Supplement Tables to the Annual Energy Outlook 2003

 

Table 65. Electric Power Projections for EMM Region
Northeast Power Coordinating Council / New York

                                                      2001-
Electricity Supply and Demand 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2025
                                                       
Electricity Generating Capacity 1/                                                      
(gigawatts)                                                      
Coal Steam
3.74
3.74
3.74
3.74
3.74
3.74
3.74
3.74
3.74
3.74
3.74
3.74
3.74
3.74
3.74
3.74
3.74
3.74
3.74
3.74
3.74
3.74
3.74
3.74
3.74
3.74
0.0%
Other Fossil Steam 2/
12.44
12.44
12.44
12.44
12.44
11.33
10.13
10.13
9.62
9.62
8.80
8.80
8.21
8.21
7.63
7.63
7.39
7.39
7.39
7.39
7.39
7.39
7.39
7.39
7.39
7.39
-2.1%
Combined Cycle
4.01
4.01
4.01
4.22
4.22
5.58
5.58
7.02
7.02
8.18
8.18
9.51
9.51
10.17
10.17
10.61
10.61
10.75
10.75
12.37
12.80
14.23
14.40
15.94
15.94
15.94
5.9%
Combustion Turbine/Diesel
3.70
4.05
4.59
4.59
4.59
4.31
4.31
4.31
4.26
4.26
4.26
4.26
4.26
4.26
4.26
4.26
3.98
3.98
3.42
2.32
2.13
2.13
2.13
2.13
2.13
2.13
-2.6%
Nuclear Power
5.05
5.05
5.05
5.05
5.05
5.05
5.05
5.06
5.06
5.06
5.06
5.06
5.06
5.06
4.08
4.08
4.08
4.08
4.08
4.08
4.08
4.08
4.08
4.08
4.08
4.08
-0.9%
Pumped Storage/Other 3/
1.28
1.28
1.28
1.28
1.28
1.28
1.28
1.28
1.28
1.28
1.28
1.28
1.28
1.28
1.28
1.28
1.28
1.28
1.28
1.28
1.28
1.28
1.28
1.28
1.28
1.28
N/A
Fuel Cells
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Renewable Sources 4/
4.60
4.70
4.86
5.25
5.32
5.48
5.62
5.62
5.62
5.62
5.62
5.62
5.62
5.62
5.62
5.62
5.62
5.62
5.62
5.62
5.62
5.62
5.62
5.62
5.62
5.62
0.7%
Distributed Generation 5/
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Total Capacity
34.82
35.27
35.97
36.57
36.65
36.76
35.71
37.17
36.60
37.75
36.93
38.27
37.68
38.34
36.78
37.21
36.69
36.84
36.28
36.80
37.04
38.47
38.64
40.19
40.19
40.19
0.5%
                                                       
Cumulative Planned Additions 6/                                                      
Coal Steam
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Other Fossil Steam 2/
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Combined Cycle
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.21
0.21
0.21
0.21
0.21
0.21
0.21
0.21
0.21
0.21
0.21
0.21
0.21
0.21
0.21
0.21
0.21
0.21
0.21
0.21
0.21
0.21
0.21
N/A
Combustion Turbine/Diesel
0.00
0.00
0.54
0.54
0.54
0.54
0.54
0.54
0.54
0.54
0.54
0.54
0.54
0.54
0.54
0.54
0.54
0.54
0.54
0.54
0.54
0.54
0.54
0.54
0.54
0.54
N/A
Nuclear Power
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Pumped Storage/Other 3/
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Fuel Cells
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Renewable Sources 4/
0.00
0.00
0.02
0.34
0.34
0.34
0.34
0.34
0.34
0.34
0.34
0.34
0.34
0.34
0.34
0.34
0.34
0.34
0.34
0.34
0.34
0.34
0.34
0.34
0.34
0.34
N/A
Distributed Generation 5/
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Total Planned Additions
0.00
0.00
0.56
1.09
1.09
1.09
1.09
1.09
1.09
1.09
1.09
1.09
1.09
1.09
1.09
1.09
1.09
1.09
1.09
1.09
1.09
1.09
1.09
1.09
1.09
1.09
N/A
                                                       
