Supplement Tables to the Annual Energy Outlook 2003
Table 61. Electric Power Projections for EMM Region
Electric Reliability Council of Texas
2001- |
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| Electricity Supply and Demand | 2000 |
2001 |
2002 |
2003 |
2004 |
2005 |
2006 |
2007 |
2008 |
2009 |
2010 |
2011 |
2012 |
2013 |
2014 |
2015 |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
2025 |
| Electricity Generating Capacity 1/ | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| (gigawatts) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Coal Steam | 15.24 | 15.24 | 15.24 | 15.24 | 15.24 | 15.24 | 15.24 | 15.24 | 15.24 | 15.24 | 15.82 | 15.82 | 15.82 | 15.82 | 16.11 | 16.11 | 16.32 | 16.32 | 16.32 | 16.32 | 16.32 | 16.32 | 16.32 | 16.32 | 16.32 | 16.63 | 0.4% |
| Other Fossil Steam 2/ | 30.13 | 30.08 | 30.01 | 29.72 | 29.48 | 26.09 | 22.88 | 20.61 | 19.48 | 18.31 | 18.27 | 17.82 | 17.79 | 15.71 | 15.71 | 14.80 | 14.80 | 14.80 | 14.80 | 14.80 | 14.58 | 14.58 | 14.34 | 14.34 | 14.34 | 13.94 | -3.2% |
| Combined Cycle | 7.68 | 11.15 | 15.68 | 16.60 | 17.28 | 17.28 | 17.28 | 17.28 | 19.18 | 19.35 | 23.89 | 23.89 | 27.63 | 27.63 | 31.02 | 31.02 | 32.40 | 32.40 | 32.99 | 32.99 | 33.17 | 33.41 | 33.72 | 34.92 | 35.42 | 36.74 | 5.1% |
| Combustion Turbine/Diesel | 4.86 | 6.96 | 7.52 | 7.10 | 7.10 | 7.08 | 7.08 | 6.73 | 8.51 | 8.50 | 10.54 | 10.54 | 12.35 | 12.35 | 13.00 | 13.00 | 13.25 | 13.25 | 13.25 | 13.25 | 13.25 | 13.25 | 13.25 | 13.25 | 13.25 | 13.39 | 2.8% |
| Nuclear Power | 4.80 | 4.82 | 4.82 | 4.82 | 4.85 | 4.89 | 4.89 | 4.89 | 5.07 | 5.08 | 5.08 | 5.08 | 5.08 | 5.08 | 5.08 | 5.08 | 5.08 | 5.08 | 5.08 | 5.08 | 5.08 | 5.08 | 5.08 | 5.08 | 5.08 | 5.08 | 0.2% |
| Pumped Storage/Other 3/ | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | N/A |
| Fuel Cells | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | N/A |
| Renewable Sources 4/ | 0.77 | 1.66 | 1.89 | 2.31 | 2.31 | 2.43 | 2.50 | 2.56 | 2.62 | 2.68 | 2.69 | 2.70 | 2.71 | 2.71 | 2.72 | 2.73 | 2.74 | 2.75 | 2.75 | 2.76 | 2.77 | 2.77 | 2.77 | 2.78 | 2.78 | 2.78 | 2.2% |
| Distributed Generation 5/ | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.10 | 0.17 | 0.25 | 0.31 | 0.39 | 0.45 | 0.45 | 0.53 | 0.57 | 0.64 | 0.71 | 0.78 | 0.84 | 0.90 | 0.96 | 1.02 | 1.08 | 1.13 | 1.19 | N/A |
| Total Capacity | 63.48 | 69.91 | 75.16 | 75.78 | 76.26 | 73.04 | 69.89 | 67.41 | 70.27 | 69.42 | 76.60 | 76.23 | 81.83 | 79.76 | 84.18 | 83.31 | 85.23 | 85.31 | 85.98 | 86.05 | 86.07 | 86.38 | 86.50 | 87.77 | 88.33 | 89.74 | 1.0% |
| Cumulative Planned Additions 6/ | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Coal Steam | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | N/A |
| Other Fossil Steam 2/ | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | N/A |
| Combined Cycle | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.57 | 5.48 | 6.17 | 6.17 | 6.17 | 6.17 | 6.17 | 6.17 | 6.17 | 6.17 | 6.17 | 6.17 | 6.17 | 6.17 | 6.17 | 6.17 | 6.17 | 6.17 | 6.17 | 6.17 | 6.17 | 6.17 | 6.17 | 6.17 | N/A |
