Supplement Tables to the Annual Energy Outlook 2003


Table 50. Transportation Fleet Car and Truck Fuel Consumption by Type and Technology
(Trillion Btu)
                                                     
2001-
 
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2025
                                                       
Cars 1/                                                      
                                                       
Conventional Gasoline
744.36
758.14
747.09
734.63
707.99
654.59
627.95
610.15
594.07
584.29
575.51
567.04
561.45
559.51
560.51
563.52
567.21
569.29
567.10
563.58
558.77
554.72
552.19
548.46
547.73
548.06
-1.3%
Distillate
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Methanol                                                      
Flex
0.78
0.62
0.46
0.26
0.14
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-28.2%
Neat
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Ethanol                                                      
Flex
5.24
14.51
23.03
31.37
38.99
40.41
39.87
38.78
37.75
36.98
36.42
35.93
35.52
35.32
35.34
35.49
35.67
35.78
35.69
35.52
35.23
34.98
34.80
34.59
34.52
34.49
3.7%
Neat
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Compressed Natural Gas
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Compressed Natural Gas Bi-fuel
1.43
2.70
3.86
5.00
6.06
6.76
7.00
6.80
6.61
6.45
6.33
6.25
6.18
6.14
6.14
6.17
6.20
6.22
6.22
6.22
6.18
6.15
6.13
6.10
6.09
6.08
3.4%
Liquefied Petroleum Gas
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Liquefied Petroleum Gas Bi-fuel
1.33
7.04
12.33
17.55
22.43
25.31
26.17
25.42
24.73
24.14
23.72
23.42
23.15
22.97
22.96
23.05
23.16
23.22
23.21
23.15
23.01
22.86
22.75
22.63
22.60
22.56
5.0%
Electric
0.41
0.59
0.76
0.92
1.04
1.05
0.92
0.82
0.73
0.66
0.62
0.61
0.60
0.60
0.60
0.61
0.61
0.62
0.62
0.62
0.62
0.61
0.61
0.61
0.61
0.61
0.1%
Electric-Diesel Hybrid
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Electric-Gasoline Hybrid
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Fuel Cell                                                      
Fuel Cell Gasoline
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Fuel Cell Methanol
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Fuel Cell Hydrogen
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Total Fleet Cars
753.54
783.61
787.53
789.73
776.64
728.12
701.90
681.97
663.88
652.52
642.61
633.24
626.91
624.54
625.55
628.84
632.85
635.13
632.83
629.08
623.81
619.34
616.48
612.40
611.55
611.80
-1.0%
                                                       
Light Trucks 1/                                                      
                                                       
Conventional Gasoline
849.55
812.79
772.80
731.74
686.27
628.25
629.99
639.55
646.99
654.78
669.38
680.98
688.20
694.57
702.75
709.71
715.98
721.44
724.51
725.44
722.87
716.73
711.43
706.47
702.91
699.29
-0.6%
Distillate
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Methanol                                                      
Flex
0.02
0.02
0.01
0.01
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-14.4%
Neat
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Ethanol                                                      
Flex
1.25
14.38
27.04
40.33
53.69
66.38
70.11
71.07
71.92
72.74
74.21
75.52
76.36
77.03
77.90
78.66
79.28
79.80
80.09
80.21
79.93
79.25
78.64
78.08
77.70
77.29
7.3%
Neat
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Compressed Natural Gas
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Compressed Natural Gas Bi-fuel
8.39
11.82
15.10
18.60
22.08
25.30
25.32
25.68
25.96
26.25
26.85
27.34
27.68
27.98
28.37
28.71
29.01
29.28
29.46
29.55
29.50
29.30
29.13
28.97
28.86
28.75
3.8%
Liquefied Petroleum Gas
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Liquefied Petroleum Gas Bi-fuel
14.02
28.02
41.50
55.65
69.89
83.39
85.64
86.88
87.85
88.84
90.80
92.42
93.46
94.36
95.52
96.48
97.32
98.06
98.50
98.68
98.38
97.59
96.92
96.30
95.87
95.41
5.2%
Electric
0.29
0.65
1.00
1.36
1.68
1.95
1.97
1.84
1.72
1.62
1.58
1.57
1.58
1.61
1.65
1.68
1.71
1.74
1.76
1.78
1.79
1.78
1.78
1.78
1.78
1.78
4.3%
Electric-Diesel Hybrid
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Electric-Gasoline Hybrid
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Fuel Cell                                                      
Fuel Cell Gasoline
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Fuel Cell Methanol
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Fuel Cell Hydrogen
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
N/A
Total Fleet Light Trucks
873.52
867.69
857.45
847.69
833.60
805.26
813.03
825.02
834.44
844.24
862.82
877.83
887.28
895.56
906.18
915.24
923.30
930.31
934.33
935.65
932.47
924.65
917.90
911.60
907.12
902.51
0.2%
                                                       
Total Fleet Vehicles
1627.06
1651.30
1644.98
1637.42
1610.24
1533.38
1514.94
1506.98
1498.32
1496.76
1505.43
1511.07
1514.19
1520.10
1531.73
1544.08
1556.15
1565.44
1567.16
1564.73
1556.28
1543.98
1534.38
1524.00
1518.67
1514.32
-0.4%
                                                       
                                                       
Commercial Light Trucks 2/
634.64
603.87
596.29
613.35
631.46
645.00
663.16
685.21
707.27
730.41
755.71
779.09
801.10
820.57
839.86
855.41
868.82
883.25
898.44
915.83
930.57
944.72
961.86
979.23
999.15
1015.66
2.2%
                                                       
1/ Includes all fleets of 10 or more.
2/ Commercial trucks from 8,500 to 10,000 pounds.
ICE = Internal combustion engine.
N/A = Not Applicable.
Sources: 2001 derived using: Oak Ridge National Laboratory, "Fleet Vehicles in the United States: Composition, Operating Characteristics, and Fueling Practices," prepared for the Department of Energy, Office of Transportation Technologies, and Office of Policy, Planning, and Analysis (Oak Ridge, TN, March 1992); Bobit Publishing Company, Fleet Fact Book, various issues (Redondo Beach, California); United States Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census, "Vehicle Inventory and Use Survey," EC97TV (Washington, DC, October 1999); Federal Highway Administration, Highway Statistics 2000 (Washington, DC, November 2001); Decision Analysis Corporation of Virginia, NEMS Transportation Sector Model: Development of the Light Commercial Truck Model, Final Report, Subtask 19-2, prepared for the Energy Information Administration (EIA) (April 23, 1997); and EIA, AEO2003 National Energy Modeling System run aeo2003.d110502c. Projections: EIA, AEO2003 National Energy Modeling System run aeo2003.d110502c.

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