Cumulative Unplanned Additions 6/                                                      
Coal Steam
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Other Fossil Steam 2/
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Combined Cycle
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.35
1.35
2.80
2.80
3.95
3.95
5.29
5.29
5.95
5.95
6.38
6.38
6.53
6.53
8.15
8.58
10.00
10.17
11.72
11.72
11.72
N/A
Combustion Turbine/Diesel
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Nuclear Power
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Pumped Storage/Other 3/
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Fuel Cells
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Renewable Sources 4/
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.08
0.08
0.08
0.08
0.08
0.08
0.08
0.08
0.08
0.08
0.08
0.08
0.08
0.08
0.08
0.08
0.08
0.08
0.08
0.08
0.08
N/A
Distributed Generation 5/
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Total Unplanned Additions
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.43
1.43
2.88
2.88
4.03
4.03
5.37
5.37
6.03
6.03
6.47
6.47
6.61
6.61
8.23
8.66
10.09
10.26
11.80
11.80
11.80
N/A
Cumulative Total Additions
0.00
0.00
0.56
1.09
1.09
2.52
2.52
3.97
3.97
5.12
5.12
6.46
6.46
7.12
7.12
7.55
7.55
7.70
7.70
9.32
9.75
11.17
11.35
12.89
12.89
12.89
N/A
                                                       
Cumulative Retirements 7/                                                      
Coal Steam
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Other Fossil Steam 3/
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.11
2.31
2.31
2.82
2.82
3.65
3.65
4.23
4.23
4.81
4.81
5.05
5.05
5.05
5.05
5.05
5.05
5.05
5.05
5.05
5.05
N/A
Combined Cycle
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Combustion Turbine/Diesel
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.28
0.28
0.28
0.33
0.33
0.33
0.33
0.33
0.33
0.33
0.33
0.61
0.61
1.17
2.27
2.46
2.46
2.46
2.46
2.46
2.46
N/A
Nuclear Power
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.98
0.98
0.98
0.98
0.98
0.98
0.98
0.98
0.98
0.98
0.98
0.98
N/A
Pumped Storage
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Fuel Cells
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Renewable Sources 4/
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Total
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.39
2.59
2.59
3.15
3.15
3.98
3.98
4.56
4.56
6.12
6.12
6.65
6.65
7.20
8.30
8.49
8.49
8.49
8.49
8.49
8.49
N/A
                                                       
Combined Heat and Power 8/                                                      
Capacity                                                      
Coal
0.19
0.19
0.19
0.19
0.19
0.19
0.19
0.19
0.19
0.19
0.19
0.19
0.19
0.19
0.19
0.19
0.19
0.19
0.19
0.19
0.19
0.19
0.19
0.19
0.19
0.19
0.0%
Petroleum
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.22
0.22
0.22
0.22
0.22
0.22
0.22
0.22
0.22
0.22
0.22
0.22
0.22
0.22
0.22
0.22
0.22
0.22
0.22
0.23
0.23
0.23
0.6%
Natural Gas
0.25
0.25
0.26
0.27
0.27
0.28
0.29
0.29
0.30
0.31
0.32
0.32
0.33
0.34
0.34
0.35
0.36
0.37
0.38
0.39
0.40
0.42
0.43
0.45
0.46
0.48
2.7%
Other Gaseous Fuels
0.47
0.47
0.47
0.47
0.48
0.48
0.48
0.48
0.48
0.48
0.48
0.48
0.48
0.48
0.48
0.48
0.48
0.48
0.49
0.49
0.49
0.49
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.51
0.3%
Renewable Sources 4/
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.03
2.7%
Other
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.01
N/A
Total
1.14
1.14
1.15
1.16
1.20
1.20
1.21
1.22
1.23
1.24
1.25
1.25
1.26
1.27
1.27
1.28
1.29
1.30
1.31
1.33
1.35
1.36
1.38
1.40
1.42
1.44
1.0%
                                                       
Other End Use Generators
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.01
2.5%
                                                       