| Combustion Turbine/Diesel | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.57 | 0.57 | 0.57 | 0.57 | 0.57 | 0.57 | 0.57 | 0.57 | 0.57 | 0.57 | 0.57 | 0.57 | 0.57 | 0.57 | 0.57 | 0.57 | 0.57 | 0.57 | 0.57 | 0.57 | 0.57 | 0.57 | 0.57 | 0.57 | N/A |
| Nuclear Power | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | N/A |
| Pumped Storage/Other 3/ | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | N/A |
| Fuel Cells | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | N/A |
| Renewable Sources 4/ | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.23 | 0.64 | 0.65 | 0.77 | 0.84 | 0.90 | 0.96 | 1.02 | 1.03 | 1.04 | 1.04 | 1.05 | 1.06 | 1.07 | 1.08 | 1.08 | 1.09 | 1.10 | 1.11 | 1.11 | 1.11 | 1.11 | 1.12 | 1.12 | N/A |
| Distributed Generation 5/ | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | N/A |
| Total Planned Additions | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.37 | 6.70 | 7.38 | 7.51 | 7.57 | 7.63 | 7.69 | 7.76 | 7.76 | 7.77 | 7.78 | 7.79 | 7.79 | 7.80 | 7.81 | 7.82 | 7.83 | 7.83 | 7.84 | 7.84 | 7.85 | 7.85 | 7.85 | 7.85 | N/A |
| Cumulative Unplanned Additions 6/ | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Coal Steam | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.58 | 0.58 | 0.58 | 0.58 | 0.87 | 0.87 | 1.08 | 1.08 | 1.08 | 1.08 | 1.08 | 1.08 | 1.08 | 1.08 | 1.08 | 1.39 | N/A |
| Other Fossil Steam 2/ | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | N/A |
| Combined Cycle | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.90 | 2.07 | 6.61 | 6.61 | 10.35 | 10.35 | 13.74 | 13.74 | 15.12 | 15.12 | 15.71 | 15.71 | 15.88 | 16.13 | 16.43 | 17.64 | 18.14 | 19.45 | N/A |
| Combustion Turbine/Diesel | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.78 | 1.78 | 3.82 | 3.82 | 5.64 | 5.64 | 6.29 | 6.29 | 6.54 | 6.54 | 6.54 | 6.54 | 6.54 | 6.54 | 6.54 | 6.54 | 6.54 | 6.68 | N/A |
| Nuclear Power | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | N/A |
| Pumped Storage/Other 3/ | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | N/A |
| Fuel Cells | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | N/A |
| Renewable Sources 4/ | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | N/A |
| Distributed Generation 5/ | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.10 | 0.17 | 0.25 | 0.31 | 0.39 | 0.45 | 0.45 | 0.53 | 0.57 | 0.64 | 0.71 | 0.78 | 0.84 | 0.90 | 0.96 | 1.02 | 1.08 | 1.13 | 1.19 | N/A |
| Total Unplanned Additions | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.10 | 3.85 | 4.10 | 11.32 | 11.40 | 17.02 | 17.02 | 21.43 | 21.47 | 23.38 | 23.45 | 24.11 | 24.17 | 24.40 | 24.71 | 25.07 | 26.33 | 26.89 | 28.71 | N/A |
| Cumulative Total Additions | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.37 | 6.70 | 7.38 | 7.53 | 7.59 | 7.73 | 11.54 | 11.85 | 19.08 | 19.17 | 24.80 | 24.80 | 29.23 | 29.27 | 31.19 | 31.27 | 31.93 | 32.01 | 32.25 | 32.55 | 32.92 | 34.18 | 34.75 | 36.56 | N/A |
