Supplement Tables to the Annual Energy Outlook 2003


Table 51. Transportation Fleet Car and Truck Sales by Type and Technology
(Thousands)
                                                     
2001-
 
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2025
                                                       
Cars 1/                                                      
                                                       
Conventional Gasoline
1587.37
1511.09
1433.83
1423.35
1381.93
1291.35
1283.60
1279.53
1239.85
1217.82
1227.04
1233.90
1235.61
1248.18
1280.54
1305.36
1311.60
1308.00
1298.35
1307.74
1299.97
1282.88
1287.87
1285.02
1304.13
1295.43
-0.6%
Distillate
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Methanol                                                      
Flex
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-0.6%
Neat
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Ethanol                                                      
Flex
79.76
84.78
80.44
79.86
77.53
72.45
72.02
71.79
69.56
68.33
68.84
69.23
69.32
70.03
71.84
73.24
73.59
73.39
72.84
73.37
72.93
71.98
72.26
72.10
73.17
72.68
-0.6%
Neat
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Compressed Natural Gas
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Compressed Natural Gas Bi-fuel
11.00
12.29
11.66
11.58
11.24
10.50
10.44
10.41
10.09
9.91
9.98
10.04
10.05
10.15
10.42
10.62
10.67
10.64
10.56
10.64
10.57
10.44
10.48
10.45
10.61
10.54
-0.6%
Liquefied Petroleum Gas
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Liquefied Petroleum Gas Bi-fuel
42.64
47.41
44.99
44.66
43.36
40.51
40.27
40.14
38.90
38.21
38.50
38.71
38.77
39.16
40.18
40.95
41.15
41.04
40.73
41.03
40.79
40.25
40.41
40.32
40.92
40.64
-0.6%
Electric
2.16
2.51
2.38
2.37
2.30
2.15
2.14
2.13
2.06
2.03
2.04
2.05
2.06
2.08
2.13
2.17
2.18
2.18
2.16
2.18
2.16
2.13
2.14
2.14
2.17
2.15
-0.6%
Electric-Diesel Hybrid
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Electric-Gasoline Hybrid
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Fuel Cell                                                      
Fuel Cell Gasoline
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Fuel Cell Methanol
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Fuel Cell Hydrogen
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Total Fleet Cars
1722.94
1658.08
1573.31
1561.81
1516.36
1416.97
1408.47
1404.00
1360.45
1336.28
1346.40
1353.93
1355.81
1369.60
1405.10
1432.35
1439.19
1435.24
1424.65
1434.96
1426.42
1407.67
1413.15
1410.02
1430.99
1421.44
-0.6%
                                                       
Light Trucks 1/                                                      
                                                       
Conventional Gasoline
823.96
783.56
762.91
789.91
797.92
774.17
797.70
823.24
825.07
837.62
871.88
881.60
886.98
899.59
926.05
946.74
953.61
952.99
947.65
955.96
951.50
939.00
942.65
940.56
954.55
948.18
0.8%
Distillate
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Methanol                                                      
Flex
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.8%
Neat
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Ethanol                                                      
Flex
72.10
82.41
80.24
83.08
83.92
81.42
83.90
86.58
86.78
88.09
91.70
92.72
93.29
94.61
97.40
99.57
100.29
100.23
99.67
100.54
100.07
98.76
99.14
98.92
100.39
99.72
0.8%
Neat
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Compressed Natural Gas
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Compressed Natural Gas Bi-fuel
26.71
30.30
29.50
30.55
30.86
29.94
30.85
31.84
31.91
32.39
33.72
34.09
34.30
34.79
35.81
36.61
36.88
36.86
36.65
36.97
36.80
36.31
36.46
36.37
36.92
36.67
0.8%
Liquefied Petroleum Gas
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Liquefied Petroleum Gas Bi-fuel
88.69
100.92
98.26
101.74
102.77
99.71
102.74
106.03
106.27
107.88
112.30
113.55
114.24
115.87
119.28
121.94
122.83
122.75
122.06
123.13
122.55
120.94
121.41
121.14
122.95
122.13
0.8%
Electric
2.74
3.27
3.19
3.30
3.33
3.24
3.33
3.44
3.45
3.50
3.64
3.68
3.71
3.76
3.87
3.96
3.99
3.98
3.96
4.00
3.98
3.92
3.94
3.93
3.99
3.96
0.8%
Electric-Diesel Hybrid
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Electric-Gasoline Hybrid
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Fuel Cell                                                      
Fuel Cell Gasoline
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Fuel Cell Methanol
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Fuel Cell Hydrogen
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Total Fleet Light Trucks
1014.21
1000.47
974.10
1008.58
1018.80
988.48
1018.53
1051.14
1053.47
1069.49
1113.24
1125.65
1132.52
1148.62
1182.41
1208.83
1217.60
1216.81
1209.99
1220.60
1214.91
1198.94
1203.60
1200.93
1218.80
1210.67
0.8%
                                                       
Total Fleet Vehicles
2737.15
2658.55
2547.42
2570.40
2535.17
2405.46
2426.99
2455.13
2413.92
2405.77
2459.64
2479.58
2488.33
2518.23
2587.51
2641.17
2656.79
2652.05
2634.64
2655.56
2641.33
2606.61
2616.75
2610.95
2649.79
2632.11
0.0%
                                                       
Commercial Light Trucks 2/
449.58
455.72
455.46
479.68
493.35
487.74
512.37
539.32
551.44
571.25
606.80
626.14
642.85
665.28
698.72
728.69
748.61
762.88
773.41
795.26
806.65
811.50
830.21
843.93
872.32
882.28
2.8%
                                                       
1/ Includes all fleets of 10 or more.
2/ Commercial trucks from 8,500 to 10,000 pounds.
ICE = Internal combustion engine.
N/A = Not Applicable.
Sources: 2001 derived using: Oak Ridge National Laboratory, "Fleet Vehicles in the United States: Composition, Operating Characteristics, and Fueling Practices," preparedfor the Department of Energy, Office of Transportation Technologies, and Office of Policy, Planning, and Analysis (Oak Ridge, TN, March 1992); Bobit Publishing Company, FleetFact Book, various issues (Redondo Beach, California); United States Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census, "Vehicle Inventory and Use Survey," EC97TV(Washington, DC, October 1999); Federal Highway Administration, Highway Statistics 2000 (Washington, DC, November 2001); Decision Analysis Corporation of Virginia,NEMS Transportation Sector Model: Development of the Light Commercial Truck Model, Final Report, Subtask 19-2, prepared for the Energy Information Administration (EIA)(April 23, 1997); Energy Information Administration (EIA), Describing Current and Potential Markets for Alternative-Fuel Vehicles, DOE/EIA-0604(96) (Washington, DC, March 1996);EIA, Alternatives to Traditional Transportation Fuels 1998, http://www.eia.doe.gov/cneaf/alt_trans98/table1.html; and EIA, AEO2003 National Energy Modeling System runaeo2003.d110502c.
Projections: EIA, AEO2003 National Energy Modeling System run aeo2003.d110502c.

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