24
22.24
22.24
22.24
22.24
22.16
22.16
22.16
22.25
24.22
0.5%
Other Fossil Steam 2/
13.36
13.23
13.09
13.01
12.96
11.03
9.08
7.37
5.74
4.45
4.45
4.42
4.40
4.36
4.36
4.36
4.36
4.36
4.31
4.31
4.31
4.31
4.31
4.31
4.31
4.31
-4.6%
Combined Cycle
1.95
3.65
9.55
11.08
11.08
11.08
11.08
10.78
10.78
10.78
11.32
11.32
13.05
13.05
14.86
14.86
14.86
14.86
15.24
15.24
15.47
15.58
15.85
15.85
15.85
16.06
6.4%
Combustion Turbine/Diesel
4.81
5.50
6.72
7.05
7.05
6.65
6.54
6.54
6.54
6.26
7.59
7.19
8.88
8.88
10.54
10.40
10.91
10.91
10.99
10.99
10.99
10.99
10.99
10.99
10.99
11.09
3.0%
Nuclear Power
1.17
1.17
1.17
1.17
1.18
1.18
1.18
1.18
1.18
1.18
1.18
1.18
1.18
1.18
1.18
1.18
1.18
1.18
1.18
1.18
1.18
1.18
1.18
1.18
1.18
1.18
0.0%
Pumped Storage/Other 3/
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
N/A
Fuel Cells
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Renewable Sources 4/
2.47
2.67
2.68
2.68
2.69
2.69
2.69
2.69
2.69
2.69
2.70
2.70
2.70
2.70
2.71
2.71
2.71
2.71
2.72
2.72
2.72
2.72
2.73
2.73
2.73
2.73
0.1%
Distributed Generation 5/
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.02
0.02
0.04
0.04
0.04
0.04
0.04
0.04
0.04
0.04
0.04
0.04
N/A
Total Capacity
45.87
48.31
55.32
57.10
57.06
54.73
52.67
50.12
48.02
46.45
48.70
48.27
52.04
52.01
56.21
56.07
56.81
56.81
57.21
57.22
57.45
57.49
57.76
57.76
57.85
60.14
0.9%
                                                       
Cumulative Planned Additions 6/                                                      
Coal Steam
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Other Fossil Steam 2/
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Combined Cycle
0.00
0.00
5.91
7.43
7.43
7.43
7.43
7.43
7.43
7.43
7.43
7.43
7.43
7.43
7.43
7.43
7.43
7.43
7.43
7.43
7.43
7.43
7.43
7.43
7.43
7.43
N/A
Combustion Turbine/Diesel
0.00
0.00
1.23
1.72
1.72
1.72
1.72
1.72
1.72
1.72
1.72
1.72
1.72
1.72
1.72
1.72
1.72
1.72
1.72
1.72
1.72
1.72
1.72
1.72
1.72
1.72
N/A
Nuclear Power
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Pumped Storage/Other 3/
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Fuel Cells
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Renewable Sources 4/
0.00
0.00
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.04
0.04
0.04
0.04
0.05
0.05
0.05
0.05
0.06
0.06
0.06
0.06
0.07
N/A
Distributed Generation 5/
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Total Planned Additions
0.00
0.00
7.16
9.17
9.17
9.17
9.18
9.18
9.18
9.18
9.18
9.18
9.19
9.19
9.19
9.19
9.20
9.20
9.20
9.20
9.21
9.21
9.21
9.21
9.22
9.22
N/A
                                                       
Cumulative Unplanned Additions 6/                                                      
Coal Steam
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.37
0.37
0.74
0.74
1.45
1.45
1.65
1.65
1.65
1.65
1.65
1.65
1.65
1.65
1.73
3.71
N/A
Other Fossil Steam 2/
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Combined Cycle
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.54
0.54
2.28
2.28
4.09
4.09
4.09
4.09
4.47
4.47
4.70
4.81
5.08
5.08
5.08
5.28
N/A
Combustion Turbine/Diesel
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.33
1.33
3.41
3.41
5.07
5.07
5.59
5.59
5.66
5.66
5.66
5.66
5.66
5.66
5.66
5.77
N/A
Nuclear Power
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Pumped Storage/Other 3/
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Fuel Cells
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Renewable Sources 4/
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Distributed Generation 5/
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.02
0.02
0.04
0.04
0.04
0.04
0.04
0.04
0.04
0.04
0.04
0.04
N/A
Total Unplanned Additions
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
2.25
2.25
6.42
6.42
10.63
10.63
11.36
11.36
11.82
11.82
12.05
12.16
12.42
12.42
12.51
14.80
N/A
Cumulative Total Additions
0.00
0.00
7.16
9.17
9.17
9.17
9.18
9.18
9.18
9.18
11.43
11.43
15.61
15.61
19.82
19.82
20.55
20.56
21.02
21.02
21.25
21.36
21.64
21.64
21.73
24.01
N/A
                                                       