| Cumulative Retirements 7/ | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Coal Steam | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | N/A |
| Other Fossil Steam 3/ | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.28 | 0.53 | 3.92 | 7.13 | 9.40 | 10.53 | 11.69 | 11.74 | 12.19 | 12.22 | 14.29 | 14.29 | 15.20 | 15.20 | 15.20 | 15.20 | 15.20 | 15.42 | 15.42 | 15.66 | 15.66 | 15.66 | 16.06 | N/A |
| Combined Cycle | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | N/A |
| Combustion Turbine/Diesel | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.43 | 0.43 | 0.44 | 0.44 | 0.79 | 0.79 | 0.80 | 0.81 | 0.81 | 0.81 | 0.81 | 0.81 | 0.81 | 0.81 | 0.81 | 0.81 | 0.81 | 0.81 | 0.81 | 0.81 | 0.81 | 0.81 | 0.81 | N/A |
| Nuclear Power | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | N/A |
| Pumped Storage | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | N/A |
| Fuel Cells | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | N/A |
| Renewable Sources 4/ | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | N/A |
| Total | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.71 | 0.96 | 4.36 | 7.57 | 10.19 | 11.32 | 12.50 | 12.54 | 13.00 | 13.03 | 15.11 | 15.11 | 16.02 | 16.02 | 16.02 | 16.02 | 16.02 | 16.24 | 16.24 | 16.48 | 16.48 | 16.48 | 16.88 | N/A |
| Combined Heat and Power 8/ | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Capacity | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Coal | 0.37 | 0.37 | 0.37 | 0.37 | 0.37 | 0.37 | 0.37 | 0.37 | 0.37 | 0.37 | 0.37 | 0.37 | 0.37 | 0.37 | 0.37 | 0.37 | 0.37 | 0.37 | 0.37 | 0.37 | 0.37 | 0.37 | 0.37 | 0.37 | 0.37 | 0.37 | 0.0% |
| Petroleum | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | N/A |
| Natural Gas | 5.25 | 5.35 | 5.53 | 5.67 | 5.77 | 5.94 | 6.12 | 6.29 | 6.46 | 6.63 | 6.78 | 6.92 | 7.05 | 7.18 | 7.32 | 7.48 | 7.66 | 7.84 | 8.07 | 8.31 | 8.59 | 8.88 | 9.21 | 9.52 | 9.89 | 10.22 | 2.7% |
| Other Gaseous Fuels | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | N/A |
| Renewable Sources 4/ | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | N/A |
| Other | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | N/A |
| Total | 5.65 | 5.75 | 5.93 | 6.07 | 6.17 | 6.34 | 6.52 | 6.69 | 6.86 | 7.03 | 7.18 | 7.32 | 7.45 | 7.58 | 7.72 | 7.88 | 8.06 | 8.25 | 8.47 | 8.71 | 8.99 | 9.28 | 9.61 | 9.93 | 10.29 | 10.62 | 2.6% |
| Other End Use Generators | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | N/A |
| Electricity Demand | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| (billion kilowatthours) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Residential | 103.76 | 105.06 | 105.12 | 109.60 | 112.44 | 114.83 | 117.36 | 119.42 | 122.46 | 124.10 | 127.57 | 130.08 | 133.27 | 134.89 | 137.43 | 139.85 | 142.62 | 144.42 | 146.77 | 149.08 | 151.52 | 153.06 | 155.06 | 157.42 | 160.35 | 162.91 | 1.8% |
| Commercial/Other | 82.52 | 83.90 | 83.53 | 85.68 | 88.14 | 90.30 | 92.30 | 93.67 | 95.49 | 96.78 | 99.40 | 101.77 | 104.31 | 106.21 | 108.21 | 109.85 | 111.46 | 112.97 | 114.66 | 116.37 | 117.91 | 119.36 | 120.62 | 121.99 | 123.27 | 125.04 | 1.7% |