Electricity Demand                                                      
(billion kilowatthours)                                                      
Residential
44.48
44.85
44.54
46.07
46.87
47.45
48.15
48.93
49.63
49.85
49.94
49.92
49.97
49.80
49.83
49.92
50.13
50.16
50.37
50.63
51.00
51.21
51.56
51.92
52.41
52.57
0.7%
Commercial/Other
68.02
71.14
71.07
70.80
72.55
74.12
75.75
77.44
78.85
80.16
81.21
82.37
83.26
84.12
84.83
85.21
85.42
85.55
85.66
85.93
86.33
87.02
87.73
88.39
88.91
89.01
0.9%
Industrial
26.89
24.91
22.46
23.56
23.82
24.15
24.46
25.30
25.92
26.56
27.23
27.93
28.48
28.95
29.43
29.68
29.91
30.23
30.53
30.84
31.08
31.32
31.67
32.02
32.41
32.70
1.1%
Transportation
1.24
1.27
1.26
1.28
1.30
1.33
1.35
1.38
1.40
1.43
1.46
1.49
1.53
1.56
1.59
1.62
1.65
1.69
1.73
1.77
1.82
1.86
1.90
1.95
1.99
2.04
2.0%
Total Sales
140.63
142.17
139.33
141.71
144.53
147.04
149.71
153.04
155.80
158.00
159.85
161.71
163.24
164.43
165.68
166.42
167.12
167.64
168.28
169.17
170.22
171.40
172.86
174.28
175.72
176.31
0.9%
                                                       
Net Energy for Load (billion kilowatthours) 7/                                                      
Gross International Imports
9.70
11.85
18.66
19.28
19.52
20.17
20.31
20.35
20.37
20.11
20.78
20.44
19.67
17.92
16.28
17.00
16.32
15.14
13.30
11.38
10.38
7.81
6.16
5.14
5.00
4.71
-3.8%
Gross International Exports
0.87
4.08
1.47
1.49
1.50
1.51
1.52
1.53
1.54
1.56
1.57
1.56
1.56
1.56
1.56
1.56
1.55
1.55
1.55
1.55
1.55
1.55
1.55
1.55
1.55
1.55
-4.0%
Gross Interregional Electricity Imports
20.04
17.20
22.11
21.69
22.62
17.38
18.72
15.56
15.07
12.07
13.00
9.23
9.89
8.82
9.85
12.22
13.75
14.13
16.58
12.80
11.32
8.12
8.09
6.70
6.86
7.19
-3.6%
Gross Interregional Electricity Exports
5.86
6.29
7.24
8.13
8.21
9.33
10.12
10.78
10.01
10.15
9.88
10.09
9.68
9.77
8.75
7.64
8.08
7.90
8.43
9.56
8.75
9.13
7.91
10.44
10.21
9.40
1.7%
Purchases from Combined Heat and Power 8/
0.76
0.71
0.80
0.86
0.91
0.96
1.00
1.05
1.10
1.17
1.23
1.29
1.34
1.39
1.44
1.48
1.52
1.57
1.62
1.68
1.74
1.79
1.86
1.93
2.01
2.08
4.6%
Electric Power Sector Generation for Customers
134.28
140.27
117.18
120.21
122.14
130.28
132.30
139.40
141.97
147.51
147.50
153.53
154.72
158.69
159.45
155.94
156.36
157.55
158.14
165.75
168.46
175.73
177.71
184.03
185.23
184.97
1.2%
Total Net Energy for Load
158.05
159.66
150.04
152.43
155.48
157.96
160.69
164.05
166.97
169.15
171.07
172.84
174.36
175.49
176.71
177.44
178.31
178.93
179.66
180.49
181.60
182.77
184.37
185.80
187.34
188.00
0.7%
                                                       
Generation by Fuel Type                                                      
(billion kilowatthours)                                                      
Coal
24.16
22.71
23.84
24.05
24.39
24.82
25.86
26.08
26.00
25.96
25.91
25.60
25.62
25.91
25.95
26.22
26.27
26.33
26.52
26.49
26.53
26.51
26.56
26.52
26.51
26.55
0.7%
Petroleum
14.71
16.35
11.17
7.54
7.37
7.31
7.41
7.31
7.37
7.72
8.41
8.84
9.23
9.66
9.76
9.90
9.91
9.79
9.70
9.75
10.00
10.01
10.02
10.06
10.08
10.09
-2.0%
Natural Gas
38.60
37.60
28.78
31.76
32.61
39.57
39.65
45.24
47.70
52.88
52.14
57.99
58.65
61.92
62.43
66.87
67.18
68.45
68.88
76.42
78.78
86.04
87.97
94.27
95.46
95.16
3.9%
Nuclear
31.51
40.39
38.37
38.44
38.51
38.58
38.66
39.29
39.42
39.52
39.58
39.64
39.70
39.76
39.82
31.58
31.64
31.70
31.76
31.82
31.88
31.90
31.90
31.90
31.90
31.90
-1.0%
Pumped Storage/Other 3/
-0.64
-0.55
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Renewable Sources 4/
27.01
25.19
17.15