Cumulative Retirements 7/                                                      
Coal Steam
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.53
1.01
1.01
1.01
1.01
1.01
1.01
1.01
1.01
1.01
1.01
1.01
1.01
1.01
1.08
1.08
1.08
1.08
1.08
N/A
Other Fossil Steam 3/
0.00
0.00
0.02
0.10
0.15
2.10
4.05
5.77
7.40
8.68
8.68
8.72
8.73
8.77
8.77
8.77
8.77
8.77
8.83
8.83
8.83
8.83
8.83
8.83
8.83
8.83
N/A
Combined Cycle
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.30
N/A
Combustion Turbine/Diesel
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.16
0.16
0.56
0.67
0.67
0.67
0.95
0.95
1.35
1.74
1.74
1.74
1.89
1.89
1.89
1.89
1.89
1.89
1.89
1.89
1.89
1.89
1.89
N/A
Nuclear Power
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Pumped Storage
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Fuel Cells
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Renewable Sources 4/
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Total
0.00
0.00
0.02
0.25
0.30
2.66
4.73
7.27
9.38
10.94
10.94
11.38
11.79
11.82
11.82
11.97
11.97
11.97
12.02
12.02
12.02
12.09
12.09
12.09
12.09
12.09
N/A
                                                       
Combined Heat and Power 8/                                                      
Capacity                                                      
Coal
0.12
0.12
0.12
0.12
0.12
0.12
0.12
0.12
0.12
0.12
0.12
0.12
0.12
0.12
0.12
0.12
0.12
0.12
0.12
0.12
0.12
0.12
0.12
0.12
0.12
0.12
0.0%
Petroleum
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Natural Gas
0.28
0.28
0.29
0.30
0.30
0.31
0.32
0.33
0.34
0.35
0.36
0.36
0.37
0.38
0.38
0.39
0.40
0.41
0.42
0.44
0.45
0.47
0.48
0.50
0.52
0.54
2.7%
Other Gaseous Fuels
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Renewable Sources 4/
0.45
0.45
0.45
0.48
0.49
0.51
0.52
0.53
0.55
0.57
0.60
0.62
0.64
0.66
0.68
0.69
0.71
0.73
0.74
0.76
0.78
0.80
0.81
0.83
0.85
0.87
2.7%
Other
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.02
N/A
Total
0.87
0.88
0.89
0.92
0.94
0.96
0.98
1.00
1.03
1.06
1.09
1.12
1.15
1.18
1.20
1.23
1.25
1.28
1.31
1.34
1.37
1.40
1.44
1.47
1.51
1.55
2.4%
                                                       
Other End Use Generators
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.12
0.12
0.12
0.13
0.14
0.14
0.14
0.14
0.15
0.15
0.15
0.15
0.15
0.16
0.16
0.17
0.17
0.18
0.18
0.19
0.20
2.5%
                                                       