| Industrial | 83.29 | 79.25 | 72.47 | 76.00 | 77.72 | 78.50 | 80.73 | 83.27 | 85.93 | 87.50 | 89.91 | 92.15 | 94.32 | 96.18 | 97.64 | 99.10 | 100.25 | 101.58 | 102.76 | 104.32 | 105.65 | 106.99 | 108.67 | 110.30 | 112.08 | 113.70 | 1.5% |
| Transportation | 1.33 | 1.37 | 1.38 | 1.42 | 1.46 | 1.50 | 1.54 | 1.59 | 1.63 | 1.68 | 1.73 | 1.79 | 1.84 | 1.90 | 1.96 | 2.01 | 2.07 | 2.14 | 2.20 | 2.27 | 2.35 | 2.43 | 2.51 | 2.59 | 2.67 | 2.74 | 2.9% |
| Total Sales | 270.90 | 269.57 | 262.51 | 272.70 | 279.75 | 285.14 | 291.93 | 297.95 | 305.51 | 310.06 | 318.62 | 325.78 | 333.75 | 339.17 | 345.24 | 350.82 | 356.40 | 361.10 | 366.39 | 372.04 | 377.42 | 381.84 | 386.86 | 392.30 | 398.37 | 404.38 | 1.7% |
| Net Energy for Load (billion kilowatthours) 7/ | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Gross International Imports | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | N/A |
| Gross International Exports | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.36 | 0.39 | 0.42 | 0.45 | 0.49 | 0.53 | 0.57 | 0.62 | 0.67 | 0.67 | 0.67 | 0.67 | 0.67 | 0.67 | 0.67 | 0.67 | 0.67 | 0.67 | 0.67 | 0.67 | 0.67 | 0.67 | 0.67 | 0.67 | 16.1% |
| Gross Interregional Electricity Imports | 4.03 | 4.00 | 3.67 | 5.99 | 5.65 | 5.87 | 6.21 | 6.23 | 5.40 | 5.50 | 4.06 | 4.04 | 3.22 | 3.45 | 2.96 | 3.38 | 2.78 | 2.70 | 2.59 | 2.62 | 2.56 | 2.50 | 2.54 | 2.16 | 1.33 | 2.13 | -2.6% |
| Gross Interregional Electricity Exports | 2.27 | 1.92 | 1.63 | 1.60 | 1.60 | 1.60 | 1.60 | 1.60 | 1.62 | 1.61 | 1.47 | 1.31 | 1.15 | 0.98 | 0.81 | 0.65 | 0.49 | 0.34 | 0.18 | 0.10 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 0.27 | 0.04 | -15.2% |
| Purchases from Combined Heat and Power 8/ | 7.29 | 6.75 | 8.28 | 8.74 | 9.02 | 9.59 | 10.14 | 10.70 | 11.24 | 11.81 | 12.26 | 12.71 | 13.11 | 13.53 | 13.95 | 14.41 | 14.90 | 15.42 | 16.02 | 16.70 | 17.44 | 18.17 | 19.03 | 19.85 | 20.84 | 21.70 | 5.0% |
| Electric Power Sector Generation for Customers | 274.63 | 255.98 | 269.71 | 277.81 | 285.23 | 289.96 | 295.96 | 301.56 | 309.71 | 313.62 | 323.30 | 330.02 | 338.36 | 343.30 | 349.32 | 354.14 | 359.97 | 363.96 | 368.89 | 374.01 | 378.87 | 382.84 | 387.24 | 392.57 | 399.02 | 403.51 | 1.9% |
| Total Net Energy for Load | 283.66 | 264.79 | 279.68 | 290.55 | 297.88 | 303.36 | 310.22 | 316.36 | 324.16 | 328.70 | 337.48 | 344.79 | 352.87 | 358.63 | 364.75 | 370.60 | 376.49 | 381.07 | 386.66 | 392.55 | 398.17 | 402.82 | 408.11 | 413.87 | 420.24 | 426.62 | 2.0% |
| Generation by Fuel Type | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| (billion kilowatthours) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Coal | 106.58 | 102.26 | 103.47 | 103.74 | 106.93 | 109.61 | 111.64 | 114.00 | 112.65 | 112.64 | 116.95 | 116.95 | 116.95 | 116.95 | 119.11 | 119.11 | 120.64 | 120.64 | 120.64 | 120.64 | 120.64 | 120.64 | 120.64 | 120.64 | 120.64 | 122.95 | 0.8% |
| Petroleum | 2.49 | 2.92 | 0.02 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 0.05 | 0.17 | 0.04 | 0.05 | 0.03 | 0.17 | 0.11 | 0.06 | 0.10 | 0.12 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.18 | 0.18 | 0.19 | 0.19 | 0.20 | 0.18 | -10.9% |
| Natural Gas | 127.96 | 114.21 | 131.05 | 137.61 | 141.13 | 142.56 | 146.05 | 149.07 | 156.92 | 160.42 | 165.82 | 172.50 | 180.81 | 185.56 | 189.44 | 194.26 | 198.46 | 202.39 | 207.37 | 212.43 | 217.10 | 221.05 | 225.44 | 230.77 | 237.21 | 239.39 | 3.1% |
| Nuclear | 37.56 | 38.16 | 38.22 | 38.30 | 38.65 | 38.97 | 38.97 | 38.97 | 40.40 | 40.49 | 40.49 | 40.49 | 40.49 | 40.49 | 40.49 | 40.49 | 40.49 | 40.49 | 40.49 | 40.49 | 40.49 | 40.49 | 40.49 | 40.49 | 40.49 | 40.49 | 0.2% |
| Pumped Storage/Other 3/ | 1.34 | 1.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | N/A |
| Renewable Sources 4/ | 1.21 | 1.42 | 4.39 | 5.58 | 5.94 | 6.23 | 6.73 | 6.94 | 7.15 | 7.37 | 7.45 | 7.50 | 7.55 | 7.59 | 7.64 | 7.68 | 7.73 | 7.78 | 7.83 | 7.87 | 7.92 | 7.94 | 7.94 | 7.95 | 7.96 | 7.96 | 7.4% |
| Total Generation | 277.14 | 260.32 | 277.15 | 285.27 | 292.70 | 297.42 | 303.42 | 309.02 | 317.17 | 321.09 | 330.76 | 337.48 | 345.82 | 350.76 | 356.78 | 361.60 | 367.43 | 371.42 | 376.36 | 381.47 | 386.33 | 390.30 | 394.70 | 400.03 | 406.49 | 410.97 | 1.9% |
| Sales to Customers | 274.63 | 255.98 | 269.71 | 277.81 | 285.23 | 289.96 | 295.96 | 301.56 | 309.71 | 313.62 | 323.30 | 330.02 | 338.36 | 343.30 | 349.32 | 354.14 | 359.97 | 363.96 | 368.89 | 374.01 | 378.87 | 382.84 | 387.24 | 392.57 | 399.02 | 403.51 | 1.9% |
| Generation for Own Use | 2.51 | 4.34 | 7.44 | 7.46 | 7.46 | 7.46 | 7.46 | 7.46 | 7.46 | 7.46 | 7.46 | 7.46 | 7.46 | 7.46 | 7.46 | 7.46 | 7.46 | 7.46 | 7.46 | 7.46 | 7.46 | 7.46 | 7.46 | 7.46 | 7.46 | 7.46 | 2.3% |
| Distributed Generation 5/ | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.04 | 0.07 | 0.11 | 0.14 | 0.17 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.23 | 0.25 | 0.28 | 0.31 | 0.34 | 0.37 | 0.39 | 0.42 | 0.45 | 0.47 | 0.50 | 0.52 | N/A |
| Combined Heat and Power | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Coal | 2.80 | 2.79 | 2.80 | 2.80 | 2.80 | 2.80 | 2.80 | 2.80 | 2.80 | 2.80 | 2.80 | 2.80 | 2.80 | 2.80 | 2.80 | 2.80 | 2.80 | 2.80 | 2.80 | 2.80 | 2.80 | 2.80 | 2.80 | 2.80 | 2.80 | 2.80 | 0.0% |
| Petroleum | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.5% |
| Natural Gas | 29.85 | 29.76 | 32.12 | 33.12 | 34.11 | 35.36 | 36.61 | 37.86 | 39.07 | 40.33 | 41.36 | 42.38 | 43.30 | 44.27 | 45.24 | 46.39 | 47.66 | 49.00 | 50.56 | 52.28 | 54.32 | 56.32 | 58.65 | 60.87 | 63.47 | 65.78 | 3.4% |
| Other Gaseous Fuels | 0.11 | 0.10 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.14 | 0.14 | 0.14 | 1.4% |
| Renewable Sources 4/ | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | N/A |
| Other | 0.73 | 0.73 | 0.73 | 0.73 | 0.73 | 0.73 | 0.73 | 0.73 | 0.73 | 0.73 | 0.73 | 0.73 | 0.73 | 0.73 | 0.73 | 0.73 | 0.73 | 0.73 | 0.73 | 0.73 | 0.73 | 0.73 | 0.73 | 0.73 | 0.73 | 0.73 | 0.0% |