Electricity Demand                                                      
(billion kilowatthours)                                                      
Residential
57.28
58.00
60.34
62.77
64.20
65.37
66.68
67.90
69.52
70.46
72.09
73.33
74.93
75.82
77.12
78.40
79.84
80.79
82.03
83.27
84.64
85.51
86.64
87.90
89.48
90.77
1.9%
Commercial/Other
60.96
62.60
64.94
66.16
67.88
69.40
70.86
72.09
73.46
74.57
76.19
77.74
79.48
81.00
82.59
84.04
85.49
86.90
88.38
89.88
91.24
92.53
93.69
94.82
95.85
97.06
1.8%
Industrial
49.37
46.40
44.02
46.24
47.36
47.93
49.22
50.74
52.31
53.35
54.80
56.14
57.39
58.45
59.35
60.19
60.85
61.65
62.39
63.34
64.13
64.93
65.95
66.95
68.06
69.05
1.7%
Transportation
0.87
0.89
0.93
0.95
0.97
1.00
1.03
1.05
1.08
1.11
1.14
1.18
1.21
1.25
1.28
1.32
1.35
1.39
1.44
1.48
1.53
1.57
1.62
1.67
1.72
1.77
2.9%
Total Sales
168.48
167.89
170.22
176.11
180.42
183.70
187.79
191.78
196.38
199.49
204.22
208.40
213.02
216.52
220.35
223.95
227.53
230.73
234.23
237.97
241.54
244.55
247.90
251.35
255.10
258.65
1.8%
                                                       
Net Energy for Load (billion kilowatthours) 7/                                                      
Gross International Imports
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Gross International Exports
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Gross Interregional Electricity Imports
20.92
22.84
18.21
16.93
14.38
16.03
16.95
21.82
22.66
24.75
23.50
24.96
19.62
20.85
16.26
18.12
16.65
16.94
16.69
16.85
18.11
18.45
19.19
20.29
19.34
16.99
-1.2%
Gross Interregional Electricity Exports
20.78
20.53
18.07
19.99
19.69
20.95
21.08
21.00
19.81
19.64
17.51
15.96
14.72
13.15
13.23
12.36
10.86
9.04
8.08
6.15
6.16
4.72
4.78
3.98
4.18
6.02
-5.0%
Purchases from Combined Heat and Power 8/
0.53
0.50
0.60
0.62
0.64
0.68
0.71
0.74
0.78
0.81
0.84
0.87
0.89
0.92
0.94
0.97
1.00
1.03
1.07
1.11
1.15
1.20
1.25
1.30
1.36
1.41
4.4%
Electric Power Sector Generation for Customers
181.53
179.69
183.70
192.96
199.67
202.50
206.14
205.42
208.34
209.25
213.34
214.66
223.40
224.18
232.62
233.60
237.34
238.77
241.77
243.69
246.21
247.61
250.48
252.25
257.33
265.13
1.6%
Total Net Energy for Load
182.20
182.50
184.44
190.53
194.99
198.26
202.73
206.99
211.96
215.18
220.17
224.52
229.19
232.81
236.59
240.33
244.13
247.70
251.44
255.50
259.31
262.54
266.15
269.86
273.86
277.52
1.8%
                                                       
Generation by Fuel Type                                                      
(billion kilowatthours)                                                      
Coal
127.01
125.80
137.48
139.26
145.21
150.15
154.09
154.67
150.60
150.72
153.54
153.59
156.64
156.85
161.94
161.86
163.40
163.40
163.23
163.32
163.45
163.11
163.27
163.42
164.13
178.10
1.5%
Petroleum
0.79
1.06
0.32
0.23
0.32
0.31
0.31
0.33
0.41
0.43
0.43
0.44
0.40
0.43
0.36
0.29
0.38
0.37
0.39
0.39
0.39
0.39
0.40
0.41
0.39
0.39
-4.1%
Natural Gas
40.63
38.39
32.16
39.28
39.76
37.61
37.28
35.94
42.85
43.61
44.88
46.12
51.84
52.38
55.80
56.93
59.02
60.46
63.61
65.43
67.82
69.56
72.25
73.85
78.24
72.07
2.7%
Nuclear
9.06
10.35
9.74
9.74
9.84
9.84
9.84
9.84
9.84
9.84
9.84
9.84
9.84
9.84
9.84
9.84
9.84
9.84
9.84
9.84
9.84
9.84
9.84
9.84
9.84
9.84
-0.2%
Pumped Storage/Other 3/
-0.13
-0.13
-0.05
-0.05
-0.05
-0.05
-0.05
-0.05
-0.05
-0.05
-0.05
-0.05
-0.05
-0.05
-0.05
-0.05
-0.05
-0.05
-0.05
-0.05
-0.05
-0.05
-0.05
-0.05
-0.05
-0.05
-4.1%
Renewable Sources 4/
4.62
5.06
5.22