| Total | 33.59 | 33.48 | 35.87 | 36.87 | 37.87 | 39.13 | 40.37 | 41.62 | 42.83 | 44.10 | 45.12 | 46.14 | 47.06 | 48.03 | 49.01 | 50.15 | 51.43 | 52.76 | 54.32 | 56.05 | 58.09 | 60.09 | 62.42 | 64.64 | 67.25 | 69.56 | 3.1% |
| Other End Use Generators | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | N/A |
| Sales to Utilities | 7.29 | 6.75 | 8.28 | 8.74 | 9.02 | 9.59 | 10.14 | 10.70 | 11.24 | 11.81 | 12.26 | 12.71 | 13.11 | 13.53 | 13.95 | 14.41 | 14.90 | 15.42 | 16.02 | 16.70 | 17.44 | 18.17 | 19.03 | 19.85 | 20.84 | 21.70 | 5.0% |
| Generation for Own Use | 26.30 | 26.73 | 27.58 | 28.13 | 28.85 | 29.54 | 30.23 | 30.92 | 31.59 | 32.29 | 32.87 | 33.43 | 33.95 | 34.50 | 35.06 | 35.75 | 36.52 | 37.34 | 38.30 | 39.35 | 40.64 | 41.92 | 43.39 | 44.79 | 46.41 | 47.86 | 2.5% |
| End-Use Prices | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| (2001 cents per kilowatthour) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Residential | 8.2 | 8.2 | 7.6 | 7.5 | 7.4 | 7.3 | 7.3 | 8.0 | 7.5 | 8.3 | 7.0 | 7.3 | 7.0 | 7.4 | 7.0 | 7.1 | 7.1 | 7.1 | 7.1 | 7.2 | 7.4 | 7.6 | 7.8 | 7.7 | 7.8 | 7.6 | -0.3% |
| Commercial | 7.4 | 7.7 | 7.3 | 6.9 | 6.7 | 6.6 | 6.5 | 7.5 | 7.0 | 8.0 | 6.5 | 6.7 | 6.3 | 6.5 | 6.2 | 6.2 | 6.2 | 6.2 | 6.2 | 6.4 | 6.7 | 6.9 | 7.2 | 7.2 | 7.4 | 7.2 | -0.3% |
| Industrial | 4.3 | 4.6 | 4.4 | 4.3 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.9 | 4.6 | 5.3 | 4.3 | 4.6 | 4.3 | 4.5 | 4.2 | 4.3 | 4.3 | 4.4 | 4.3 | 4.5 | 4.7 | 4.9 | 5.1 | 5.1 | 5.2 | 5.1 | 0.4% |
| Transportation | 6.8 | 7.2 | 6.7 | 6.4 | 6.2 | 6.1 | 6.0 | 6.7 | 6.3 | 7.1 | 5.9 | 6.2 | 6.0 | 6.2 | 5.9 | 6.0 | 5.9 | 6.0 | 5.9 | 6.0 | 6.2 | 6.3 | 6.5 | 6.4 | 6.5 | 6.3 | -0.5% |
| All Sectors Average | 6.8 | 7.0 | 6.6 | 6.4 | 6.3 | 6.2 | 6.2 | 7.0 | 6.5 | 7.4 | 6.1 | 6.4 | 6.0 | 6.3 | 6.0 | 6.1 | 6.0 | 6.1 | 6.0 | 6.2 | 6.4 | 6.6 | 6.8 | 6.8 | 6.9 | 6.8 | -0.1% |
| Prices by Service Category | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| (2001 cents per kilowatthour) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Generation | 4.2 | 4.6 | 4.2 | 4.1 | 3.9 | 3.8 | 3.9 | 4.7 | 4.3 | 5.1 | 3.8 | 4.1 | 3.8 | 4.1 | 3.8 | 3.9 | 3.8 | 3.9 | 3.9 | 4.1 | 4.4 | 4.6 | 4.9 | 4.8 | 5.0 | 4.8 | 0.2% |
| Transmission | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.5% |
| Distribution | 2.0 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 | -1.4% |
| Fuel Consumption (quadrillion Btu) 9/ | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Coal | 1.14 | 1.10 | 1.08 | 1.09 | 1.12 | 1.15 | 1.17 | 1.19 | 1.18 | 1.18 | 1.22 | 1.22 | 1.22 | 1.22 | 1.24 | 1.24 | 1.25 | 1.25 | 1.25 | 1.25 | 1.25 | 1.25 | 1.25 | 1.25 | 1.25 | 1.27 | 0.6% |
| Natural Gas | 1.32 | 1.17 | 1.13 | 1.18 | 1.20 | 1.22 | 1.25 | 1.28 | 1.31 | 1.34 | 1.31 | 1.37 | 1.38 | 1.42 | 1.41 | 1.45 | 1.47 | 1.50 | 1.53 | 1.57 | 1.61 | 1.64 | 1.67 | 1.70 | 1.75 | 1.75 | 1.7% |
| Oil | 0.03 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -12.0% |
| Total | 2.49 | 2.31 | 2.22 | 2.27 | 2.32 | 2.37 | 2.42 | 2.48 | 2.50 | 2.53 | 2.53 | 2.59 | 2.60 | 2.64 | 2.65 | 2.69 | 2.72 | 2.75 | 2.78 | 2.83 | 2.86 | 2.89 | 2.92 | 2.95 | 3.00 | 3.02 | 1.1% |
| Emissions (million tons) 10/ | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total Carbon | 55.81 | 53.04 | 49.36 | 50.11 | 51.43 | 52.43 | 53.56 | 54.74 | 54.88 | 55.36 | 55.92 | 56.85 | 57.03 | 57.70 | 58.04 | 58.65 | 59.35 | 59.86 | 60.38 | 61.03 | 61.64 | 62.11 | 62.63 | 63.09 | 63.86 | 64.45 | 0.8% |
| Carbon Dioxide | 204.62 | 194.48 | 181.00 | 183.75 | 188.56 | 192.25 | 196.40 | 200.71 | 201.23 | 202.98 | 205.04 | 208.47 | 209.12 | 211.56 | 212.83 | 215.05 | 217.60 | 219.48 | 221.39 | 223.77 | 226.02 | 227.73 | 229.64 | 231.33 | 234.15 | 236.32 | 0.8% |
| Sulfur Dioxide | 0.40 | 0.39 | 0.38 | 0.35 | 0.41 | 0.46 | 0.47 | 0.48 | 0.47 | 0.47 | 0.39 | 0.36 | 0.36 | 0.36 | 0.36 | 0.36 | 0.39 | 0.40 | 0.41 | 0.39 | 0.40 | 0.39 | 0.39 | 0.38 | 0.37 | 0.38 | -0.1% |
| Nitrogen Oxide | 0.39 | 0.37 | 0.21 | 0.21 | 0.21 | 0.22 | 0.22 | 0.23 | 0.22 | 0.22 | 0.21 | 0.21 | 0.21 | 0.21 | 0.20 | 0.21 | 0.21 | 0.21 | 0.21 | 0.21 | 0.21 | 0.21 | 0.21 | 0.21 | 0.21 | 0.21 | -2.2% |
| 1/ Net
summer capacity is the steady hourly output that generating equipment is
expected to supply to system load (exclusive of auxiliary power), as demonstrated
by tests during summer peak demand. Includes electric utilities, small power
producers, and exempt wholesale generators. Nameplate capacity is reported
for nonutilities on Form EIA-860, "Annual Electric Generator Report." Nameplate
capacity is designated by the manufacturer. The nameplate capacity has been
converted to net summer capacity based on historic relationships. 2/ Includes oil-, gas-, and dual-fired capacity. 3/ Other includes methane, propane gas, and blast furnace gas for utilities; and hydrogen, sulfur, batteries, chemicals, fish oil, and spent sulfite liquor. 4/ Includes conventional hydroelectric, geothermal, wood, wood waste, municipal solid waste, other biomass, solar thermal, photovoltaics, and wind power. 5/ Primarily peak-load capacity fueled by natural gas. 6/ Cumulative additions after December 31, 2001. 7/ Generation to meet system load by source. 8/ Combined heat and power produces electricity and other useful thermal energy (such as steam or heat) through the sequential use of energy. 9/ Includes fuel consumption by electric utilities, small power producers, independent power producers, and exempt wholesale generators. 10/ Estimated emissions from utilities and nonutilities (excluding combined heat and power). O&M = Operation and maintenance. EMM = Electricity market module. N/A = Not applicable. Note: Totals may not equal sum of components due to independent rounding. Sources: 2001 (except for prices and nonutility data): Energy Information Administration (EIA), Annual Energy Review 2001, DOE/EIA-0384(2001) (Washington, DC, November 2002). Other 2001 and projections: NewGen Data and Analysis, RDI Consulting/FT Energy (Boulder, CO, July 2002) and EIA, AEO2003 National Energy Modeling System run aeo2003.d110502c. |
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